DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PG Cade Cunningham $10.6k EXP. DET ORL
57.6
5.43
--
210.5 107
PF Scottie Barnes $8.8k EXP. TOR CLE
51.3
5.83
--
218.5 107
PF Paolo Banchero $9.3k EXP. ORL DET
46.9
5.04
--
210.5 103.5
C Alperen Sengun $9.0k EXP. HOU LAL
46.1
5.12
--
205.5 104.5
PF LeBron James $9.6k EXP. LAL HOU
45.9
4.78
--
205.5 101
PG Amen Thompson $8.3k EXP. HOU LAL
45.0
5.42
--
205.5 104.5
SF RJ Barrett $7.3k EXP. TOR CLE
43.2
5.92
--
218.5 107
PG James Harden $8.4k EXP. CLE TOR
42.8
5.10
--
218.5 111.5
SG Donovan Mitchell $8.5k EXP. CLE TOR
42.1
4.95
--
218.5 111.5
PG/SG Austin Reaves $7.6k EXP. LAL HOU
40.7
5.36
--
205.5 101
PF/C Evan Mobley $7.7k EXP. CLE TOR
39.1
5.08
--
218.5 111.5
PF/C Jabari Smith Jr. $6.7k EXP. HOU LAL
36.5
5.45
--
205.5 104.5
C Jalen Duren $6.9k EXP. DET ORL
35.9
5.20
--
210.5 107
SG Desmond Bane $7.1k EXP. ORL DET
35.3
4.97
--
210.5 103.5
PG Jalen Suggs $6.8k EXP. ORL DET
33.6
4.94
--
210.5 103.5
PF Tobias Harris  Q $6.6k EXP. DET ORL
33.3
5.04
--
210.5 107
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $6.1k EXP. HOU LAL
32.6
5.34
--
205.5 104.5
SF Ausar Thompson $6.2k EXP. DET ORL
32.6
5.26
--
210.5 107
SG/SF Tari Eason $5.8k EXP. HOU LAL
29.4
5.07
--
205.5 104.5
C Deandre Ayton $5.3k EXP. LAL HOU
29.0
5.47
--
205.5 101
C Wendell Carter Jr. $5.9k EXP. ORL DET
28.8
4.88
--
210.5 103.5
PG Jamal Shead $4.5k EXP. TOR CLE
28.5
6.33
--
218.5 107
PF/C Collin Murray-Boyles $5.7k TOR CLE
28.5
4.99
--
218.5 107
SG/SF Marcus Smart $6.0k EXP. LAL HOU
28.4
4.73
--
205.5 101
PG/SG Anthony Black $4.7k ORL DET
27.4
5.84
--
210.5 103.5
C Jarrett Allen $5.5k EXP. CLE TOR
24.8
4.51
--
218.5 111.5
SF/PF Rui Hachimura $4.9k EXP. LAL HOU
23.8
4.86
--
205.5 101
PG/SG Ja'Kobe Walter $4.2k EXP. TOR CLE
23.8
5.68
--
218.5 107
C Jakob Poeltl $4.0k EXP. TOR CLE
20.4
5.11
--
218.5 107
SG Duncan Robinson $4.1k EXP. DET ORL
19.6
4.78
--
210.5 107
SG/SF Max Strus $4.4k EXP. CLE TOR
19.6
4.45
--
218.5 111.5
PG/SG Luke Kennard $5.2k LAL HOU
18.4
3.54
--
205.5 101
SG/SF Jamal Cain $4.0k EXP. ORL DET
18.1
4.51
--
210.5 103.5
C Sandro Mamukelashvili $3.6k TOR CLE
17.5
4.87
--
218.5 107
SG/SF Caris LeVert $3.4k DET ORL
15.2
4.46
--
210.5 107
SF/PF Jamison Battle $3.3k TOR CLE
15.2
4.60
--
218.5 107
PF/C Isaiah Stewart $3.8k DET ORL
14.6
3.84
--
210.5 107
PG Dennis Schroder $3.1k CLE TOR
14.3
4.61
--
218.5 111.5
SF Dean Wade $3.6k CLE TOR
13.7
3.81
--
218.5 111.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $3.5k ORL DET
13.4
3.83
--
210.5 103.5
SF/PF Jaylon Tyson $3.3k CLE TOR
13.3
4.03
--
218.5 111.5
C Jaxson Hayes $3.4k LAL HOU
13.1
3.85
--
205.5 101
SG Sam Merrill $3.5k CLE TOR
13.0
3.72
--
218.5 111.5
C Goga Bitadze $3.2k ORL DET
12.3
3.85
--
210.5 103.5
SG/SF Josh Okogie $3.4k HOU LAL
11.8
3.46
--
205.5 104.5
PG Daniss Jenkins $3.2k DET ORL
10.1
3.14
--
210.5 107
SG/SF Jake LaRavia $3.5k LAL HOU
9.7
2.76
--
205.5 101
SF/PF Javonte Green $3.3k DET ORL
9.6
2.90
--
210.5 107
PG/SG Aaron Holiday $3.3k HOU LAL
9.5
2.89
--
205.5 104.5
PF Dorian Finney-Smith $3.2k HOU LAL
9.0
2.81
--
205.5 104.5
SG/SF Kevin Huerter  Q $3.0k DET ORL
8.5
2.84
--
210.5 107
C Clint Capela $3.0k HOU LAL
4.0
1.33
--
205.5 104.5
SF/PF Keon Ellis $3.0k CLE TOR
3.3
1.09
--
218.5 111.5
C Thomas Bryant $3.0k CLE TOR
2.0
0.67
--
218.5 111.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!