DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PGLuka Doncic Q$12.5kEXP.DALSA26
60.8
4.86
231.5119.8
CN. Jokic$12.1kEXP.DENMIN13
57.0
4.71
213109
CV. Wembanyama$10.6kEXP.SADAL7
50.5
4.76
231.5111.8
SG/SFA. Edwards$9.8kEXP.MINDEN6
47.3
4.82
213104
PG/SGK. Irving$9.2kEXP.DALSA26
44.8
4.86
231.5119.8
PFZion Williamson$8.7kEXP.NOBKN6
43.3
4.97
216.5112
PFP. Banchero$9.0kEXP.ORLCHA20
43.0
4.78
203.5108.5
PGFred VanVleet$8.6kEXP.HOUWAS30
42.3
4.91
229.5118.8
PGJ. Murray$8.3kEXP.DENMIN2
40.5
4.88
213109
SF/PFM. Bridges$8.4kEXP.CHAORL1
40.3
4.79
203.595
PF/CKyle Kuzma Q$8.2kEXP.WASHOU13
39.5
4.82
229.5110.8
PG/SGJ. Green$8.1kEXP.HOUWAS30
39.0
4.81
229.5118.8
SG/SFB. Ingram$7.7kEXP.NOBKN1
36.8
4.77
216.5112
PF/CNaz Reid$7.5kMINDEN17
36.5
4.87
213104
SGCam Thomas$7.2kEXP.BKNNO5
35.8
4.97
216.5104.5
PG/SGD. Vassell$7.3kEXP.SADAL14
34.3
4.69
231.5111.8
SFF. Wagner$7.1kEXP.ORLCHA14
33.5
4.72
203.5108.5
PF/CJ. Smith Jr.$6.9kEXP.HOUWAS22
33.3
4.82
229.5118.8
SF/PFM. Porter Jr.$6.7kEXP.DENMIN6
32.5
4.85
213109
SG/SFB. Miller$6.8kEXP.CHAORL3
32.5
4.78
203.595
SFM. Bridges$6.9kEXP.BKNNO17
32.3
4.67
216.5104.5
CNic Claxton$6.6kEXP.BKNNO19
32.0
4.85
216.5104.5
PG/SGJ. Poole$6.6kEXP.WASHOU3
31.3
4.73
229.5110.8
PGCJ McCollum$6.5kEXP.NOBKN25
30.3
4.65
216.5112
PG/SGD. Schroder$6.3kBKNNO9
30.0
4.76
216.5104.5
PG/SGTre Mann$6.2kEXP.CHAORL8
29.5
4.76
203.595
SG/SFTrey Murphy III$6.1kNOBKN1
29.3
4.80
216.5112
SF/PFJ. Sochan$5.8kEXP.SADAL25
28.8
4.96
231.5111.8
PG/SFAmen Thompson$5.9kEXP.HOUWAS30
28.5
4.83
229.5118.8
SFK. Johnson$5.6kSADAL25
27.8
4.96
231.5111.8
PGMike Conley$5.8kEXP.MINDEN1
27.5
4.74
213104
PGTre Jones$5.6kEXP.SADAL14
27.5
4.91
231.5111.8
CNick Richards$5.7kEXP.CHAORL14
27.3
4.78
203.595
PFA. Gordon$5.7kEXP.DENMIN3
27.0
4.74
213109
PGV. Micic$5.5kEXP.CHAORL8
27.0
4.91
203.595
CW. Carter Jr.$5.6kEXP.ORLCHA17
27.0
4.82
203.5108.5
CD. Gafford$5.4kEXP.DALSA27
27.0
5.00
231.5119.8
PFC. Kispert$5.5kEXP.WASHOU13
26.3
4.77
229.5110.8
SF/PFKyle Anderson$5.4kEXP.MINDEN4
25.5
4.72
213104
PFC. Johnson$5.4kBKNNO1
25.3
4.68
216.5104.5
PGJ. Suggs$5.2kEXP.ORLCHA22
24.8
4.76
203.5108.5
SF/PFH. Jones Q$5.2kEXP.NOBKN29
24.3
4.66
216.5112
CG. Williams$4.9kCHAORL14
24.3
4.95
203.595
CJ. Valanciunas$5.3kEXP.NOBKN3
24.0
4.53
216.5112
PF/CPJ Washington$5.1kEXP.DALSA18
23.8
4.66
231.5119.8
SG/SFN. Alexander-Walker$5.0kMINDEN6
23.3
4.65
213104
SFJ. McDaniels$4.8kEXP.MINDEN4
22.5
4.69
213104
PF/CD. Finney-Smith Q$4.6kEXP.BKNNO1
22.0
4.78
216.5104.5
CR. Holmes$4.7kEXP.WASHOU20
22.0
4.68
229.5110.8
PFD. Brooks$4.7kEXP.HOUWAS22
21.8
4.63
229.5118.8
CZach Collins$4.5kSADAL7
21.3
4.72
231.5111.8
SG/SFTim Hardaway Jr.$4.5kDALSA29
20.8
4.61
231.5119.8
CJock Landale$4.4kHOUWAS30
20.8
4.72
229.5118.8
PF/CJ. Isaac$4.1kORLCHA20
20.3
4.94
203.5108.5
PG/SGCole Anthony$4.3kORLCHA22
