UNDERDOG NBA OPTIMIZER

Updated: Every 5 Minutes

Our +EV optimizer shows Underdog props that have matching sportsbook lines that are highly favored. Look for props that are -135 or better at multiple books

+EV OPTIMIZER PROP EXPLORER PROP TRENDS

PrizePicks Underdog

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PLAYER	UNDERDOG	BOOK ODDS	TRENDS
Pos	Name	Stat	Line	% to Hit					STRK	L5	L10	H2H	SZN
Cameron Johnson DEN Over 3.5 Rebounds vs MIN Mon 10:30PM ET 53.2 % To Hit 40% L10 Hit Rate 60% L5 Hit Rate -144 -125 -130 -127 L5 60% L10 40% H2H 60% SZN 53%	SF	Cameron Johnson DEN vs. MIN	Over 3.5 Rebounds Rebounds	Over 3.5	53.2%	-144	-125	-130	-127		60%	40%	60%	53%
Deni Avdija POR Under 13.5 Reb+Ast vs SA Sun 9:00PM ET 53.0 % To Hit 50% L10 Hit Rate 60% L5 Hit Rate -126 -136 -125 -124 L5 60% L10 50% H2H 75% SZN 46%	PG	Deni Avdija POR @ SA	Under 13.5 Reb+Ast Reb+Ast	Under 13.5	53.0%	-126	-136	-125	-124		60%	50%	75%	46%
Christian Braun DEN Under 11.5 Points vs MIN Mon 10:30PM ET 52.9 % To Hit 30% L10 Hit Rate 20% L5 Hit Rate -126 -132 -115 -124 L5 20% L10 30% H2H 78% SZN 51%	SG	Christian Braun DEN vs. MIN	Under 11.5 Points Points	Under 11.5	52.9%	-126	-132	-115	-124		20%	30%	78%	51%

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Optimize Your Underdog Slips

The Underdog optimizer looks at real-time odds at multiple sportsbooks, to find you +EV edge for your Underdog slips. Because most SportsBooks set lines independantly, when lines move due to weather, injuries, or other news, these moves happen in the market faster than Underdog adjusts their lines. Using the Optimizer you can see in real-time where the market is, and lock in value before Underdog bumps or takes down props.

Why do props and lines change throughout the day?

Underdog only has a portion of regular line props on their board at any given time. Any prop that is too juiced will be set to a below 1.0 multiplier or bumped. This means that if breaking news suddenly changes the odds on something, Underdog might remove that prop or drop the payout on it. The Underdog Optimizer is constantly refreshing the Underdog board and sportsbook data, so you have a real-time view into both.

What are Underdog bumps?

Bumps are when Underdog increases the prop line above or below SportsBooks lines. Because Prize Picks only has two outcomes to play (more or less), if something is too skewed in one direction they will adjust the line to bring that play closer to 50/50. For example, if Steph Curry has a line of 4.5 three points made, and SportsBooks are carrying this prop at -145 or higher, that means it is heavily favored that Steph will go over 4.5. So Underdog will 'bump' the line to 5, which is closer to a 50/50 outcome. Using the optimizer you can beat these bumps and lock in an edge if you look for plays that are in the -140s across multiple books.

How to predict when a line is about to be bumped?

Typically Underdog will bump a play when multiple books are in the -130s or -140s. This indicates that one side is now favored, so they will want to bring it back closer to 50/50. If you see odds in the -150s or higher, consider those at risk of immediate bumping, and you should look to lock those in fast!