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DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
All Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PF Jalen Johnson $10.5k YES ATL UTA
56.8
5.40
--
 244.5 127
C Victor Wembanyama $10.0k YES SA DAL
51.0
5.10
--
 230.5 119
PG Cade Cunningham  Q $10.2k YES DET WAS
49.3
4.83
--
 226.5 120.5
PG/SF Cooper Flagg $8.7k YES DAL SA
45.0
5.17
--
 230.5 111.5
PF Scottie Barnes $9.1k YES TOR CHI
44.5
4.89
--
 226.5 117
PF/C Alperen Sengun $9.4k YES HOU CHA
43.8
4.65
--
 218.5 111.5
PF Paolo Banchero $9.3k YES ORL BKN
43.8
4.70
--
 214.5 112
PF Lauri Markkanen $8.3k YES UTA ATL
42.3
5.09
--
 244.5 117.5
SG/SF Kevin Durant $8.9k YES HOU CHA
41.8
4.69
--
 218.5 111.5
PG Isaiah Collier $6.9k YES UTA ATL
41.5
6.01
--
 244.5 117.5
SF Michael Porter Jr. $8.6k YES BKN ORL
40.8
4.74
--
 214.5 102.5
SG Brandon Ingram $8.1k YES TOR CHI
40.3
4.97
--
 226.5 117
PG LaMelo Ball $7.8k YES CHA HOU
40.0
5.13
--
 218.5 107
C Jalen Duren $7.7k YES DET WAS
39.0
5.06
--
 226.5 120.5
PG Amen Thompson $8.4k YES HOU CHA
38.5
4.58
--
 218.5 111.5
PG Immanuel Quickley $7.0k YES TOR CHI
37.5
5.36
--
 226.5 117
PF Kyle Filipowski $6.4k YES UTA ATL
37.3
5.82
--
 244.5 117.5
PF Matas Buzelis $6.7k YES CHI TOR
36.3
5.41
--
 226.5 109.5
SG/SF Nickeil Alexander-Walker $7.0k YES ATL UTA
36.0
5.14
--
 244.5 127
SF Brandon Miller $7.3k YES CHA HOU
36.0
4.93
--
 218.5 107
C Alexandre Sarr $7.6k YES WAS DET
35.8
4.70
--
 226.5 106
PG De'Aaron Fox $7.5k YES SA DAL
35.0
4.67
--
 230.5 119
PG/SG Dyson Daniels $7.2k YES ATL UTA
34.5
4.79
--
 244.5 127
SG/SF Naji Marshall $6.5k YES DAL SA
34.5
5.31
--
 230.5 111.5
SG Desmond Bane $6.8k YES ORL BKN
34.0
5.00
--
 214.5 112
PG Jalen Suggs $6.0k YES ORL BKN
33.3
5.54
--
 214.5 112
PG/SG Anthony Black $7.1k YES ORL BKN
33.3
4.68
--
 214.5 112
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.1k ATL UTA
32.5
5.33
--
 244.5 127
SG Kyshawn George $7.3k YES WAS DET
32.0
4.38
--
 226.5 106
SG Kon Knueppel $6.9k YES CHA HOU
31.5
4.57
--
 218.5 107
C Jalen Smith $6.2k YES CHI TOR
30.5
4.92
--
 226.5 109.5
SG/SF Brice Sensabaugh $5.7k UTA ATL
29.8
5.22
--
 244.5 117.5
SG Stephon Castle $6.7k SA DAL
29.8
4.44
--
 230.5 119
SF Ace Bailey $5.9k YES UTA ATL
29.5
5.00
--
 244.5 117.5
PF Jabari Smith Jr. $6.6k YES HOU CHA
29.0
4.39
--
 218.5 111.5
PF Miles Bridges $6.3k YES CHA HOU
