DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PG Luka Doncic $12.2k EXP. LAL OKC
61.7
5.06
--
229.5 110
C Victor Wembanyama $11.7k EXP. SA LAC
53.6
4.58
--
231.5 118
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10.4k EXP. OKC LAL
49.0
4.71
--
229.5 119.5
PG/SG Devin Booker $9.0k EXP. PHO CHA
45.1
5.01
--
222.5 108.5
C Jalen Duren $9.0k EXP. DET MIN
42.9
4.77
--
224.5 114
SG/SF Kawhi Leonard $9.5k EXP. LAC SA
42.8
4.50
--
231.5 113.5
PG LaMelo Ball $8.5k EXP. CHA PHO
42.6
5.01
--
222.5 114
SG Donovan Mitchell $8.9k EXP. CLE GSW
42.5
4.78
--
228.5 119.5
PF/C Evan Mobley $8.4k EXP. CLE GSW
42.3
5.03
--
228.5 119.5
SF/PF Deni Avdija $8.9k EXP. POR NO
42.1
4.73
--
232.5 119.5
PG James Harden $8.7k EXP. CLE GSW
41.3
4.75
--
228.5 119.5
PG Darius Garland $8.4k EXP. LAC SA
40.5
4.83
--
231.5 113.5
PF LeBron James $8.4k EXP. LAL OKC
39.8
4.74
--
229.5 110
PG/SG Austin Reaves $8.2k EXP. LAL OKC
38.8
4.73
--
229.5 110
PF Julius Randle $8.4k EXP. MIN DET
38.6
4.60
--
224.5 110.5
SG Anthony Edwards  Q $9.3k EXP. MIN DET
38.3
4.12
--
224.5 110.5
PG/SG Trey Murphy III  Q $7.7k EXP. NO POR
37.8
4.91
--
232.5 113
PF Chet Holmgren $7.8k EXP. OKC LAL
37.2
4.77
--
229.5 119.5
C Kristaps Porzingis  Q $7.0k EXP. GSW CLE
36.7
5.24
--
228.5 109
SF Brandon Miller $7.5k EXP. CHA PHO
35.9
4.79
--
222.5 114
PG Dejounte Murray $7.5k EXP. NO POR
35.8
4.77
--
232.5 113
PF Zion Williamson $7.3k EXP. NO POR
35.1
4.81
--
232.5 113
SF Jalen Williams $7.5k EXP. OKC LAL
34.6
4.61
--
229.5 119.5
C Rudy Gobert $7.2k EXP. MIN DET
34.1
4.74
--
224.5 110.5
PG Jrue Holiday $7.5k EXP. POR NO
34.0
4.53
--
232.5 119.5
PG Brandin Podziemski $7.5k EXP. GSW CLE
33.4
4.45
--
228.5 109
PG De'Aaron Fox $6.6k EXP. SA LAC
33.4
5.06
--
231.5 118
PG Daniss Jenkins $7.0k EXP. DET MIN
33.2
4.74
--
224.5 114
C Donovan Clingan $8.0k EXP. POR NO
32.6
4.07
--
232.5 119.5
PF Miles Bridges $5.8k EXP. CHA PHO
31.9
5.50
--
222.5 114
PF/C Draymond Green $6.0k EXP. GSW CLE
31.0
5.17
--
228.5 109
SG Stephon Castle $7.3k EXP. SA LAC
30.7
4.21
--
231.5 118
PF Tobias Harris $5.9k EXP. DET MIN
30.5
5.17
--
224.5 114
SF/PF Gui Santos  Q $6.8k EXP. GSW CLE
30.2
4.45
--
228.5 109
SF Ausar Thompson $5.8k EXP. DET MIN
29.8
5.15
--
224.5 114
PF/C John Collins $5.5k EXP. LAC SA
29.5
5.36
--
231.5 113.5
SG/SF Toumani Camara $5.6k EXP. POR NO
29.1
5.20
--
232.5 119.5
C Moussa Diabate $5.6k EXP. CHA PHO
29.0
5.18
--
222.5 114
PG Donte DiVincenzo $5.5k EXP. MIN DET
