DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PF Jalen Johnson $10.5k EXP. ATL MIA
53.5
5.10
--
243.5 119.5
SG Anthony Edwards $9.4k EXP. MIN DAL
47.1
5.01
--
239.5 127
SG Donovan Mitchell $9.5k EXP. CLE CHA
43.6
4.59
--
230.5 117.5
PG LaMelo Ball $8.8k EXP. CHA CLE
42.9
4.88
--
230.5 113
PF Julius Randle $8.4k EXP. MIN DAL
41.9
4.99
--
239.5 127
PG James Harden $9.0k EXP. CLE CHA
41.3
4.59
--
230.5 117.5
SF Brandon Miller $8.3k EXP. CHA CLE
40.4
4.87
--
230.5 113
PG/SG Kevin Porter Jr. $7.8k EXP. MIL NO
40.1
5.15
--
223.5 109.5
C Bam Adebayo $9.2k EXP. MIA ATL
40.0
4.35
--
243.5 124
PF Zion Williamson $7.9k EXP. NO MIL
39.9
5.05
--
223.5 114
PG Isaiah Collier $8.2k EXP. UTA MEM
38.6
4.70
--
235.5 116.5
PF Chet Holmgren $8.7k EXP. OKC BKN
36.6
4.20
--
212.5 115.5
SF/PF Jarace Walker $6.4k EXP. IND WAS
36.6
5.72
--
229.5 115.5
SG Kon Knueppel $7.3k EXP. CHA CLE
35.2
4.83
--
230.5 113
PG Ryan Rollins $8.0k EXP. MIL NO
34.8
4.35
--
223.5 109.5
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $6.8k EXP. NO MIL
34.6
5.09
--
223.5 114
SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $7.1k EXP. ATL MIA
34.4
4.84
--
243.5 119.5
PG/SG Cam Spencer $5.5k EXP. MEM UTA
34.0
6.18
--
235.5 119
PF/C Kyle Filipowski $6.9k EXP. UTA MEM
33.8
4.89
--
235.5 116.5
C Onyeka Okongwu $7.0k EXP. ATL MIA
33.6
4.80
--
243.5 119.5
C Rudy Gobert $6.4k EXP. MIN DAL
33.3
5.20
--
239.5 127
SG/SF Norman Powell  Q $7.2k EXP. MIA ATL
32.9
4.57
--
243.5 124
C Derik Queen $6.0k EXP. NO MIL
32.8
5.47
--
223.5 114
SF/PF Gregory Jackson $5.4k EXP. MEM UTA
32.7
6.06
--
235.5 119
SG/SF Naji Marshall $6.3k EXP. DAL MIN
32.5
5.16
--
239.5 112.5
C Jarrett Allen $7.1k EXP. CLE CHA
32.2
4.54
--
230.5 117.5
PG/SG Brandon Williams $5.1k EXP. DAL MIN
32.2
6.32
--
239.5 112.5
PF Lauri Markkanen $8.1k EXP. UTA MEM
32.1
3.96
--
235.5 116.5
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.5k ATL MIA
31.2
4.79
--
243.5 119.5
SG/SF Brice Sensabaugh $5.7k EXP. UTA MEM
31.2
5.47
--
235.5 116.5
C Isaiah Hartenstein $6.3k EXP. OKC BKN
30.9
4.91
--
212.5 115.5
C Day'Ron Sharpe $6.2k EXP. BKN OKC
30.7
4.95
--
212.5 97
PG Dyson Daniels $6.1k EXP. ATL MIA
30.6
5.01
--
243.5 119.5
PG Javon Small $3.5k MEM UTA
30.5
8.70
--
235.5 119
PF Andrew Wiggins $6.4k EXP. MIA ATL
30.4
4.75
--
243.5 124
PF/C Naz Reid $6.0k MIN DAL
29.9
4.98
--
239.5 127
SF Ace Bailey $6.2k EXP. UTA MEM
29.8
4.81
--
235.5 116.5
PF PJ Washington $6.2k EXP. DAL MIN
29.7
4.79
--
239.5 112.5
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $4.8k EXP. NO MIL
29.7
6.18
--
223.5 114
PF/C Jay Huff $5.4k EXP. IND WAS
29.4
5.45
--
229.5 115.5
PG/SG Tyler Herro  Q $7.4k EXP. MIA ATL
29.0
3.92
--
243.5 124
PF/C Olivier-Maxence Prosper $3.5k MEM UTA
28.7
8.20
--
235.5 119
SF Michael Porter Jr. $8.6k EXP. BKN OKC
28.1
3.27
--
212.5 97
