DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Nikola Jokic $12.7k EXP. DEN MIN
70.3
5.54
--
224.5 115
PF Jayson Tatum $9.5k EXP. BOS PHI
53.2
5.60
--
212.5 109
PG Jamal Murray $9.0k EXP. DEN MIN
49.9
5.55
--
224.5 115
PF/C Karl-Anthony Towns $8.7k EXP. NY ATL
49.3
5.67
--
214.5 108.5
PG Jalen Brunson $8.2k EXP. NY ATL
47.4
5.78
--
214.5 108.5
SG/SF Jaylen Brown $8.8k EXP. BOS PHI
47.1
5.35
--
212.5 109
PG Tyrese Maxey $8.5k EXP. PHI BOS
44.0
5.18
--
212.5 103.5
C Joel Embiid  Q $8.6k EXP. PHI BOS
42.3
4.92
--
212.5 103.5
PF Julius Randle $7.8k EXP. MIN DEN
42.2
5.41
--
224.5 109.5
PF Jalen Johnson $8.6k EXP. ATL NY
40.3
4.69
--
214.5 106
PG/SG Ayo Dosunmu $6.6k EXP. MIN DEN
36.7
5.56
--
224.5 109.5
PF OG Anunoby $6.5k EXP. NY ATL
35.3
5.43
--
214.5 108.5
C Rudy Gobert $6.4k EXP. MIN DEN
33.9
5.30
--
224.5 109.5
SF/PF Paul George $6.7k EXP. PHI BOS
33.8
5.04
--
212.5 103.5
SF Jaden McDaniels $6.5k EXP. MIN DEN
33.7
5.18
--
224.5 109.5
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.8k EXP. ATL NY
32.4
4.76
--
214.5 106
PG/SG VJ Edgecombe $6.1k EXP. PHI BOS
32.1
5.26
--
212.5 103.5
SG/SF Josh Hart  Q $6.3k EXP. NY ATL
31.5
5.00
--
214.5 108.5
PG/SG Payton Pritchard $6.0k BOS PHI
31.0
5.17
--
212.5 109
PF/C Naz Reid $5.5k MIN DEN
30.7
5.58
--
224.5 109.5
PG/SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $6.4k EXP. ATL NY
30.5
4.77
--
214.5 106
SF Dyson Daniels $6.2k EXP. ATL NY
30.3
4.89
--
214.5 106
PG Derrick White $5.7k EXP. BOS PHI
28.3
4.96
--
212.5 109
C Onyeka Okongwu $5.9k EXP. ATL NY
27.9
4.73
--
214.5 106
SF/PF Cameron Johnson $4.8k EXP. DEN MIN
26.4
5.50
--
224.5 115
PF/C Aaron Gordon  Q $5.4k EXP. DEN MIN
25.7
4.76
--
224.5 115
C Neemias Queta $4.8k EXP. BOS PHI
24.8
5.17
--
212.5 109
PG/SG Bones Hyland  Q $4.5k MIN DEN
24.3
5.39
--
224.5 109.5
SG/SF Kelly Oubre Jr. $5.2k EXP. PHI BOS
24.2
4.65
--
212.5 103.5
SF/PF Jonathan Kuminga $5.1k ATL NY
23.7
4.64
--
214.5 106
SG Christian Braun $4.7k EXP. DEN MIN
23.5
4.99
--
224.5 115
C Nikola Vucevic $4.4k BOS PHI
22.5
5.10
--
212.5 109
SF Mikal Bridges $4.6k EXP. NY ATL
22.3
4.85
--
214.5 108.5
PG/SG Miles McBride $3.9k NY ATL
19.6
5.03
--
214.5 108.5
SG/SF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.2k DEN MIN
19.1
4.55
--
224.5 115
PG/SG Bruce Brown $3.6k DEN MIN
17.5
4.87
--
224.5 115
PG Mike Conley $3.8k EXP. MIN DEN
16.8
4.42
--
224.5 109.5
SF/PF Sam Hauser $3.9k EXP. BOS PHI
16.8
4.31
--
212.5 109
PG/SG Quentin Grimes $4.2k PHI BOS
16.3
3.89
--
212.5 103.5
C Mitchell Robinson $3.8k NY ATL
15.8
4.16
--
214.5 108.5
PG Gabe Vincent $3.3k ATL NY
14.3
4.35
--
214.5 106
SG/SF Jordan Clarkson $3.4k NY ATL
13.2
3.88
--
214.5 108.5
PF Spencer Jones $4.1k DEN MIN
10.8
2.64
--
224.5 115
PF/C Kyle Anderson $3.3k MIN DEN
10.2
3.09
--
224.5 109.5
C Andre Drummond $3.6k PHI BOS
10.1
2.80
--
212.5 103.5
PG Jose Alvarado $3.1k NY ATL
10.0
3.23
--
214.5 108.5
SG/SF Baylor Scheierman $3.2k BOS PHI
8.9
2.79
--
212.5 109
SG/SF Terrence Shannon Jr. $3.3k MIN DEN
8.8
2.67
--
224.5 109.5
SG/SF Zaccharie Risacher $3.0k ATL NY
8.7
2.90
--
214.5 106
C Tony Bradley $3.1k ATL NY
8.6
2.78
--
214.5 106
SF/PF Justin Edwards $3.0k PHI BOS
8.2
2.75
--
212.5 103.5
PF/C Asa Newell $3.0k ATL NY
8.1
2.71
--
214.5 106
SF Buddy Hield $3.0k ATL NY
8.0
2.66
--
214.5 106
PF Jordan Walsh $3.3k BOS PHI
7.8
2.36
--
212.5 109
SG/SF Corey Kispert $3.1k ATL NY
7.7
2.48
--
214.5 106
C Christian Koloko $3.0k ATL NY
6.8
2.28
--
214.5 106
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $3.0k ATL NY
6.7
2.22
--
214.5 106
PG Keaton Wallace $3.0k ATL NY
6.0
1.99
--
214.5 106
PG RayJ Dennis $3.0k ATL NY
5.6
1.87
--
214.5 106
PF/C Dominick Barlow $3.1k PHI BOS
3.9
1.25
--
212.5 103.5
SF Jaylen Clark $3.2k MIN DEN
2.5
0.77
--
224.5 109.5
PG Tyus Jones $3.3k DEN MIN
2.3
0.69
--
224.5 115
C Adem Bona $3.0k PHI BOS
2.2
0.73
--
212.5 103.5
C Luka Garza $3.2k BOS PHI
1.9
0.58
--
212.5 109
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!