DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Nikola Jokic $12.6k EXP. DEN MIN
64.5
5.12
--
227.5 114.5
PG Cade Cunningham $10.2k EXP. DET ORL
51.5
5.05
--
214.5 108.5
PF/C Karl-Anthony Towns $8.6k EXP. NY ATL
47.9
5.57
--
215.5 108.5
PF Jalen Johnson $9.1k EXP. ATL NY
47.1
5.17
--
215.5 107
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $9.9k EXP. OKC PHO
46.5
4.70
--
214.5 111.5
SG Anthony Edwards $8.7k EXP. MIN DEN
46.2
5.31
--
227.5 113
PG Jamal Murray $9.0k EXP. DEN MIN
45.2
5.02
--
227.5 114.5
PG Jalen Brunson $8.5k EXP. NY ATL
40.6
4.78
--
215.5 108.5
PF Paolo Banchero $8.5k EXP. ORL DET
40.3
4.74
--
214.5 106
PG/SG Devin Booker $8.4k EXP. PHO OKC
40.0
4.76
--
214.5 103
PF Julius Randle $7.2k EXP. MIN DEN
38.6
5.36
--
227.5 113
C Jalen Duren $8.0k EXP. DET ORL
37.7
4.71
--
214.5 108.5
SG Jalen Green $7.6k EXP. PHO OKC
37.0
4.86
--
214.5 103
PF Chet Holmgren $7.9k EXP. OKC PHO
36.9
4.67
--
214.5 111.5
SG/SF Josh Hart $6.6k EXP. NY ATL
36.7
5.56
--
215.5 108.5
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.9k EXP. ATL NY
36.2
5.25
--
215.5 107
C Rudy Gobert $6.0k EXP. MIN DEN
34.3
5.72
--
227.5 113
C Onyeka Okongwu $6.1k EXP. ATL NY
33.3
5.47
--
215.5 107
SG Desmond Bane $7.1k EXP. ORL DET
33.3
4.69
--
214.5 106
PF Tobias Harris $5.9k EXP. DET ORL
33.0
5.59
--
214.5 108.5
PF OG Anunoby $6.0k EXP. NY ATL
32.6
5.43
--
215.5 108.5
PG Jalen Suggs $6.9k EXP. ORL DET
32.4
4.70
--
214.5 106
PG/SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $6.7k EXP. ATL NY
32.1
4.79
--
215.5 107
SF Franz Wagner $6.5k EXP. ORL DET
31.2
4.80
--
214.5 106
SF Dyson Daniels $6.0k EXP. ATL NY
29.7
4.95
--
215.5 107
SF Jaden McDaniels $5.8k EXP. MIN DEN
28.4
4.90
--
227.5 113
SF Ausar Thompson $5.6k EXP. DET ORL
27.9
4.98
--
214.5 108.5
PG Donte DiVincenzo $5.2k EXP. MIN DEN
27.3
5.24
--
227.5 113
PF Dillon Brooks $5.8k EXP. PHO OKC
27.3
4.71
--
214.5 103
PF/C Aaron Gordon  Q $5.8k EXP. DEN MIN
27.2
4.69
--
227.5 114.5
C Wendell Carter Jr. $5.7k EXP. ORL DET
26.4
4.63
--
214.5 106
C Isaiah Hartenstein $5.5k EXP. OKC PHO
25.8
4.69
--
214.5 111.5
SF/PF Jonathan Kuminga $5.1k ATL NY
25.7
5.04
--
215.5 107
SF Mikal Bridges $5.2k EXP. NY ATL
25.4
4.89
--
215.5 108.5
SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu $4.8k MIN DEN
24.8
5.16
--
227.5 113
SG Christian Braun $4.7k EXP. DEN MIN
23.4
4.98
--
227.5 114.5
SG/SF Jordan Goodwin  Q $4.9k EXP. PHO OKC
23.0
4.69
--
214.5 103
SF/PF Cameron Johnson $4.7k EXP. DEN MIN
22.6
4.81
--
227.5 114.5
PG Ajay Mitchell $4.7k OKC PHO
22.1
4.71
--
214.5 111.5
PF/C Naz Reid $4.7k MIN DEN
21.7
4.62
--
227.5 113
PG Collin Gillespie $3.7k PHO OKC
21.5
5.80
--
214.5 103
