DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Nikola Jokic $12.5k EXP. DEN MEM
67.0
5.36
--
246.5 129.5
PF Jalen Johnson $10.7k EXP. ATL DAL
52.5
4.91
--
238.5 123.5
PG Josh Giddey $9.9k EXP. CHI TOR
48.8
4.93
--
235.5 114
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $11.1k EXP. OKC BKN
48.1
4.34
--
214.5 116.5
SF Kawhi Leonard  Q $9.7k EXP. LAC NO
46.9
4.84
--
236.5 117.5
PF Julius Randle $8.1k EXP. MIN UTA
44.4
5.48
--
230.5 122
PG Jamal Murray $9.0k EXP. DEN MEM
43.5
4.84
--
246.5 129.5
SF/PF Deni Avdija $8.8k EXP. POR IND
42.8
4.86
--
231.5 122
PF Jayson Tatum $8.7k EXP. BOS GSW
42.6
4.90
--
216.5 114
SG/SF Jaylen Brown $9.2k EXP. BOS GSW
42.4
4.61
--
216.5 114
PG Cooper Flagg $8.9k EXP. DAL ATL
42.2
4.74
--
238.5 115
PF Scottie Barnes $8.4k EXP. TOR CHI
40.4
4.81
--
235.5 121.5
SG Brandon Ingram $8.3k EXP. TOR CHI
40.2
4.84
--
235.5 121.5
PG Dejounte Murray  Q $7.5k EXP. NO LAC
38.2
5.09
--
236.5 119
C Donovan Clingan $8.0k EXP. POR IND
37.5
4.68
--
231.5 122
PG/SG Trey Murphy III $7.9k EXP. NO LAC
37.4
4.73
--
236.5 119
SF RJ Barrett $7.3k EXP. TOR CHI
37.0
5.06
--
235.5 121.5
PG Darius Garland  Q $7.9k EXP. LAC NO
37.0
4.68
--
236.5 117.5
C Rudy Gobert $7.1k EXP. MIN UTA
36.3
5.12
--
230.5 122
PF Zion Williamson $7.8k EXP. NO LAC
36.2
4.64
--
236.5 119
C Onyeka Okongwu $7.3k EXP. ATL DAL
35.6
4.87
--
238.5 123.5
PG Immanuel Quickley $7.2k EXP. TOR CHI
35.0
4.86
--
235.5 121.5
PG Derrick White $7.7k EXP. BOS GSW
34.9
4.53
--
216.5 114
SF/PF Matas Buzelis $7.5k EXP. CHI TOR
34.9
4.66
--
235.5 114
PG Isaiah Collier $7.9k EXP. UTA MIN
34.5
4.37
--
230.5 108.5
PF Chet Holmgren $8.6k EXP. OKC BKN
34.3
3.99
--
214.5 116.5
PG/SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $7.4k EXP. ATL DAL
34.0
4.60
--
238.5 123.5
SF Jarace Walker $7.1k EXP. IND POR
33.9
4.78
--
231.5 109.5
SG/SF Dyson Daniels $7.0k EXP. ATL DAL
33.8
4.83
--
238.5 123.5
PG Jrue Holiday $7.1k EXP. POR IND
33.7
4.75
--
231.5 122
PG Ty Jerome $6.7k EXP. MEM DEN
33.5
4.99
--
246.5 117
SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu $5.0k EXP. MIN UTA
33.2
6.64
--
230.5 122
C Jakob Poeltl $6.3k EXP. TOR CHI
31.1
4.93
--
235.5 121.5
PG Donte DiVincenzo $6.0k EXP. MIN UTA
31.1
5.18
--
230.5 122
SF Jaden McDaniels $6.1k EXP. MIN UTA
30.8
5.05
--
230.5 122
PF/C Kyle Filipowski $7.8k EXP. UTA MIN
30.8
3.94
--
230.5 108.5
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.5k EXP. ATL DAL
30.7
4.72
--
238.5 123.5
PG Andrew Nembhard  Q $6.6k EXP. IND POR
30.6
4.64
--
231.5 109.5
