FANDUEL NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C/PFD. Sabonis$10.8kEXP.SACMIA2
48.2
4.46
PGJ. Brunson$9.6kEXP.NYDET20
45.2
4.71
223117
PGT. Haliburton$9.7kEXP.INDTOR15
44.2
4.56
PG/SFS. Barnes$9.3kEXP.TORIND11
42.9
4.61
CBam Adebayo$9.0kEXP.MIASAC18
41.5
4.61
PGDe'Aaron Fox$9.8kEXP.SACMIA13
39.7
4.05
PF/CJ. Jackson$8.8kEXP.MEMBKN10
38.7
4.39
PG/SGCade Cunningham$8.5kEXP.DETNY7
37.1
4.37
223106
SFP. Siakam$7.8kEXP.INDTOR30
37.0
4.75
CM. Turner$7.1kEXP.INDTOR15
34.6
4.87
SG/SFM. Bridges$7.8kEXP.BKNMEM14
34.1
4.37
PGT. Herro Q$7.5kEXP.MIASAC17
34.0
4.53
PF/CP. Achiuwa$7.4kEXP.NYDET28
33.3
4.50
223117
SG/SFD. DiVincenzo$7.6kEXP.NYDET20
33.0
4.34
223117
PG/SGI. Quickley$6.9kEXP.TORIND11
32.9
4.77
SG/SGV. Williams$7.1kEXP.MEMBKN1
32.8
4.62
CNic Claxton$7.2kEXP.BKNMEM22
32.7
4.54
CJ. Duren$7.9kEXP.DETNY1
32.2
4.07
223106
SGRJ Barrett$7.3kEXP.TORIND25
31.6
4.33
PG/SFCam Thomas$7.0kEXP.BKNMEM21
31.5
4.50
CJ. Poeltl$6.8kEXP.TORIND3
31.3
4.60
PGT. Rozier Q$6.0kMIASAC17
30.9
5.16
SF/PFJosh Hart$6.9kEXP.NYDET23
30.4
4.41
223117
C/CI. Hartenstein$6.5kEXP.NYDET29
29.7
4.56
223117
SG/PGMalik Monk$6.7kSACMIA12
27.5
4.11
SG/PGJaden Ivey$6.4kEXP.DETNY17
26.4
4.13
223106
SF/SGA. Thompson$6.3kEXP.DETNY20
26.3
4.18
223106
PF/PFC. Martin$5.5kEXP.MIASAC23
26.0
4.73
SG/PFA. Nesmith Q$5.1kEXP.INDTOR24
25.7
5.04
SFJ. Jaquez$5.9kEXP.MIASAC5
25.3
4.28
SF/PFB. Bogdanovic$6.1kNYDET23
25.2
4.13
223117
PG/PFBen Simmons Q$6.3kBKNMEM21
25.1
3.99
PF/CS. Aldama$5.8kEXP.MEMBKN10
25.0
4.30
SG/SFD. Robinson$5.6kEXP.MIASAC21
24.0
4.28
SG/SFB. Mathurin$5.8kINDTOR24
24.0
4.13
PG/PGA. Nembhard$5.9kEXP.INDTOR15
23.9
4.05
PFGG Jackson$6.2kMEMBKN10
23.8
3.83
C/PFI. Jackson$5.3kINDTOR15
23.5
4.43
PF/PFK. Murray$5.5kEXP.SACMIA17
23.3
4.23
PGT.J. McConnell$5.4kINDTOR15
23.2
4.30
PF/PFC. Johnson$5.4kBKNMEM3
23.1
4.27
PGJ. Goodwin$4.3kMEMBKN25
22.9
5.32
SGGary Trent$4.9kEXP.TORIND25
22.5
4.58
SF/PFS. Fontecchio$5.6kDETNY20
22.5
4.02
223106
SG/SFK. Huerter$5.6kEXP.SACMIA12
22.2
3.96
C/PFK. Olynyk$6.0kTORIND3
21.7
3.62
SGZ. Williams$4.6kEXP.MEMBKN1
21.4
4.65
PGB. Brown$4.7kTORIND11
21.3
4.53
SF/SFH. Highsmith$4.5kMIASAC5
21.0
4.67
PG/SGAlec Burks$5.0kNYDET20
20.4
4.08
223117
PG/SFLuke Kennard$4.8kEXP.MEMBKN25
20.4
4.26
PFL. Stevens$4.6kMEMBKN10
20.3
4.41
PFJ. Smith$4.5kINDTOR13
20.0
4.44
PGD. Smith$5.1kBKNMEM21
19.9
3.91
SF/PFH. Barnes$4.3kEXP.SACMIA18
19.6
4.55
PGD. Schroder$5.5kBKNMEM21
19.5
3.55
C/CKevin Love$4.7kMIASAC18
18.9
4.02
PFTrey Lyles$4.0kSACMIA17
18.3
4.56
CD. Sharpe$4.5kBKNMEM22
17.9
3.97
SGEvan Fournier$4.4kDETNY17
17.6
4.00
223106
PF/PFD. Finney-Smith$4.2kEXP.BKNMEM3
17.5
4.15
PFObi Toppin$4.8kINDTOR13
17.2
3.59
SG/SFQ. Grimes$4.1kDETNY17
16.8
4.09
223106
CJericho Sims$4.2kNYDET29
16.7
3.98
223117
PGDerrick Rose$4.2kMEMBKN25
16.4
3.91
SG/SFGradey Dick$4.2kTORIND25
15.9
3.79
PF/PFC. Boucher$3.8kTORIND27
15.5
4.09
SG/SFL. Walker$4.5kBKNMEM14
15.3
3.41
PGM. McBride$4.8kNYDET20
15.3
3.19
223117
CJ. Wiseman$4.1kDETNY1
15.1
3.68
223106
SFJamal Cain$3.5kMIASAC5
14.6
4.17
SFO. Agbaji$3.9kTORIND17
14.5
3.71
SFJake LaRavia$3.6kMEMBKN26
14.3
3.98
PGBen Sheppard$3.7kINDTOR15
14.3
3.87
SFJ. Wilson$3.8kBKNMEM25
14.1
3.71
PGM. Flynn$4.1kDETNY7
14.0
3.42
223106
SF/SFJ. Nwora$3.8kTORIND17
13.9
3.66
SFTroy Brown$3.9kDETNY20
13.5
3.47
223106
PGD. Mitchell$3.8kSACMIA13
13.0
3.41
PFJ. Toppin$3.6kNYDET28
12.4
3.43
223117
SFK. Edwards$3.5kSACMIA18
12.3
3.51
SF/SFDoug McDermott$3.6kINDTOR30
12.1
3.37
SGD. Jeffries$3.5kNYDET20
12.1
3.46
223117
PGIsaiah Wong$3.5kINDTOR15
10.8
3.07
PFJ. Walker$3.6kINDTOR13
8.6
2.40
SGC. Duarte$3.7kSACMIA12
6.8
1.84
CO. Tshiebwe$3.5kINDTOR15
6.7
1.91
SGM. Jones$3.5kSACMIA12
6.6
1.89
SGC. Jones$3.5kSACMIA12
5.8
1.66
CJ. McGee$3.5kSACMIA2
5.4
1.55
PFJ. Johnson$3.5kINDTOR13
4.9
1.39
SFK. Brown$3.5kINDTOR30
4.8
1.36
PGKeon Ellis$3.6kSACMIA13
4.6
1.27
PFJ. Slawson$3.5kSACMIA17
4.6
1.31
PGJordan Ford$3.5kSACMIA13
4.3
1.24
Load All Players

Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!