PF/C Bobby Portis $7.0k MIL NO
27.7
3.96
--
223.5 109.5
SF Jaylen Wells $4.5k EXP. MEM UTA
27.5
6.12
--
235.5 119
C Kyle Anderson $4.2k EXP. MEM UTA
27.4
6.53
--
235.5 119
SF Jaden McDaniels $6.1k EXP. MIN DAL
27.4
4.49
--
239.5 127
PF Kyle Kuzma $6.6k EXP. MIL NO
26.9
4.08
--
223.5 109.5
SF Kobe Brown $4.3k EXP. IND WAS
26.7
6.22
--
229.5 115.5
PF/C Danny Wolf $5.8k BKN OKC
26.3
4.53
--
212.5 97
PG Donte DiVincenzo $5.8k EXP. MIN DAL
25.8
4.45
--
239.5 127
SG Isaiah Joe $4.7k EXP. OKC BKN
25.8
5.49
--
212.5 115.5
SF/PF Jaime Jaquez Jr. $6.9k MIA ATL
25.7
3.72
--
243.5 124
PF Taylor Hendricks $4.0k MEM UTA
24.8
6.20
--
235.5 119
PF Noah Clowney $5.0k EXP. BKN OKC
24.7
4.95
--
212.5 97
SG/SF Quenton Jackson $4.6k IND WAS
24.5
5.34
--
229.5 115.5
SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu $5.5k MIN DAL
24.3
4.41
--
239.5 127
PG Davion Mitchell $4.9k EXP. MIA ATL
23.9
4.87
--
243.5 124
SG/SF Cason Wallace $6.0k EXP. OKC BKN
23.9
3.98
--
212.5 115.5
C Marvin Bagley III $4.4k DAL MIN
23.6
5.36
--
239.5 112.5
SF/PF Bilal Coulibaly $5.2k EXP. WAS IND
23.6
4.54
--
229.5 114
C Ryan Kalkbrenner $5.0k EXP. CHA CLE
23.4
4.68
--
230.5 113
PF/C Micah Potter $4.4k IND WAS
23.1
5.24
--
229.5 115.5
PG Nolan Traore $4.9k EXP. BKN OKC
23.0
4.70
--
212.5 97
SF Herbert Jones $4.4k EXP. NO MIL
22.8
5.17
--
223.5 114
SG/SF Justin Champagnie $5.4k EXP. WAS IND
22.7
4.20
--
229.5 114
PG Bub Carrington $5.6k EXP. WAS IND
22.7
4.05
--
229.5 114
PF Khris Middleton $4.8k DAL MIN
22.4
4.67
--
239.5 112.5
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $5.1k OKC BKN
22.4
4.39
--
212.5 115.5
PF/C Jaylin Williams $4.5k OKC BKN
22.3
4.94
--
212.5 115.5
PG/SG Tre Johnson $5.9k EXP. WAS IND
22.3
3.78
--
229.5 114
SF Jaylon Tyson $5.5k CLE CHA
22.1
4.02
--
230.5 117.5
C Daniel Gafford  Q $4.9k EXP. DAL MIN
22.0
4.49
--
239.5 112.5
SG/SF Ben Sheppard $4.1k EXP. IND WAS
22.0
5.38
--
229.5 115.5
PG/SG Cam Thomas $4.7k MIL NO
21.8
4.64
--
223.5 109.5
SF Jahmai Mashack $3.7k EXP. MEM UTA
21.6
5.84
--
235.5 119
PG/SG Kam Jones  Q $4.5k EXP. IND WAS
21.2
4.71
--
229.5 115.5
C Tristan Vukcevic $4.8k EXP. WAS IND
21.2
4.41
--
229.5 114
SG/SF AJ Green $5.0k EXP. MIL NO
21.1
4.22
--
223.5 109.5
PG T.J. McConnell  Q $4.3k IND WAS
21.0
4.88
--
229.5 115.5
SF/PF Jamir Watkins $4.4k WAS IND
21.0
4.78
--
229.5 114
SF/PF Caleb Martin  Q $4.2k DAL MIN
20.8
4.94
--
239.5 112.5
C Jericho Sims $4.3k EXP. MIL NO
20.4
4.75
--
223.5 109.5
PG Sharife Cooper $4.2k WAS IND
20.3
4.83
--
229.5 114
SF/PF Klay Thompson $4.4k EXP. DAL MIN
20.2
4.60
--
239.5 112.5
SF Ousmane Dieng $4.0k MIL NO
19.9
4.98
--
223.5 109.5
SG Luguentz Dort $4.3k EXP. OKC BKN
19.9
4.63
--
212.5 115.5
PG/SG Jared McCain $4.0k OKC BKN
19.7
4.92
--
212.5 115.5
C PJ Hall $3.4k CHA CLE
19.6
5.77
--
230.5 113
C Jock Landale $4.5k ATL MIA
19.2
4.27
--