PG/SG Payton Pritchard $6.4k BOS GSW
30.5
4.77
--
216.5 114
SG/SF Naji Marshall $6.4k EXP. DAL ATL
30.5
4.76
--
238.5 115
SG/SF Brice Sensabaugh $6.6k EXP. UTA MIN
30.5
4.63
--
230.5 108.5
PF Gui Santos $7.0k EXP. GSW BOS
30.4
4.34
--
216.5 102.5
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $6.7k EXP. NO LAC
30.0
4.48
--
236.5 119
PG/SG Brandin Podziemski $8.0k EXP. GSW BOS
29.4
3.67
--
216.5 102.5
PF Jerami Grant $6.2k EXP. POR IND
29.2
4.71
--
231.5 122
C Neemias Queta $6.2k EXP. BOS GSW
28.8
4.65
--
216.5 114
PG/SG Bones Hyland $4.2k MIN UTA
28.8
6.85
--
230.5 122
PF PJ Washington $6.1k EXP. DAL ATL
28.7
4.70
--
238.5 115
PF/C Kristaps Porzingis $6.2k GSW BOS
28.6
4.61
--
216.5 102.5
PG/SG Tre Jones $6.1k EXP. CHI TOR
28.4
4.65
--
235.5 114
PG Ajay Mitchell $5.0k EXP. OKC BKN
28.2
5.64
--
214.5 116.5
SG/SF De'Anthony Melton $6.3k EXP. GSW BOS
28.0
4.44
--
216.5 102.5
C Jalen Smith $5.4k EXP. CHI TOR
27.9
5.16
--
235.5 114
PF/C Jaylin Williams $6.0k EXP. OKC BKN
27.0
4.50
--
214.5 116.5
C Ivica Zubac $6.4k EXP. IND POR
26.7
4.17
--
231.5 109.5
SG/SF Cody Williams $5.7k EXP. UTA MIN
26.6
4.67
--
230.5 108.5
C Daniel Gafford  Q $5.0k EXP. DAL ATL
26.5
5.31
--
238.5 115
PF Gregory Jackson $5.7k EXP. MEM DEN
26.5
4.65
--
246.5 117
SF/PF Ace Bailey  Q $6.5k EXP. UTA MIN
26.0
3.99
--
230.5 108.5
SG/SF Toumani Camara $6.0k EXP. POR IND
25.9
4.32
--
231.5 122
PF/C Danny Wolf $6.2k BKN OKC
25.5
4.11
--
214.5 98
PF/C John Collins $5.7k EXP. LAC NO
25.5
4.47
--
236.5 117.5
PF/C Draymond Green $5.8k EXP. GSW BOS
25.2
4.34
--
216.5 102.5
SG Cedric Coward $5.4k EXP. MEM DEN
25.1
4.65
--
246.5 117
SG Christian Braun $5.3k EXP. DEN MEM
25.0
4.72
--
246.5 129.5
SF/PF Derrick Jones Jr. $5.2k LAC NO
24.7
4.74
--
236.5 117.5
SF/PF Leonard Miller $4.8k EXP. CHI TOR
24.4
5.09
--
235.5 114
C Robert Williams  Q $4.3k POR IND
24.4
5.67
--
231.5 122
SF/PF Cameron Johnson $5.5k EXP. DEN MEM
23.3
4.23
--
246.5 129.5
SF/PF Herbert Jones $4.9k EXP. NO LAC
23.1
4.71
--
236.5 119
PG/SG Kris Dunn $4.9k EXP. LAC NO
23.0
4.69
--
236.5 117.5
PG Scoot Henderson $5.5k POR IND
22.7
4.12
--
231.5 122
SF/PF Jonathan Kuminga  Q $5.5k ATL DAL
22.3
4.05
--
238.5 123.5
SG/SF Cason Wallace $5.1k EXP. OKC BKN
22.2
4.35
--
214.5 116.5
SG/SF Collin Sexton  Q $5.5k CHI TOR
22.2
4.03
--
235.5 114
C Brook Lopez $4.8k EXP. LAC NO
21.7
4.52
--
236.5 117.5
C Nic Claxton $6.0k EXP. BKN OKC
21.4
3.56
--
214.5 98
SG/SF Gary Payton II  Q $5.0k GSW BOS
21.2
4.24
--
216.5 102.5
C Olivier-Maxence Prosper $5.3k EXP. MEM DEN
