DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PF LeBron James $9.4k EXP. LAL HOU
49.4
5.25
--
208.5 102
PF Jalen Johnson $10.0k EXP. ATL NY
46.2
4.62
--
218.5 106.5
PF/C Karl-Anthony Towns $8.3k EXP. NY ATL
44.7
5.39
--
218.5 112
PG Jalen Brunson $8.5k EXP. NY ATL
43.5
5.12
--
218.5 112
SF Kevin Durant  Q $8.4k EXP. HOU LAL
40.7
4.84
--
208.5 106.5
C Alperen Sengun $8.2k EXP. HOU LAL
39.6
4.83
--
208.5 106.5
PG Amen Thompson $7.8k EXP. HOU LAL
39.5
5.07
--
208.5 106.5
PG/SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $7.2k EXP. ATL NY
35.0
4.86
--
218.5 106.5
SF Dyson Daniels $6.4k EXP. ATL NY
31.8
4.97
--
218.5 106.5
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.1k EXP. ATL NY
31.3
5.13
--
218.5 106.5
PF OG Anunoby $6.5k EXP. NY ATL
30.4
4.68
--
218.5 112
C Onyeka Okongwu $6.6k EXP. ATL NY
30.4
4.61
--
218.5 106.5
SG/SF Josh Hart $6.0k EXP. NY ATL
29.0
4.83
--
218.5 112
PF/C Jabari Smith Jr. $6.1k EXP. HOU LAL
27.8
4.57
--
208.5 106.5
SF Mikal Bridges $5.5k EXP. NY ATL
26.5
4.82
--
218.5 112
C Deandre Ayton $5.5k EXP. LAL HOU
26.2
4.76
--
208.5 102
SG/SF Marcus Smart $4.6k EXP. LAL HOU
24.4
5.30
--
208.5 102
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $4.6k EXP. HOU LAL
24.1
5.24
--
208.5 106.5
PG/SG Luke Kennard $4.9k EXP. LAL HOU
23.6
4.82
--
208.5 102
SF/PF Rui Hachimura $4.5k EXP. LAL HOU
21.6
4.80
--
208.5 102
SG/SF Jake LaRavia $4.8k LAL HOU
20.5
4.27
--
208.5 102
SG/SF Tari Eason $4.3k HOU LAL
19.6
4.56
--
208.5 106.5
SF/PF Jonathan Kuminga $4.7k ATL NY
19.5
4.14
--
218.5 106.5
C Mitchell Robinson $4.4k NY ATL
19.4
4.42
--
218.5 112
C Jaxson Hayes $4.3k LAL HOU
16.2
3.78
--
208.5 102
PG/SG Miles McBride $3.9k NY ATL
14.8
3.80
--
218.5 112
SG/SF Josh Okogie $3.6k HOU LAL
12.2
3.39
--
208.5 106.5
PF Jarred Vanderbilt $3.5k LAL HOU
11.8
3.36
--
208.5 102
SG Landry Shamet $3.5k NY ATL
10.7
3.05
--
218.5 112
SG/SF Zaccharie Risacher $3.0k ATL NY
10.0
3.32
--
218.5 106.5
C Clint Capela $3.2k HOU LAL
8.2
2.58
--
208.5 106.5
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $3.7k ATL NY
7.4
2.00
--
218.5 106.5
PG Gabe Vincent $3.3k ATL NY
6.3
1.90
--
218.5 106.5
SG/SF Corey Kispert $3.4k ATL NY
5.9
1.75
--
218.5 106.5
PF/C Maxi Kleber $3.3k LAL HOU
5.8
1.76
--
208.5 102
PG Bronny James $3.4k LAL HOU
5.6
1.63
--
208.5 102
SG/SF Jordan Clarkson $3.3k NY ATL
5.4
1.64
--
218.5 112
PG/SG Aaron Holiday $3.3k HOU LAL
3.3
0.99
--
208.5 106.5
SF/PF Jae'Sean Tate $3.1k HOU LAL
2.5
0.81
--
208.5 106.5
PG Nick Smith Jr. $3.2k LAL HOU
1.2
0.38
--
208.5 102
PG Jose Alvarado $3.0k NY ATL
0.5
0.15
--
218.5 112
Load All Players

Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!