DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Nikola Jokic $12.5k EXP. DEN MEM
68.7
5.50
--
244.5 133.5
PF Jalen Johnson $10.3k EXP. ATL CLE
48.3
4.69
--
236.5 117.5
SF/PF Deni Avdija $9.0k EXP. POR SA
47.0
5.22
--
229.5 113
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10.4k EXP. OKC LAC
46.9
4.51
--
225.5 116
PF Paolo Banchero $9.1k EXP. ORL MIN
44.9
4.94
--
229.5 118
PG Jamal Murray $8.4k EXP. DEN MEM
44.0
5.24
--
244.5 133.5
SG/SF Kawhi Leonard $9.4k EXP. LAC OKC
44.0
4.68
--
225.5 109.5
SG Donovan Mitchell  Q $9.0k EXP. CLE ATL
42.2
4.69
--
236.5 119
PG/SG Devin Booker $9.3k EXP. PHO DAL
42.2
4.54
--
231.5 121
PF/C Evan Mobley $8.7k EXP. CLE ATL
42.1
4.83
--
236.5 119
PG James Harden $8.8k EXP. CLE ATL
42.0
4.77
--
236.5 119
PG Cade Cunningham  Q $10.3k EXP. DET MIL
41.7
4.05
--
220.5 119.5
PG Cooper Flagg $9.8k EXP. DAL PHO
41.5
4.24
--
231.5 110.5
SG Anthony Edwards  Q $8.8k EXP. MIN ORL
41.3
4.69
--
229.5 111.5
C Jalen Duren $8.6k EXP. DET MIL
40.8
4.74
--
220.5 119.5
PG Jrue Holiday $7.4k EXP. POR SA
39.7
5.36
--
229.5 113
PF Julius Randle $8.5k EXP. MIN ORL
38.8
4.56
--
229.5 111.5
PG Darius Garland $8.0k EXP. LAC OKC
37.1
4.64
--
225.5 109.5
PG Jalen Suggs $6.6k EXP. ORL MIN
34.8
5.28
--
229.5 118
PG De'Aaron Fox $6.8k EXP. SA POR
34.8
5.12
--
229.5 116.5
C Onyeka Okongwu $5.9k EXP. ATL CLE
34.7
5.88
--
236.5 117.5
SG Desmond Bane $7.3k EXP. ORL MIN
34.5
4.73
--
229.5 118
PF Chet Holmgren $7.4k EXP. OKC LAC
34.3
4.64
--
225.5 116
SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu $7.1k EXP. MIN ORL
34.2
4.82
--
229.5 111.5
C Donovan Clingan $7.5k EXP. POR SA
34.2
4.56
--
229.5 113
SG Jalen Green $8.1k EXP. PHO DAL
33.8
4.17
--
231.5 121
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.0k EXP. ATL CLE
33.7
5.62
--
236.5 117.5
PG/SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $6.9k EXP. ATL CLE
33.7
4.88
--
236.5 117.5
C Jarrett Allen $6.3k EXP. CLE ATL
32.9
5.22
--
236.5 119
SG/SF Toumani Camara $5.9k EXP. POR SA
32.9
5.57
--
229.5 113
SF Dyson Daniels $6.3k EXP. ATL CLE
31.6
5.01
--
236.5 117.5
C Rudy Gobert $6.9k EXP. MIN ORL
31.2
4.52
--
229.5 111.5
PF/C Aaron Gordon $5.9k EXP. DEN MEM
30.3
5.14
--
244.5 133.5
PG Scoot Henderson $5.6k EXP. POR SA
30.2
5.40
--
229.5 113
SF Jalen Williams  Q $7.3k EXP. OKC LAC
29.9
4.10
--
225.5 116
PG Daniss Jenkins $7.5k DET MIL
29.4
3.92
--
220.5 119.5
PG Ryan Rollins  Q $9.5k EXP. MIL DET
28.4
2.99
--
220.5 101
SF Ausar Thompson $5.9k EXP. DET MIL
28.0
4.75
--
220.5 119.5
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin $6.6k LAC OKC
27.9
4.23
--
225.5 109.5