20.0
4.65
203.5108.5
CL. Nance Jr.$4.1kNOBKN3
19.8
4.82
216.5112
SGK. Caldwell-Pope$4.2kEXP.DENMIN4
19.8
4.70
213109
SFJ. Champagnie$4.2kEXP.WASHOU19
19.5
4.64
229.5110.8
PFNaji Marshall$3.9kNOBKN6
19.0
4.87
216.5112
PFD. Bertans$4.0kCHAORL5
18.8
4.69
203.595
CD. Lively II$4.0kDALSA27
18.8
4.69
231.5119.8
PFP. Baldwin Jr.$4.0kWASHOU13
18.3
4.56
229.5110.8
CD. Sharpe$4.0kBKNNO19
18.0
4.50
216.5104.5
SG/SFJ. Champagnie$3.8kEXP.SADAL23
18.0
4.74
231.5111.8
SF/PFD. Jones Jr.$3.8kEXP.DALSA3
17.8
4.67
231.5119.8
PG/SGM. Branham$3.9kSADAL14
17.8
4.55
231.5111.8
PG/SGJ. McLaughlin$3.8kMINDEN1
17.5
4.61
213104
PGD. Smith Jr.$3.8kBKNNO9
17.3
4.54
216.5104.5
PF/CA. Pokusevski$3.7kCHAORL5
17.3
4.66
203.595
PGJ. Butler$3.7kWASHOU3
16.8
4.53
229.5110.8
SG/SFL. Walker IV$3.7kBKNNO5
16.5
4.46
216.5104.5
PF/CM. Wagner$3.7kORLCHA20
16.5
4.46
203.5108.5
PG/SGDante Exum Q$3.7kDALSA26
16.5
4.46
231.5119.8
PGJose Alvarado$3.6kNOBKN25
16.3
4.51
216.5112
PF/CP. Watson$3.5kDENMIN3
16.3
4.64
213109
PF/CJeff Green$3.8kHOUWAS22
16.3
4.28
229.5118.8
SGGary Harris$3.6kEXP.ORLCHA18
16.0
4.44
203.5108.5
PFT.J. Warren$3.7kMINDEN17
15.8
4.26
213104
SG/SFC. Braun$3.3kDENMIN4
15.5
4.70
213109
PGM. Fultz$3.5kORLCHA22
15.5
4.43
203.5108.5
PGR. Jackson$3.4kDENMIN2
15.3
4.49
213109
SG/SFJ. Davis$3.6kWASHOU24
15.3
4.24
229.5110.8
PF/CMaxi Kleber$3.5kDALSA18
15.0
4.29
231.5119.8
PGM. Morris$3.4kMINDEN1
14.8
4.34
213104
PG/SGJ. Hardy$3.4kDALSA26
14.8
4.34
231.5119.8
PF/CD. Barlow$3.3kSADAL14
14.5
4.39
231.5111.8
CJ. Robinson-Earl$3.4kNOBKN3
14.3
4.19
216.5112
PG/SGJ. Hawkins$3.5kNOBKN25
14.3
4.07
216.5112
SGJ. Bernard$3.4kWASHOU24
14.3
4.19
229.5110.8
SG/SFJ. Holiday$3.1kDENMIN4
14.0
4.52
213109
SFJoe Ingles$3.0kORLCHA14
14.0
4.67
203.5108.5
PG/SGB. Wesley$3.0kSADAL14
13.8
4.58
231.5111.8
PF/CAnthony Gill$3.3kWASHOU13
13.8
4.17
229.5110.8
CZeke Nnaji Q$3.0kDENMIN13
13.0
4.33
213109
PGA. Holiday$3.0kHOUWAS30
13.0
4.33
229.5118.8
SGR. Bullock Jr.$3.0kHOUWAS21
12.5
4.17
229.5118.8
PF/CL. Miller$3.0kMINDEN17
12.3
4.08
213104
SGJosh Minott$3.0kMINDEN6
12.0
4.00
213104
PFC. Houstan$3.0kORLCHA20
12.0
4.00
203.5108.5
PGNate Williams$3.0kHOUWAS30
12.0
4.00
229.5118.8
SGW. Moore Jr.$3.0kMINDEN6
11.8
3.92
213104
CLuka Garza$3.2kMINDEN25
8.8
2.73
213104
SF/PFJae'Sean Tate$3.2kHOUWAS28
8.0
2.50
229.5118.8
SF/PFCedi Osman$3.0kSADAL25
7.5
2.50
231.5111.8
PG/SGNick Smith Jr.$3.2kCHAORL8
6.0
1.88
203.595
SG/SFA. Black$3.0kORLCHA18
5.5
1.83
203.5108.5
CGoga Bitadze$3.2kORLCHA17
5.3
1.64
203.5108.5
CB. Marjanovic$3.0kHOUWAS30
5.0
1.67
229.5118.8
PGDaishen Nix$3.0kMINDEN1
4.5
1.50
213104
SFJett Howard$3.0kORLCHA14
4.0
1.33
203.5108.5
PFA. Schofield$3.0kORLCHA20
3.8
1.25
203.5108.5
SFC. Okeke$3.0kORLCHA14
3.5
1.17
203.5108.5
Load All Players

Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!