UNDERDOG MLB OPTIMIZER

Updated: Every 5 Minutes

Our +EV optimizer shows Underdog props that have matching sportsbook lines that are highly favored. Look for props that are -135 or better at multiple books

+EV OPTIMIZER PROP EXPLORER PROP TRENDS

PrizePicks Underdog

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PLAYER	UNDERDOG	BOOK ODDS	TRENDS
Pos	Name	Stat	Line	% to Hit					STRK	L5	L10	H2H	SZN
Alex Bregman CHC Over 0.5 Singles vs PHI Mon 6:40PM ET 54.9 % To Hit 60% L10 Hit Rate 80% L5 Hit Rate -120 -145 L5 80% L10 60% H2H 67% SZN 43%	3B	Alex Bregman CHC @ PHI	Over 0.5 Singles Singles	Over 0.5	54.9%	-120	-145			3	80%	60%	67%	43%
Freddie Freeman LAD Over 0.5 Singles vs NYM Mon 10:10PM ET 54.8 % To Hit 50% L10 Hit Rate 80% L5 Hit Rate -134 -130 L5 80% L10 50% H2H 35% SZN 45%	1B	Freddie Freeman LAD vs. NYM	Over 0.5 Singles Singles	Over 0.5	54.8%	-134	-130				80%	50%	35%	45%
Ketel Marte ARI Over 0.5 Runs vs BAL Mon 6:35PM ET 54.1 % To Hit 40% L10 Hit Rate 60% L5 Hit Rate -127 -140 -125 L5 60% L10 40% H2H 67% SZN 45%	2B	Ketel Marte ARI @ BAL	Over 0.5 Runs Runs	Over 0.5	54.1%	-127	-140	-125			60%	40%	67%	45%

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Optimize Your Underdog Slips

The Underdog optimizer looks at real-time odds at multiple sportsbooks, to find you +EV edge for your Underdog slips. Because most SportsBooks set lines independantly, when lines move due to weather, injuries, or other news, these moves happen in the market faster than Underdog adjusts their lines. Using the Optimizer you can see in real-time where the market is, and lock in value before Underdog bumps or takes down props.

Why do props and lines change throughout the day?

Underdog only has a portion of regular line props on their board at any given time. Any prop that is too juiced will be set to a below 1.0 multiplier or bumped. This means that if breaking news suddenly changes the odds on something, Underdog might remove that prop or drop the payout on it. The Underdog Optimizer is constantly refreshing the Underdog board and sportsbook data, so you have a real-time view into both.

What are Underdog bumps?

Bumps are when Underdog increases the prop line above or below SportsBooks lines. Because Prize Picks only has two outcomes to play (more or less), if something is too skewed in one direction they will adjust the line to bring that play closer to 50/50. For example, if Steph Curry has a line of 4.5 three points made, and SportsBooks are carrying this prop at -145 or higher, that means it is heavily favored that Steph will go over 4.5. So Underdog will 'bump' the line to 5, which is closer to a 50/50 outcome. Using the optimizer you can beat these bumps and lock in an edge if you look for plays that are in the -140s across multiple books.

How to predict when a line is about to be bumped?

Typically Underdog will bump a play when multiple books are in the -130s or -140s. This indicates that one side is now favored, so they will want to bring it back closer to 50/50. If you see odds in the -150s or higher, consider those at risk of immediate bumping, and you should look to lock those in fast!