21.1
3.98
--
246.5 117
SF Jaylen Wells $5.1k EXP. MEM DEN
21.0
4.12
--
246.5 117
C Marvin Bagley III $4.7k DAL ATL
20.7
4.41
--
238.5 115
PG/SG Jordan Miller $4.3k LAC NO
20.7
4.81
--
236.5 117.5
PG/SG Walter Clayton Jr. $4.9k MEM DEN
20.6
4.20
--
246.5 117
PF/C Taylor Hendricks $5.2k MEM DEN
20.6
3.95
--
246.5 117
SG Max Christie $4.8k EXP. DAL ATL
20.5
4.26
--
238.5 115
PF/C Kyle Anderson $4.0k MIN UTA
20.3
5.06
--
230.5 122
SG Aaron Nesmith $5.8k EXP. IND POR
20.1
3.47
--
231.5 109.5
SF/PF Khris Middleton $4.5k DAL ATL
19.9
4.41
--
238.5 115
SG/SF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.8k DEN MEM
19.9
4.15
--
246.5 129.5
PG/SF Cam Spencer $5.0k MEM DEN
19.9
3.98
--
246.5 117
C Yves Missi $4.2k NO LAC
19.7
4.70
--
236.5 119
PF Spencer Jones $4.0k EXP. DEN MEM
19.5
4.87
--
246.5 129.5
PG T.J. McConnell $4.3k IND POR
19.2
4.46
--
231.5 109.5
C Isaiah Jackson $4.1k LAC NO
18.8
4.59
--
236.5 117.5
SF/PF Sam Hauser $4.5k EXP. BOS GSW
18.6
4.14
--
216.5 114
SG/SF Will Richard $4.5k EXP. GSW BOS
18.6
4.14
--
216.5 102.5
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $4.6k NO LAC
18.6
4.04
--
236.5 119
PF Noah Clowney $5.2k EXP. BKN OKC
18.5
3.56
--
214.5 98
PG Jamal Shead $3.5k TOR CHI
18.4
5.25
--
235.5 121.5
PG/SG Bruce Brown $4.5k DEN MEM
18.3
4.08
--
246.5 129.5
SG Baylor Scheierman $4.0k BOS GSW
18.0
4.50
--
216.5 114
C Sandro Mamukelashvili $3.9k TOR CHI
18.0
4.62
--
235.5 121.5
SG/SF Klay Thompson $4.0k DAL ATL
17.8
4.44
--
238.5 115
SF/PF Kobe Brown $4.1k EXP. IND POR
17.8
4.34
--
231.5 109.5
PF Derik Queen $4.5k NO LAC
17.8
3.95
--
236.5 119
SG Isaiah Joe $4.9k OKC BKN
17.6
3.59
--
214.5 116.5
SF Ziaire Williams $4.2k EXP. BKN OKC
17.6
4.19
--
214.5 98
PG Pat Spencer $4.7k GSW BOS
17.6
3.75
--
216.5 102.5
C Jay Huff $5.9k IND POR
17.6
2.98
--
231.5 109.5
PF/C Karlo Matkovic $4.0k NO LAC
17.4
4.34
--
236.5 119
PG Ryan Nembhard $3.6k DAL ATL
17.1
4.75
--
238.5 115
C Jonas Valanciunas $3.5k DEN MEM
17.1
4.90
--
246.5 129.5
PG Javon Small $5.9k MEM DEN
17.1
2.90
--
246.5 117
PG Nolan Traore  Q $4.3k EXP. BKN OKC
17.0
3.95
--
214.5 98
PF Andersson Garcia $4.1k UTA MIN
16.9
4.11
--
230.5 108.5
C Quinten Post  Q $4.1k GSW BOS
16.8
4.10
--
216.5 102.5
PG/SG EJ Harkless $4.3k UTA MIN
16.7
3.88
--
230.5 108.5
C Jock Landale $3.3k ATL DAL
16.5
5.00
--
238.5 123.5
SF Alex Caruso $3.9k OKC BKN
16.3
4.18
--
214.5 116.5
C Oscar Tshiebwe $4.0k UTA MIN
15.6
3.90
--
230.5 108.5
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $4.2k OKC BKN
15.5
3.68
--