28.8
4.56
--
 218.5 107
PF/C Collin Murray-Boyles $5.6k YES TOR CHI
28.5
5.09
--
 226.5 117
C Moussa Diabate $5.2k YES CHA HOU
27.8
5.34
--
 218.5 107
C Nic Claxton $6.3k YES BKN ORL
27.8
4.40
--
 214.5 102.5
C Sandro Mamukelashvili $5.4k TOR CHI
27.8
5.14
--
 226.5 117
SF Ausar Thompson $5.7k YES DET WAS
27.3
4.78
--
 226.5 120.5
PG Bub Carrington $5.6k YES WAS DET
27.3
4.87
--
 226.5 106
SG Max Christie $5.0k YES DAL SA
27.0
5.40
--
 230.5 111.5
C Daniel Gafford  Q $5.1k YES DAL SA
26.5
5.20
--
 230.5 111.5
SF/PF Keldon Johnson $5.3k SA DAL
26.0
4.91
--
 230.5 119
PG/SG Anfernee Simons  Q $5.0k YES CHI TOR
26.0
5.20
--
 226.5 109.5
PG/SG Jaden Ivey  Q $3.9k YES CHI TOR
25.8
6.60
--
 226.5 109.5
C Wendell Carter Jr. $4.9k YES ORL BKN
25.5
5.20
--
 214.5 112
SF/PF Justin Champagnie $5.0k YES WAS DET
24.0
4.80
--
 226.5 106
SF Bilal Coulibaly $5.2k YES WAS DET
23.3
4.47
--
 226.5 106
C Day'Ron Sharpe $5.3k BKN ORL
23.3
4.39
--
 214.5 102.5
PF Caleb Martin $4.2k YES DAL SA
23.0
5.48
--
 230.5 111.5
C Tristan Vukcevic $3.6k WAS DET
22.8
6.32
--
 226.5 106
C Jock Landale  Q $6.1k YES UTA UTA
22.5
3.69
--
 244.5 127
PF Will Riley $4.7k WAS DET
22.5
4.79
--
 226.5 106
SF Isaac Okoro $4.5k YES CHI TOR
22.5
5.00
--
 226.5 109.5
SF Devin Vassell $5.5k YES SA DAL
22.3
4.05
--
 230.5 119
SF/PF Klay Thompson $4.4k DAL SA
22.0
5.00
--
 230.5 111.5
PF Julian Champagnie $5.8k YES SA DAL
22.0
3.79
--
 230.5 119
PF/C Isaiah Stewart $4.4k YES DET WAS
22.0
5.00
--
 226.5 120.5
PG Egor Demin $4.5k YES BKN ORL
21.8
4.83
--
 214.5 102.5
PF Noah Clowney $4.8k YES BKN ORL
21.5
4.48
--
 214.5 102.5
SF Corey Kispert $3.9k ATL UTA
21.3
5.45
--
 244.5 127
PG Jamal Shead $4.8k TOR CHI
21.3
4.43
--
 226.5 117
PF/C Patrick Williams $4.1k CHI TOR
21.0
5.12
--
 226.5 109.5
SF Zaccharie Risacher $4.1k YES ATL UTA
20.8
5.06
--
 244.5 127
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $5.4k HOU CHA
20.5
3.80
--
 218.5 111.5
PG Yuki Kawamura $3.6k CHI TOR
20.5
5.69
--
 226.5 109.5
SG Cody Williams $4.4k YES UTA ATL
20.0
4.55
--
 244.5 117.5
SG Duncan Robinson $4.4k YES DET WAS
19.8
4.49
--
 226.5 120.5
PG/SG Dylan Harper  O $4.2k SA DAL
19.5
4.64
--
 230.5 119
PF Harrison Barnes $4.0k YES SA DAL
19.3
4.81
--
 230.5 119
SG/SF Caris LeVert $3.7k DET WAS
18.8
5.07
--
 226.5 120.5
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $4.3k ATL UTA
17.8
4.13
--