PF Royce O'Neale $4.5k PHO OKC
21.2
4.71
--
214.5 103
SG Duncan Robinson $4.2k EXP. DET ORL
21.1
5.02
--
214.5 108.5
C Oso Ighodaro $4.4k EXP. PHO OKC
20.4
4.64
--
214.5 103
SG/SF Cason Wallace $4.4k EXP. OKC PHO
20.4
4.64
--
214.5 111.5
PG/SG Anthony Black $4.6k ORL DET
20.1
4.36
--
214.5 106
SG/SF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.0k DEN MIN
18.9
4.72
--
227.5 114.5
SG Luguentz Dort $3.9k EXP. OKC PHO
18.0
4.62
--
214.5 111.5
PF/C Isaiah Stewart $4.0k DET ORL
17.7
4.44
--
214.5 108.5
C Goga Bitadze $3.5k ORL DET
17.5
4.99
--
214.5 106
SF/PF Alex Caruso $3.9k OKC PHO
17.2
4.42
--
214.5 111.5
PG/SG Miles McBride $3.8k NY ATL
17.1
4.50
--
215.5 108.5
PG/SG Bruce Brown $3.7k DEN MIN
16.8
4.54
--
227.5 114.5
C Khaman Maluach $3.8k PHO OKC
16.7
4.40
--
214.5 103
SG Isaiah Joe  Q $3.5k OKC PHO
16.5
4.71
--
214.5 111.5
C Mitchell Robinson $4.2k NY ATL
16.3
3.87
--
215.5 108.5
C Jaylin Williams $3.3k OKC PHO
15.7
4.77
--
214.5 111.5
PG Daniss Jenkins $3.6k DET ORL
15.0
4.15
--
214.5 108.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $3.4k ORL DET
13.6
4.00
--
214.5 106
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $3.4k DET ORL
13.2
3.89
--
214.5 108.5
PF Spencer Jones $3.2k DEN MIN
11.9
3.72
--
227.5 114.5
C Branden Carlson $3.0k OKC PHO
11.7
3.91
--
214.5 111.5
PF Payton Sandfort $3.0k OKC PHO
10.4
3.48
--
214.5 111.5
PG/SG Bones Hyland $3.2k MIN DEN
10.1
3.16
--
227.5 113
PG Nikola Topic $3.0k OKC PHO
9.9
3.30
--
214.5 111.5
PF Ronald Holland II $3.1k DET ORL
9.8
3.16
--
214.5 108.5
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $3.4k ATL NY
9.1
2.68
--
215.5 107
SG/SF Jordan Clarkson $3.3k NY ATL
9.0
2.72
--
215.5 108.5
PF/C Kenrich Williams $3.0k OKC PHO
8.9
2.97
--
214.5 111.5
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $3.0k OKC PHO
8.6
2.87
--
214.5 111.5
SG/SF Caris LeVert $3.3k DET ORL
8.5
2.58
--
214.5 108.5
PF Ryan Dunn $3.2k PHO OKC
8.2
2.56
--
214.5 103
PG/SG Jared McCain $3.0k OKC PHO
7.9
2.65
--
214.5 111.5
PG Gabe Vincent $3.1k ATL NY
7.3
2.36
--
215.5 107
SG Landry Shamet $3.1k NY ATL
7.1
2.29
--
215.5 108.5
SF/PF Brooks Barnhizer $3.0k OKC PHO
6.8
2.25
--
214.5 111.5
SG/SF Grayson Allen  Q $5.0k PHO OKC
6.3
1.25
--
214.5 103
SF/PF Javonte Green $3.5k DET ORL
5.8
1.67
--
214.5 108.5
SG/SF Julian Strawther $3.2k DEN MIN
3.6
1.13
--
227.5 114.5
SG/SF Jamal Cain $3.1k ORL DET
3.5
1.14
--
214.5 106
SG/SF Corey Kispert $3.1k ATL NY
3.1
1.01
--
215.5 107
C Zeke Nnaji $3.2k DEN MIN
2.8
0.89
--
227.5 114.5
PF/C Kyle Anderson $3.1k MIN DEN
2.3
0.73
--
227.5 113
PG Jose Alvarado $3.1k NY ATL
2.2
0.71
--
215.5 108.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!