C Wendell Carter Jr.  Q $5.1k EXP. ORL MIN
27.7
5.43
--
229.5 118
SG/SF Naji Marshall  Q $6.5k EXP. DAL PHO
27.5
4.23
--
231.5 110.5
SF Devin Vassell $5.9k EXP. SA POR
27.5
4.66
--
229.5 116.5
PF Tobias Harris $5.6k EXP. DET MIL
27.0
4.82
--
220.5 119.5
SF/PF Julian Champagnie $5.8k EXP. SA POR
26.8
4.62
--
229.5 116.5
C Isaiah Hartenstein $5.6k EXP. OKC LAC
26.6
4.75
--
225.5 116
SF/PF Ousmane Dieng $7.3k EXP. MIL DET
26.4
3.62
--
220.5 101
PF/C Naz Reid $5.7k MIN ORL
26.4
4.64
--
229.5 111.5
PG/SG Dylan Harper $5.5k SA POR
26.2
4.77
--
229.5 116.5
PG Walter Clayton Jr. $4.4k MEM DEN
26.1
5.93
--
244.5 111
SF Cedric Coward $5.6k MEM DEN
26.0
4.64
--
244.5 111
PF Dillon Brooks $6.6k EXP. PHO DAL
25.8
3.90
--
231.5 121
PG Donte DiVincenzo $5.2k EXP. MIN ORL
25.5
4.91
--
229.5 111.5
PF/C John Collins $5.4k LAC OKC
25.4
4.71
--
225.5 109.5
SF/PF Cameron Johnson $5.2k EXP. DEN MEM
25.3
4.87
--
244.5 133.5
C Brook Lopez $5.3k EXP. LAC OKC
24.7
4.66
--
225.5 109.5
PG Collin Gillespie $5.8k PHO DAL
24.6
4.24
--
231.5 121
SF Franz Wagner $6.9k EXP. ORL MIN
24.2
3.50
--
229.5 118
SG/SF Grayson Allen $6.0k PHO DAL
24.2
4.03
--
231.5 121
SG Christian Braun $5.0k EXP. DEN MEM
24.0
4.80
--
244.5 133.5
PG/SG Brandon Williams  Q $5.0k DAL PHO
23.9
4.77
--
231.5 110.5
C Mark Williams $5.2k EXP. PHO DAL
23.8
4.57
--
231.5 121
PF/C Taylor Hendricks $5.1k MEM DEN
23.5
4.61
--
244.5 111
C Myles Turner  Q $6.3k EXP. MIL DET
23.3
3.69
--
220.5 101
SG/SF Keldon Johnson $4.9k SA POR
23.2
4.74
--
229.5 116.5
PG/SG AJ Green $4.9k MIL DET
23.1
4.72
--
220.5 101
SG Sam Merrill $4.7k CLE ATL
22.9
4.87
--
236.5 119
PF/C Bobby Portis  Q $7.7k MIL DET
22.9
2.97
--
220.5 101
SF/PF Rayan Rupert $4.7k MEM DEN
22.8
4.86
--
244.5 111
PG Dennis Schroder $4.9k CLE ATL
22.2
4.52
--
236.5 119
PG Ajay Mitchell $4.8k OKC LAC
21.8
4.54
--
225.5 116
C Robert Williams $4.2k POR SA
21.8
5.19
--
229.5 113
PF Kyle Kuzma  Q $6.5k EXP. MIL DET
21.7
3.33
--
220.5 101
SF/PF Keon Ellis $4.6k CLE ATL
21.2
4.60
--
236.5 119
SF/PF Derrick Jones Jr. $4.6k EXP. LAC OKC
21.1
4.59
--
225.5 109.5
SG Max Christie $4.3k EXP. DAL PHO
21.1
4.92
--
231.5 110.5
PG/SG Kris Dunn $4.2k EXP. LAC OKC
20.8
4.95
--
225.5 109.5
PF Royce O'Neale $4.5k PHO DAL
20.7
4.60
--
231.5 121
C Marvin Bagley III $4.2k DAL PHO
20.2
4.82
--
231.5 110.5
SG Lucas Williamson $4.4k MEM DEN
20.1
4.57
--
244.5 111
SG Duncan Robinson $4.5k EXP. DET MIL
20.1
4.46
--
220.5 119.5
C Luke Kornet $4.4k EXP. SA POR
19.9
4.52
--
229.5 116.5
PG Adama Bal $4.3k MEM DEN
19.7
4.58
--
244.5 111
PG/SG Bones Hyland $5.0k MIN ORL
19.6
3.93
--
229.5 111.5
PF/C Isaiah Stewart  Q $5.0k DET MIL
19.4