 244.5 127
PG Ryan Nembhard $3.4k DAL SA
17.8
5.22
--
 230.5 111.5
SF/PF Jamir Watkins $3.2k WAS DET
17.8
5.55
--
 226.5 106
PF Ronald Holland II $3.9k DET WAS
17.8
4.55
--
 226.5 120.5
PG/SG Ja'Kobe Walter $3.4k YES TOR CHI
17.5
5.15
--
 226.5 117
SG/SF Svi Mykhailiuk $4.0k UTA ATL
17.3
4.31
--
 244.5 117.5
PG Nolan Traore $3.7k YES BKN ORL
17.0
4.59
--
 214.5 102.5
SG/SF Kevin Huerter  Q $4.2k DET WAS
16.8
3.99
--
 226.5 120.5
SG/SF Josh Okogie $4.5k YES HOU CHA
16.8
3.72
--
 218.5 111.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $4.0k ORL BKN
16.8
4.19
--
 214.5 112
SG/SF Ziaire Williams $4.3k BKN ORL
16.0
3.72
--
 214.5 102.5
C Moussa Cisse $3.6k DAL SA
15.5
4.31
--
 230.5 111.5
PF/C Danny Wolf $4.9k BKN ORL
15.5
3.16
--
 214.5 102.5
C Oscar Tshiebwe $3.0k UTA ATL
15.0
5.00
--
 244.5 117.5
SG/SF Gradey Dick $3.9k TOR CHI
14.3
3.65
--
 226.5 117
PF/C Grant Williams $3.8k CHA HOU
14.0
3.68
--
 218.5 107
C Ryan Kalkbrenner $4.7k CHA HOU
14.0
2.98
--
 218.5 107
SG/SF Javonte Green $3.3k DET WAS
13.5
4.09
--
 226.5 120.5
C Clint Capela $4.1k HOU CHA
13.5
3.29
--
 218.5 111.5
PG Marcus Sasser $3.0k DET WAS
13.0
4.33
--
 226.5 120.5
PG Sharife Cooper $3.4k WAS DET
12.8
3.75
--
 226.5 106
PG Ben Saraf $3.2k BKN ORL
12.8
3.98
--
 214.5 102.5
C Moritz Wagner $3.4k ORL BKN
12.3
3.60
--
 214.5 112
SG/SF Sion James $3.5k CHA HOU
12.0
3.43
--
 218.5 107
SG Miles Kelly $3.2k DAL SA
11.8
3.67
--
 230.5 111.5
C Lachlan Olbrich $3.1k CHI TOR
11.5
3.71
--
 226.5 109.5
PF/C Kelly Olynyk  O $3.5k SA DAL
11.0
3.14
--
 230.5 119
C Christian Koloko $3.3k ATL UTA
10.8
3.26
--
 244.5 127
PF/C Jonathan Isaac $3.3k ORL BKN
10.0
3.03
--
 214.5 112
SG/SF Noah Penda $3.4k ORL BKN
9.8
2.87
--
 214.5 112
C Anthony Gill $3.4k WAS DET
9.3
2.72
--
 226.5 106
SG/SF Drake Powell $3.2k BKN ORL
9.3
2.89
--
 214.5 102.5
PG/SG Jase Richardson $3.0k ORL BKN
8.8
2.92
--
 214.5 112
SG/SF Josh Green $3.6k CHA HOU
8.5
2.36
--
 218.5 107
PG/SG Aaron Holiday $3.3k HOU CHA
8.3
2.50
--
 218.5 111.5
SF Carter Bryant $3.4k SA DAL
8.0
2.35
--
 230.5 119
C Dwight Powell $3.5k DAL SA
6.8
1.93
--
 230.5 111.5
PF/C Jamison Battle $3.0k TOR CHI
6.5
2.17
--
 226.5 117
PF Asa Newell $3.2k ATL UTA
6.0
1.88
--
 244.5 127
C Jusuf Nurkic $7.4k UTA ATL
4.5
0.61
--
 244.5 117.5
PG Tre Mann $3.0k CHA HOU
4.0
1.33
--
 218.5 107
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!