214.5 116.5
C Nick Richards $4.2k CHI TOR
15.4
3.68
--
235.5 114
PG/SG Tyson Etienne $4.0k BKN OKC
15.3
3.82
--
214.5 98
SG Drake Powell $3.6k EXP. BKN OKC
15.2
4.22
--
214.5 98
SG/SF Ja'Kobe Walter $3.3k TOR CHI
14.6
4.41
--
235.5 121.5
SF Jalen Slawson $4.0k IND POR
14.6
3.66
--
231.5 109.5
SF John Konchar  Q $4.2k UTA MIN
14.5
3.45
--
230.5 108.5
PF Chaney Johnson $4.4k BKN OKC
14.1
3.20
--
214.5 98
PG/SG Quenton Jackson $3.9k IND POR
14.0
3.58
--
231.5 109.5
PG Bez Mbeng $3.7k UTA MIN
14.0
3.79
--
230.5 108.5
PF/C Guerschon Yabusele $4.7k CHI TOR
13.8
2.94
--
235.5 114
PG/SG Jared McCain $3.8k OKC BKN
13.6
3.57
--
214.5 116.5
SF Zaccharie Risacher $4.0k ATL DAL
13.6
3.40
--
238.5 123.5
SF/PF Matisse Thybulle $3.3k POR IND
13.5
4.08
--
231.5 122
PG Malachi Smith $3.3k BKN OKC
13.3
4.03
--
214.5 98
PF Patrick Williams $3.4k CHI TOR
13.2
3.89
--
235.5 114
SG Terance Mann  Q $3.7k BKN OKC
12.0
3.24
--
214.5 98
C Luka Garza $3.4k BOS GSW
12.0
3.53
--
216.5 114
SG/SF Ben Sheppard $3.5k IND POR
12.0
3.42
--
231.5 109.5
C E.J. Liddell $4.1k BKN OKC
11.6
2.83
--
214.5 98
SG/SF Julian Strawther $3.2k DEN MEM
11.6
3.63
--
246.5 129.5
SG/SF Kobe Sanders $3.3k LAC NO
10.9
3.31
--
236.5 117.5
PF/C Kenrich Williams $3.7k OKC BKN
10.7
2.90
--
214.5 116.5
PG DeJon Jarreau $4.4k MEM DEN
10.6
2.41
--
246.5 117
PF/C Sidy Cissoko $3.5k POR IND
10.5
3.01
--
231.5 122
PF Tyler Burton $3.8k MEM DEN
10.4
2.74
--
246.5 117
PG/SG Rob Dillingham $4.4k CHI TOR
10.3
2.33
--
235.5 114
C Joan Beringer $3.0k MIN UTA
10.1
3.35
--
230.5 122
SG/SF Ochai Agbaji $3.5k BKN OKC
9.9
2.83
--
214.5 98
SG/SF Kris Murray $3.6k POR IND
9.4
2.60
--
231.5 122
SG/SF Hugo Gonzalez $3.0k BOS GSW
7.6
2.54
--
216.5 114
SG/SF Corey Kispert $3.0k ATL DAL
7.6
2.53
--
238.5 123.5
PF/C Josh Minott $3.8k BKN OKC
7.3
1.92
--
214.5 98
PG/SG Kam Jones $4.2k IND POR
7.3
1.74
--
231.5 109.5
PG Gabe Vincent $3.1k ATL DAL
6.7
2.16
--
238.5 123.5
PF/C Micah Potter  Q $4.4k IND POR
6.3
1.43
--
231.5 109.5
SF/PF Caleb Martin  Q $3.3k DAL ATL
5.0
1.52
--
238.5 115
SG/SF Jahmai Mashack  Q $4.8k MEM DEN
4.9
1.02
--
246.5 117
PF Nicolas Batum $3.2k LAC NO
4.7
1.48
--
236.5 117.5
PG Tyus Jones $3.0k DEN MEM
4.6
1.53
--
246.5 129.5
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $3.0k ATL DAL
4.1
1.35
--
238.5 123.5
PF Malevy Leons $3.5k GSW BOS
0.7
0.19
--
216.5 102.5
SG/SF John Poulakidas $3.1k DAL ATL
0.6
0.20
--
238.5 115
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

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