3.88
--
220.5 119.5
PG/SG Jordan Miller $4.1k LAC OKC
19.4
4.72
--
225.5 109.5
SF/PF Jonathan Kuminga $4.1k ATL CLE
19.3
4.70
--
236.5 117.5
PF Dariq Whitehead $4.2k MEM DEN
19.3
4.61
--
244.5 111
SF/PF Pete Nance $5.6k MIL DET
19.2
3.43
--
220.5 101
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $4.8k DET MIL
19.1
3.98
--
220.5 119.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $4.9k ORL MIN
19.0
3.87
--
229.5 118
C Daniel Gafford  Q $4.8k EXP. DAL PHO
19.0
3.96
--
231.5 110.5
SG/SF Max Strus $4.8k EXP. CLE ATL
18.9
3.94
--
236.5 119
SG/SF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.0k DEN MEM
18.8
4.69
--
244.5 133.5
SG/SF Jahmai Mashack  Q $4.1k MEM DEN
18.8
4.57
--
244.5 111
C Oso Ighodaro $5.0k PHO DAL
18.8
3.77
--
231.5 121
PF Toby Okani $4.2k MEM DEN
18.6
4.43
--
244.5 111
SF/PF Matisse Thybulle $3.7k POR SA
18.6
5.03
--
229.5 113
C Paul Reed $4.7k DET MIL
18.4
3.91
--
220.5 119.5
PG/SG Anthony Black $5.0k ORL MIN
18.4
3.68
--
229.5 118
PG/SG Bruce Brown $3.5k DEN MEM
18.2
5.20
--
244.5 133.5
SG/SF Cason Wallace $4.0k OKC LAC
17.9
4.46
--
225.5 116
PG Ryan Nembhard $3.7k DAL PHO
17.9
4.83
--
231.5 110.5
SF/PF Jaylon Tyson  Q $4.1k CLE ATL
17.8
4.34
--
236.5 119
PG/SF Jordan Goodwin $4.4k EXP. PHO DAL
17.7
4.02
--
231.5 121
C Jericho Sims $5.1k MIL DET
17.5
3.44
--
220.5 101
PG Craig Porter Jr. $3.8k CLE ATL
17.4
4.58
--
236.5 119
SG/SF Caris LeVert $3.6k DET MIL
17.4
4.84
--
220.5 119.5
PF Harrison Barnes $3.7k EXP. SA POR
16.8
4.54
--
229.5 116.5
SF/PF Khris Middleton $3.6k DAL PHO
16.7
4.64
--
231.5 110.5
SF/PF Klay Thompson $3.8k DAL PHO
16.6
4.37
--
231.5 110.5
C Goga Bitadze $3.5k ORL MIN
16.2
4.63
--
229.5 118
SG/SF Taurean Prince $4.6k MIL DET
15.8
3.45
--
220.5 101
PF Nae'Qwan Tomlin $3.7k CLE ATL
15.6
4.21
--
236.5 119
SG Luguentz Dort $3.3k EXP. OKC LAC
15.3
4.64
--
225.5 116
SF Carter Bryant $3.6k SA POR
15.3
4.25
--
229.5 116.5
SG/SF Kris Murray $3.6k POR SA
15.2
4.23
--
229.5 113
PG/SG Tyrese Proctor $3.5k CLE ATL
15.0
4.27
--
236.5 119
PF Ronald Holland II $3.8k DET MIL
14.8
3.89
--
220.5 119.5
PF/C Larry Nance Jr. $3.4k CLE ATL
14.7
4.34
--
236.5 119
SF/PF Alex Caruso $3.2k OKC LAC
14.7
4.61
--
225.5 116
C Dwight Powell $3.3k DAL PHO
14.6
4.42
--
231.5 110.5
SG/SF Jamal Cain  Q $3.8k ORL MIN
14.5
3.82
--
229.5 118
C Mason Plumlee $3.3k SA POR
13.9
4.22
--
229.5 116.5
PF/C Kyle Anderson $3.4k MIN ORL
13.5
3.98
--
229.5 111.5
C Jaylin Williams $4.2k OKC LAC
13.1
3.12
--
225.5 116
SF Dean Wade  Q $3.6k CLE ATL
12.4
3.44
--
236.5 119
SG John Poulakidas $3.4k DAL PHO
12.4
3.65
--
231.5 110.5
SG Cormac Ryan $5.0k MIL DET
12.2
2.44
