DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PG Tyrese Maxey $9.5k EXP. PHI ORL
48.9
5.15
--
222.5 112.5
SF Kawhi Leonard $9.2k EXP. LAC GSW
46.7
5.08
--
221.5 113.5
PF Paolo Banchero $8.7k EXP. ORL PHI
44.7
5.14
--
222.5 110
PG Stephen Curry $8.9k EXP. GSW LAC
40.7
4.57
--
221.5 108
PG Darius Garland $7.7k EXP. LAC GSW
39.8
5.17
--
221.5 113.5
SF/PF Paul George $7.9k EXP. PHI ORL
39.2
4.96
--
222.5 112.5
PG Jalen Suggs $6.8k EXP. ORL PHI
35.9
5.27
--
222.5 110
SG Desmond Bane $7.3k EXP. ORL PHI
35.6
4.88
--
222.5 110
PG/SG VJ Edgecombe $7.2k EXP. PHI ORL
35.6
4.95
--
222.5 112.5
PG/SG Brandin Podziemski $6.3k EXP. GSW LAC
30.3
4.81
--
221.5 108
PF/C Draymond Green $6.4k EXP. GSW LAC
29.6
4.63
--
221.5 108
PF/C Kristaps Porzingis $6.0k EXP. GSW LAC
28.2
4.70
--
221.5 108
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin $6.1k LAC GSW
27.9
4.58
--
221.5 113.5
SF/PF Gui Santos $4.6k GSW LAC
27.9
6.06
--
221.5 108
SF Franz Wagner $6.6k EXP. ORL PHI
27.9
4.23
--
222.5 110
C Brook Lopez $4.1k EXP. LAC GSW
27.4
6.68
--
221.5 113.5
C Andre Drummond $4.8k PHI ORL
26.3
5.47
--
222.5 112.5
SG/SF Kelly Oubre Jr. $5.5k EXP. PHI ORL
26.1
4.75
--
222.5 112.5
PF/C John Collins $5.0k LAC GSW
24.3
4.87
--
221.5 113.5
C Wendell Carter Jr. $5.1k EXP. ORL PHI
23.9
4.69
--
222.5 110
PG/SG Quentin Grimes $4.2k PHI ORL
21.5
5.13
--
222.5 112.5
PG/SF De'Anthony Melton $4.4k EXP. GSW LAC
21.1
4.80
--
221.5 108
PG/SG Jordan Miller $4.0k LAC GSW
19.3
4.82
--
221.5 113.5
SG/SF Gary Payton II $3.9k GSW LAC
19.2
4.92
--
221.5 108
PF/C Al Horford $4.7k GSW LAC
18.8
4.00
--
221.5 108
PG/SG Anthony Black $4.3k ORL PHI
18.5
4.31
--
222.5 110
PF/C Dominick Barlow $3.7k PHI ORL
18.5
5.00
--
222.5 112.5
C Goga Bitadze $3.8k ORL PHI
18.1
4.77
--
222.5 110
PF Derrick Jones Jr. $3.8k EXP. LAC GSW
17.9
4.70
--
221.5 113.5
PG/SG Pat Spencer $3.5k GSW LAC
17.4
4.97
--
221.5 108
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $3.6k ORL PHI
17.4
4.83
--
222.5 110
PG/SG Kris Dunn $3.7k EXP. LAC GSW
17.3
4.68
--
221.5 113.5
C Adem Bona $4.5k EXP. PHI ORL
16.1
3.58
--
222.5 112.5
SG/SF Jamal Cain $3.1k ORL PHI
10.8
3.49
--
222.5 110
C Charles Bassey $3.0k GSW LAC
10.3
3.43
--
221.5 108
C Isaiah Jackson  Q $3.3k LAC GSW
9.8
2.97
--
221.5 113.5
PG/SG Seth Curry $3.0k GSW LAC
8.4
2.79
--
221.5 108
PF Malevy Leons $3.0k GSW LAC
8.2
2.73
--
221.5 108
SF/PF Justin Edwards $3.5k PHI ORL
7.8
2.23
--
222.5 112.5
SG/SF Kobe Sanders $3.3k LAC GSW
7.0
2.11
--
221.5 113.5
PF/C Jonathan Isaac  Q $3.0k ORL PHI
6.6
2.19
--
222.5 110
PG Jevon Carter $3.3k ORL PHI
5.9
1.79
--
222.5 110
PF Nate Williams $3.0k GSW LAC
4.0
1.32
--
221.5 108
SG/SF Will Richard $3.4k GSW LAC
2.5
0.72
--
221.5 108
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!