28.7
5.22
--
224.5 110.5
SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu $6.7k EXP. MIN DET
28.7
4.29
--
224.5 110.5
C Isaiah Hartenstein $6.0k EXP. OKC LAL
28.2
4.70
--
229.5 119.5
PG Scoot Henderson $5.7k EXP. POR NO
28.1
4.93
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Jalen Green $7.7k EXP. PHO CHA
27.6
3.59
--
222.5 108.5
PF/C Naz Reid $5.6k MIN DET
27.5
4.91
--
224.5 110.5
C Brook Lopez $5.2k EXP. LAC SA
27.2
5.22
--
231.5 113.5
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin $7.2k LAC SA
26.9
3.74
--
231.5 113.5
C Jarrett Allen $6.5k EXP. CLE GSW
26.6
4.10
--
228.5 119.5
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $6.5k EXP. NO POR
26.5
4.08
--
232.5 113
SG Kon Knueppel $6.6k EXP. CHA PHO
26.2
3.97
--
222.5 114
PG Collin Gillespie $5.8k EXP. PHO CHA
25.7
4.43
--
222.5 108.5
SF Devin Vassell $4.8k EXP. SA LAC
25.3
5.28
--
231.5 118
SG/SF Grayson Allen $6.0k PHO CHA
24.7
4.12
--
222.5 108.5
C Deandre Ayton $5.1k EXP. LAL OKC
24.5
4.80
--
229.5 110
C Mark Williams  Q $5.3k EXP. PHO CHA
24.1
4.55
--
222.5 108.5
SG/SF De'Anthony Melton  Q $5.5k EXP. GSW CLE
23.9
4.35
--
228.5 109
PF Dillon Brooks $6.5k EXP. PHO CHA
23.0
3.54
--
222.5 108.5
PF Royce O'Neale $4.7k PHO CHA
22.8
4.84
--
222.5 108.5
PG/SG Bones Hyland $4.8k MIN DET
22.4
4.67
--
224.5 110.5
SG Duncan Robinson $4.5k EXP. DET MIN
22.0
4.89
--
224.5 114
PG Ajay Mitchell $5.2k OKC LAL
21.5
4.13
--
229.5 119.5
SG Sam Merrill $4.4k EXP. CLE GSW
21.4
4.86
--
228.5 119.5
PG/SG Coby White $5.2k CHA PHO
21.3
4.09
--
222.5 114
PG/SG Dylan Harper $4.7k SA LAC
21.3
4.52
--
231.5 118
SG/SF Gary Payton II  Q $5.1k GSW CLE
21.0
4.12
--
228.5 109
C Oso Ighodaro $5.2k PHO CHA
20.9
4.02
--
222.5 108.5
C Yves Missi $3.9k NO POR
20.9
5.36
--
232.5 113
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $4.1k DET MIN
20.8
5.08
--
224.5 114
SF/PF Julian Champagnie $4.3k EXP. SA LAC
20.7
4.81
--
231.5 118
SF/PF Herbert Jones $4.5k EXP. NO POR
20.7
4.60
--
232.5 113
SG/SF Jake LaRavia $4.1k EXP. LAL OKC
20.5
5.00
--
229.5 110
PG/SG Kris Dunn $4.4k LAC SA
20.3
4.61
--
231.5 113.5
PG/SG Jordan Goodwin $4.7k PHO CHA
20.0
4.25
--
222.5 108.5
C Robert Williams $4.2k POR NO
19.9
4.73
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Keldon Johnson $4.4k SA LAC
19.8
4.51
--
231.5 118
SG/SF Max Strus $4.3k CLE GSW
19.5
4.53
--
228.5 119.5
SG/SF Kris Murray $3.7k POR NO
19.5
5.28
--
232.5 119.5