--
220.5 101
PG Jevon Carter $3.7k ORL MIN
11.6
3.15
--
229.5 118
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $3.5k ATL CLE
11.2
3.19
--
236.5 117.5
SG/SF Gary Trent Jr.  Q $5.5k EXP. MIL DET
11.0
2.00
--
220.5 101
SG Isaiah Joe $3.6k OKC LAC
10.8
3.00
--
225.5 116
SG/SF Julian Strawther $3.2k DEN MEM
10.5
3.30
--
244.5 133.5
SG/SF Zaccharie Risacher $3.1k ATL CLE
10.4
3.36
--
236.5 117.5
PG/SG Jared McCain $3.3k OKC LAC
9.7
2.95
--
225.5 116
SF Haywood Highsmith  Q $3.0k PHO DAL
9.5
3.15
--
231.5 121
PF/C Kelly Olynyk $4.0k SA POR
9.4
2.35
--
229.5 116.5
SG/SF Corey Kispert $3.4k ATL CLE
9.3
2.74
--
236.5 117.5
C Taj Gibson $3.6k MEM DEN
9.3
2.58
--
244.5 111
PG Mike Conley $3.2k MIN ORL
9.1
2.84
--
229.5 111.5
SF/PF Caleb Martin  Q $3.0k DAL PHO
8.6
2.88
--
231.5 110.5
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $3.1k OKC LAC
8.5
2.73
--
225.5 116
C Jonas Valanciunas $4.1k DEN MEM
7.9
1.93
--
244.5 133.5
PF/C Tyler Smith $3.0k DAL PHO
7.7
2.58
--
231.5 110.5
PG Gabe Vincent $3.2k ATL CLE
7.6
2.39
--
236.5 117.5
C Tony Bradley $3.0k ATL CLE
7.6
2.55
--
236.5 117.5
PF Nicolas Batum $3.1k LAC OKC
7.6
2.46
--
225.5 109.5
PG/SG Marcus Sasser $4.0k DET MIL
7.3
1.83
--
220.5 119.5
SF/PF Kobe Sanders $3.5k LAC OKC
7.1
2.02
--
225.5 109.5
PF/C Sidy Cissoko $3.1k POR SA
6.7
2.15
--
229.5 113
SG/SF Terrence Shannon Jr. $3.0k MIN ORL
6.4
2.13
--
229.5 111.5
SF/PF Javonte Green $4.1k DET MIL
5.8
1.41
--
220.5 119.5
SF/PF Rasheer Fleming $3.1k PHO DAL
3.0
0.98
--
231.5 121
SF Andre Jackson Jr. $4.3k MIL DET
1.4
0.33
--
220.5 101
PF Ryan Dunn $3.4k PHO DAL
1.3
0.38
--
231.5 121
PF/C Kenrich Williams $3.0k OKC LAC
0.8
0.26
--
225.5 116
C Thanasis Antetokounmpo $3.0k MIL DET
0.7
0.25
--
220.5 101
SG/SF Gary Harris $3.4k MIL DET
0.6
0.17
--
220.5 101
PG Nikola Topic $3.0k OKC LAC
0.5
0.16
--
225.5 116
PG Zyon Pullin $3.0k MIN ORL
0.5
0.15
--
229.5 111.5
C Rocco Zikarsky $3.0k MIN ORL
0.5
0.18
--
229.5 111.5
C Moussa Cisse $3.0k DAL PHO
0.5
0.18
--
231.5 110.5
PF Alex Antetokounmpo $3.0k MIL DET
0.4
0.12
--
220.5 101
PG/SG Bogdan Bogdanovic $3.0k LAC OKC
0.4
0.14
--
225.5 109.5
SG/SF Joe Ingles $3.0k MIN ORL
0.4
0.12
--
229.5 111.5
C Joan Beringer $3.0k MIN ORL
0.4
0.13
--
229.5 111.5
SF Isaiah Livers $3.0k PHO DAL
0.4
0.13
--
231.5 121
PF/C Enrique Freeman $3.0k MIN ORL
0.3
0.10
--
229.5 111.5
SG/SF Jaylen Clark $3.1k MIN ORL
0.3
0.10
--
229.5 111.5
SF/PF Julian Phillips $3.0k MIN ORL
0.3
0.12
--
229.5 111.5
C CJ Huntley $3.0k PHO DAL
0.3
0.10
--
231.5 121
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

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