DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Nikola Jokic $12.5k EXP. DEN PHO
66.0
5.28
--
232.5 119
SG Donovan Mitchell $9.3k EXP. CLE ORL
45.8
4.92
--
230.5 120.5
PF Paolo Banchero $8.9k EXP. ORL CLE
45.3
5.09
--
230.5 110
PF/C Karl-Anthony Towns $9.4k EXP. NY NO
44.7
4.75
--
231.5 120
PG James Harden $9.0k EXP. CLE ORL
43.4
4.82
--
230.5 120.5
PG Jalen Brunson $9.5k EXP. NY NO
42.0
4.42
--
231.5 120
PG Jamal Murray $8.8k EXP. DEN PHO
41.9
4.76
--
232.5 119
PF/C Evan Mobley $9.1k EXP. CLE ORL
41.7
4.58
--
230.5 120.5
PG/SG Devin Booker $9.2k EXP. PHO DEN
41.7
4.54
--
232.5 113.5
PG LaMelo Ball $8.6k EXP. CHA SAC
40.7
4.73
--
229.5 123.5
SG/SF Jalen Green $7.8k EXP. PHO DEN
36.7
4.71
--
232.5 113.5
PG/SG Trey Murphy III $7.7k EXP. NO NY
36.6
4.75
--
231.5 111.5
SF Brandon Miller $7.6k EXP. CHA SAC
35.7
4.70
--
229.5 123.5
PG Dejounte Murray $7.5k EXP. NO NY
35.7
4.76
--
231.5 111.5
C Maxime Raynaud $7.0k EXP. SAC CHA
35.4
5.06
--
229.5 106
SG/SF Desmond Bane $7.2k EXP. ORL CLE
35.0
4.86
--
230.5 110
PG/SG Devin Carter $4.1k EXP. SAC CHA
33.5
8.18
--
229.5 106
PF Zion Williamson $7.4k EXP. NO NY
33.5
4.53
--
231.5 111.5
SG/SF Josh Hart $6.6k EXP. NY NO
32.3
4.89
--
231.5 120
PF OG Anunoby $6.8k EXP. NY NO
31.7
4.66
--
231.5 120
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $6.6k EXP. NO NY
31.3
4.74
--
231.5 111.5
SF DeMar DeRozan $7.3k EXP. SAC CHA
31.0
4.25
--
229.5 106
SG Kon Knueppel  Q $6.7k EXP. CHA SAC
30.6
4.57
--
229.5 123.5
PF/C Aaron Gordon $6.4k EXP. DEN PHO
29.5
4.61
--
232.5 119
PG/SG Malik Monk $5.4k SAC CHA
29.4
5.45
--
229.5 106
C Moussa Diabate $5.5k EXP. CHA SAC
27.9
5.07
--
229.5 123.5
PF Miles Bridges $6.1k EXP. CHA SAC
27.4
4.50
--
229.5 123.5
SF Mikal Bridges $5.7k EXP. NY NO
27.3
4.78
--
231.5 120
PG Collin Gillespie $6.2k EXP. PHO DEN
27.3
4.40
--
232.5 113.5
C Wendell Carter Jr. $5.1k EXP. ORL CLE
26.0
5.10
--
230.5 110
SG/SF Grayson Allen  Q $6.9k PHO DEN
25.5
3.70
--
232.5 113.5
PG/SG Coby White $4.7k CHA SAC
24.7
5.25
--
229.5 123.5
SG Christian Braun $5.8k EXP. DEN PHO
24.7
4.26
--
232.5 119
SF/PF Daeqwon Plowden  Q $5.2k EXP. SAC CHA
24.2
4.66
--
229.5 106
C Oso Ighodaro $5.0k EXP. PHO DEN
24.2
4.84
--
232.5 113.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $4.8k EXP. ORL CLE
24.0
5.01
--
230.5 110
C Mitchell Robinson $4.4k NY NO
23.5
5.35
--
231.5 120
SF/PF Cameron Johnson $5.6k EXP. DEN PHO
23.3
4.16
--
232.5 119
PF/C Dylan Cardwell $4.8k SAC CHA
23.1
4.82
--
229.5 106
PF Royce O'Neale  Q $4.9k EXP. PHO DEN
23.1
4.71
--
232.5 113.5
SG Sam Merrill $4.3k EXP. CLE ORL
21.9
5.09
--
230.5 120.5
C Herbert Jones $4.2k EXP. NO NY
21.1
5.03
--
231.5 111.5
SG/SF Max Strus $4.6k CLE ORL
20.3
4.41
--
230.5 120.5
PG/SG Jordan Goodwin $4.7k PHO DEN
20.2
4.30
--
232.5 113.5
PG Jevon Carter $3.6k EXP. ORL CLE
19.0
5.28
--
230.5 110
C Goga Bitadze $4.3k ORL CLE
18.9
4.39
--
230.5 110
SG/SF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.5k DEN PHO
18.9
4.20
--
232.5 119
SF/PF Keon Ellis $4.0k CLE ORL
18.1
4.52
--
230.5 120.5
SF/PF Doug McDermott $3.8k EXP. SAC CHA
17.9
4.70
--
229.5 106
PG Jose Alvarado $4.1k NY NO
17.3
4.21
--
231.5 120
PF/C Karlo Matkovic $3.5k NO NY
17.2
4.92
--
231.5 111.5
C Ryan Kalkbrenner $3.6k CHA SAC
17.1
4.74
--
229.5 123.5
SF/PF Patrick Baldwin Jr. $3.5k SAC CHA
17.1
4.88
--
229.5 106
C Yves Missi $3.9k NO NY
16.8
4.31
--
231.5 111.5
PF Derik Queen $4.0k NO NY
16.7
4.17
--
231.5 111.5
SG/SF Jordan Clarkson $3.9k NY NO
16.4
4.21
--
231.5 120
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $4.4k NO NY
16.4
3.74
--
231.5 111.5
SF Dean Wade $3.5k EXP. CLE ORL
15.7
4.49
--
230.5 120.5
C Thomas Bryant $3.0k CLE ORL
15.7
5.23
--
230.5 120.5
PF/C Rasheer Fleming $3.2k PHO DEN
15.5
4.85
--
232.5 113.5
PF Grant Williams $3.2k CHA SAC
15.1
4.73
--
229.5 123.5
PG Dennis Schroder $3.7k CLE ORL
15.0
4.05
--
230.5 120.5
PG/SG Bruce Brown $3.9k DEN PHO
14.8
3.78
--
232.5 119
SG/SF Jamal Cain $3.3k ORL CLE
14.7
4.46
--
230.5 110
SF/PF Sion James $3.3k CHA SAC
13.9
4.22
--
229.5 123.5
SF/PF Noah Penda $3.2k ORL CLE
13.6
4.23
--
230.5 110
PF Mohamed Diawara $3.5k NY NO
13.5
3.86
--
231.5 120
C Khaman Maluach $3.4k PHO DEN
13.1
3.85
--
232.5 113.5
PG Jase Richardson $3.0k ORL CLE
13.0
4.34
--
230.5 110
SG Jett Howard $3.4k ORL CLE
12.2
3.59
--
230.5 110
PF Spencer Jones $3.7k DEN PHO
11.0
2.97
--
232.5 119
SG/SF Josh Green $3.1k CHA SAC
8.8
2.85
--
229.5 123.5
PF Nae'Qwan Tomlin $3.0k CLE ORL
4.9
1.64
--
230.5 120.5
PF Ryan Dunn $3.4k PHO DEN
4.0
1.18
--
232.5 113.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!