DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PGLuka Doncic$12.0kDALLAC7
63.0
5.25
223112.8
SF/PFJ. Tatum$9.4kBOSMIA24
49.0
5.21
209.5111.8
PGD. Lillard$9.2kMILIND9
48.0
5.22
231.5115
PGT. Haliburton$8.8kINDMIL25
47.5
5.40
231.5116.5
PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander$9.6kOKCNO11
47.5
4.95
214.5111.5
PGJ. Harden$8.2kLACDAL15
45.5
5.55
223110.3
SG/SFPaul George$8.0kLACDAL23
44.0
5.50
223110.3
PG/SGK. Irving$8.6kDALLAC7
44.0
5.12
223112.8
SF/PFK. Leonard Q$8.3kLACDAL28
42.5
5.12
223110.3
CBam Adebayo$8.5kMIABOS8
40.0
4.71
209.597.8
SF/PFP. Siakam$7.5kINDMIL12
39.5
5.27
231.5116.5
PG/SGB. Ingram$7.4kNOOKC16
39.0
5.27
214.5103
SG/SFJ. Brown$7.8kBOSMIA6
38.5
4.94
209.5111.8
PG/SGT. Herro$8.1kMIABOS13
38.3
4.72
209.597.8
SFK. Middleton$7.2kMILIND14
37.0
5.14
231.5115
PGCJ McCollum$7.6kNOOKC16
36.8
4.84
214.5103
PF/CB. Portis$6.6kMILIND24
36.0
5.45
231.5115
PF/CK. Porzingis$7.7kBOSMIA12
35.5
4.61
209.5111.8
CChet Holmgren$6.8kOKCNO18
35.5
5.22
214.5111.5
PG/SFJ. Williams$6.7kOKCNO11
32.0
4.78
214.5111.5
CM. Turner$6.4kINDMIL22
31.5
4.92
231.5116.5
PGJrue Holiday$6.2kBOSMIA14
31.0
5.00
209.5111.8
SG/SFTrey Murphy III$6.5kNOOKC10
30.8
4.73
214.5103
PG/SGJosh Giddey$6.3kOKCNO11
30.5
4.84
214.5111.5
PG/SGD. White$6.9kBOSMIA14
30.0
4.35
209.5111.8
CI. Zubac$5.9kLACDAL6
29.0
4.92
223110.3
CB. Lopez$5.3kMILIND3
29.0
5.47
231.5115
PF/CPJ Washington$5.7kDALLAC10
28.0
4.91
223112.8
CJ. Valanciunas$5.4kNOOKC5
27.0
5.00
214.5103
SG/SFN. Powell$4.5kLACDAL23
26.0
5.78
223110.3
SF/PFJ. Jaquez Jr.$5.5kMIABOS5
25.8
4.68
209.597.8
PGR. Westbrook$5.5kLACDAL15
25.5
4.64
223110.3
CD. Gafford$5.6kDALLAC11
25.3
4.51
223112.8
PGT.J. McConnell$5.1kINDMIL25
23.8
4.66
231.5116.5
SG/SFA. Nesmith$4.8kINDMIL7
23.0
4.79
231.5116.5
SF/PFH. Jones$5.3kNOOKC10
23.0
4.34
214.5103
PG/SGA. Nembhard$4.2kINDMIL25
22.5
5.36
231.5116.5
SFLuguentz Dort$4.2kOKCNO15
21.5
5.12
214.5111.5
PFC. Martin$5.0kMIABOS8
21.0
4.20
209.597.8
PGP. Pritchard$4.8kBOSMIA14
21.0
4.38
209.5111.8
CL. Nance Jr.$4.7kNOOKC5
20.8
4.41
214.5103
PG/SGTerance Mann$4.0kLACDAL15
19.5
4.88
223110.3
PF/CAl Horford$5.2kBOSMIA12
18.5
3.56
209.5111.8
PGD. Wright$3.8kMIABOS13
18.5
4.87
209.597.8
PGJose Alvarado$4.1kNOOKC16
18.5
4.51
214.5103
PFN. Jovic$4.2kMIABOS8
18.0
4.29
209.597.8
SF/PFH. Highsmith$4.3kMIABOS5
17.5
4.07
209.597.8
PG/SGP. Beverley$4.3kMILIND9
17.5
4.07
231.5115
CJ. Smith$4.5kINDMIL22
17.3
3.83
231.5116.5
SGM. Beasley$4.4kMILIND28
17.0
3.86
231.5115
SF/PFNaji Marshall$4.0kNOOKC10
16.5
4.13
214.5103
CKevin Love$4.1kMIABOS8
16.0
3.90
209.597.8
SG/SFTim Hardaway Jr. Q$4.9kDALLAC21
16.0
3.27
223112.8
PG/SGDante Exum$3.7kDALLAC7
16.0
4.32
223112.8
SF/PFJae Crowder$3.6kMILIND14
16.0
4.44
231.5115
SG/SFSam Hauser$4.6kBOSMIA6
15.5
3.37
209.5111.8
SG/SFPat Connaughton$3.8kMILIND28
15.5
4.08
231.5115
PFObi Toppin$3.7kINDMIL1
15.5
4.19
231.5116.5
CM. Plumlee$3.9kLACDAL6
15.3
3.91
223110.3
SG/SFD. Robinson Q$3.8kMIABOS3
15.0
3.95
209.597.8
SF/PFAmir Coffey$3.3kLACDAL28
15.0
4.55
223110.3
SF/PFG. Hayward$3.5kOKCNO15
14.5
4.14
214.5111.5
CD. Lively II$4.0kDALLAC11
14.3
3.56
223112.8
PG/SGC. Wallace$3.3kOKCNO11
14.0
4.24
214.5111.5
SF/PFJosh Green$3.9kDALLAC8
13.8
3.53
223112.8
PG/SGBen Sheppard$3.5kINDMIL25
12.8
3.64
231.5116.5
CJ. Williams$3.3kOKCNO18
12.3
3.71
214.5111.5
SF/PFD. Jones Jr.$3.8kDALLAC8
12.0
3.16
223112.8
PF/CMaxi Kleber$3.5kDALLAC10
12.0
3.43
223112.8
PF/CK. Williams$3.4kOKCNO4
12.0
3.53
214.5111.5
SG/SFIsaiah Joe$3.7kOKCNO4
11.5
3.11
214.5111.5
PGB. Hyland$4.2kLACDAL15
11.3
2.68
223110.3
SFA. Wiggins$3.8kOKCNO15
10.3
2.70
214.5111.5
PG/SGAJ Green$3.2kMILIND9
8.5
2.66
231.5115
PG/SGD. Daniels$3.6kNOOKC16
8.0
2.22
214.5103
SFDoug McDermott$3.2kINDMIL12
6.8
2.11
231.5116.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!