PF Derik Queen $4.1k NO POR
19.5
4.75
--
232.5 113
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $4.6k NO POR
19.5
4.24
--
232.5 113
SF/PF Keon Ellis $4.2k CLE GSW
19.3
4.60
--
228.5 119.5
SF/PF Derrick Jones Jr. $4.8k EXP. LAC SA
19.3
4.03
--
231.5 113.5
C Paul Reed $4.3k DET MIN
19.2
4.47
--
224.5 114
PG/SG Pat Spencer $4.0k GSW CLE
18.9
4.72
--
228.5 109
PG/SG Caris LeVert $4.2k DET MIN
18.8
4.47
--
224.5 114
SG/SF Cason Wallace $4.4k OKC LAL
18.5
4.21
--
229.5 119.5
SG/SF Will Richard $4.1k GSW CLE
18.3
4.45
--
228.5 109
PG Dennis Schroder $3.8k CLE GSW
17.5
4.60
--
228.5 119.5
PF/C Kyle Anderson $3.8k MIN DET
17.2
4.52
--
224.5 110.5
PG/SG Jordan Miller $4.3k LAC SA
17.1
3.98
--
231.5 113.5
C Jaxson Hayes $3.7k LAL OKC
17.0
4.61
--
229.5 110
PG/SG Luke Kennard $3.5k LAL OKC
16.9
4.83
--
229.5 110
PF/C Karlo Matkovic  Q $3.6k NO POR
16.9
4.68
--
232.5 113
C Thomas Bryant $3.6k CLE GSW
16.8
4.67
--
228.5 119.5
SF/PF Alex Caruso  Q $3.6k OKC LAL
16.7
4.65
--
229.5 119.5
SF/PF Rui Hachimura $3.9k LAL OKC
16.6
4.26
--
229.5 110
C Jaylin Williams $4.6k OKC LAL
16.0
3.47
--
229.5 119.5
SG Luguentz Dort $3.5k EXP. OKC LAL
15.8
4.51
--
229.5 119.5
SF/PF Matisse Thybulle $3.6k POR NO
15.4
4.29
--
232.5 119.5
PF Harrison Barnes $3.5k SA LAC
15.2
4.35
--
231.5 118
C Luke Kornet  Q $3.4k SA LAC
15.2
4.47
--
231.5 118
PF Grant Williams $3.2k CHA PHO
14.9
4.66
--
222.5 114
C Ryan Kalkbrenner $3.2k CHA PHO
14.9
4.64
--
222.5 114
PF Ronald Holland II $3.8k DET MIN
14.8
3.89
--
224.5 114
PF/C Sidy Cissoko $3.2k POR NO
12.0
3.74
--
232.5 119.5
SF/PF Sion James $3.4k CHA PHO
11.1
3.26
--
222.5 114
C Quinten Post  O $3.4k GSW CLE
10.3
3.02
--
228.5 109
SG Isaiah Joe $4.0k OKC LAL
10.3
2.58
--
229.5 119.5
SF/PF Javonte Green $3.7k DET MIN
10.0
2.70
--
224.5 114
PG Mike Conley $3.6k MIN DET
9.8
2.72
--
224.5 110.5
PG L.J. Cryer $3.1k GSW CLE
9.6
3.11
--
228.5 109
PG Craig Porter Jr. $3.2k CLE GSW
9.0
2.82
--
228.5 119.5
SG/SF Josh Green $3.1k CHA PHO
8.4
2.73
--
222.5 114
PG/SG Jared McCain $3.3k OKC LAL
8.4
2.54
--
229.5 119.5
SF Carter Bryant $3.1k SA LAC
7.8
2.51
--
231.5 118
PF Nicolas Batum $3.2k LAC SA
7.7
2.41
--
231.5 113.5
PF Jarred Vanderbilt $3.2k LAL OKC
7.2
2.25
--
229.5 110
PG/SG Marcus Sasser  Q $4.7k DET MIN
5.6
1.19
--
224.5 114
PF/C Rasheer Fleming $3.3k PHO CHA
3.4
1.03
--
222.5 108.5
PF Nae'Qwan Tomlin $3.3k CLE GSW
2.2
0.65
--
228.5 119.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!