243.5 119.5
PF Will Riley $4.7k WAS IND
19.1
4.07
--
229.5 114
SF Zaccharie Risacher $3.6k EXP. ATL MIA
18.9
5.26
--
243.5 119.5
SG/SF Pelle Larsson $5.6k MIA ATL
18.5
3.31
--
243.5 124
C Kel'el Ware $5.4k MIA ATL
18.5
3.43
--
243.5 124
PG/SG Egor Demin $5.2k EXP. BKN OKC
18.2
3.50
--
212.5 97
PF Tidjane Salaun $3.6k EXP. CHA CLE
17.9
4.97
--
230.5 113
SG Cody Williams $4.2k UTA MEM
17.4
4.14
--
235.5 116.5
SG/SF Terance Mann $3.9k BKN OKC
17.4
4.47
--
212.5 97
SG/SF Sam Merrill $4.6k CLE CHA
17.3
3.76
--
230.5 117.5
PG/SG Vince Williams Jr. $4.1k UTA MEM
17.3
4.22
--
235.5 116.5
SG/SF Bryce McGowens $3.6k NO MIL
17.2
4.77
--
223.5 114
SF Alex Caruso $4.1k OKC BKN
17.2
4.20
--
212.5 115.5
PG Dennis Schroder $4.5k CLE CHA
17.1
3.80
--
230.5 117.5
C Lawson Lovering $3.0k MEM UTA
17.0
5.65
--
235.5 119
C Anthony Gill $4.0k WAS IND
16.9
4.22
--
229.5 114
SF/PF Sion James $3.7k CHA CLE
16.8
4.53
--
230.5 113
PG/SG Tre Mann $3.8k CHA CLE
16.5
4.33
--
230.5 113
PF/C Kenrich Williams $4.2k OKC BKN
16.5
3.92
--
212.5 115.5
SF Corey Kispert $3.9k ATL MIA
16.2
4.15
--
243.5 119.5
SG/SF Ochai Agbaji $3.2k BKN OKC
16.2
5.07
--
212.5 97
PG/SG Alondes Williams $3.0k WAS IND
16.2
5.41
--
229.5 114
PG/SG Ethan Thompson $3.6k IND WAS
15.8
4.39
--
229.5 115.5
SF/PF Dean Wade $4.1k EXP. CLE CHA
15.6
3.80
--
230.5 117.5
SG Jaden Hardy $3.9k WAS IND
15.5
3.98
--
229.5 114
PF/C Karlo Matkovic $3.3k NO MIL
15.3
4.64
--
223.5 114
SG/SF Taelon Peter $3.7k IND WAS
14.9
4.02
--
229.5 115.5
PF Simone Fontecchio $4.6k MIA ATL
14.6
3.18
--
243.5 124
C Kevin Love $3.7k UTA MEM
14.5
3.91
--
235.5 116.5
PG Kadary Richmond $3.2k WAS IND
14.5
4.53
--
229.5 114
SF/PF John Konchar $3.8k UTA MEM
14.4
3.80
--
235.5 116.5
PG/SG Bones Hyland $4.4k MIN DAL
14.4
3.27
--
239.5 127
PG Ben Saraf $3.3k BKN OKC
14.3
4.34
--
212.5 97
SG/SF Josh Green $4.2k CHA CLE
13.8
3.29
--
230.5 113
SG/SF Drake Powell $3.8k BKN OKC
13.6
3.58
--
212.5 97
PG Tyus Jones $3.7k DAL MIN
13.2
3.57
--
239.5 112.5
SG/SF Keon Ellis $3.6k CLE CHA
12.8
3.55
--
230.5 117.5
PF Nae'Qwan Tomlin  Q $3.7k EXP. CLE CHA
12.2
3.30
--
230.5 117.5
PF Jalen Wilson $3.1k BKN OKC
11.9
3.83
--
212.5 97
PG Kasparas Jakucionis $4.2k MIA ATL
11.4
2.70
--
243.5 124
SG/SF Svi Mykhailiuk $3.5k UTA MEM
11.3
3.23
--
235.5 116.5
C Kevon Looney $3.2k NO MIL
11.2
3.49
--
223.5 114
PG Craig Porter Jr. $3.7k CLE CHA
10.8
2.93
--
230.5 117.5
PF/C Pete Nance $3.8k MIL NO
10.4
2.73
--
223.5 109.5
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $3.4k ATL MIA
9.9
2.91
--
243.5 119.5
PG Mike Conley $3.0k MIN DAL
7.9
2.64
--
239.5 127
SG/SF Jordan Hawkins $3.0k NO MIL
7.1
2.36
--
223.5 114
C Thomas Bryant $3.3k CLE CHA
5.4
1.64
--
230.5 117.5
PF/C Asa Newell $3.2k ATL MIA
2.6
0.81
--
243.5 119.5
Load All Players

Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!