DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo  Q $11.0k EXP. MIL SA
51.3
4.66
--
224.5 108.5
PG Cade Cunningham $10.7k EXP. DET PHO
50.0
4.67
--
223.5 115.5
SF Jaylen Brown $9.9k EXP. BOS MIA
47.7
4.81
--
234.5 118.5
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10.5k EXP. OKC HOU
46.4
4.42
--
221.5 113.5
C Victor Wembanyama $9.6k EXP. SA MIL
46.0
4.79
--
224.5 116
PF/C Alperen Sengun $9.2k EXP. HOU OKC
44.3
4.81
--
221.5 108
PG/SG Derrick White $8.6k EXP. BOS MIA
40.3
4.69
--
234.5 118.5
SG/SF Kevin Durant $8.9k EXP. HOU OKC
39.9
4.48
--
221.5 108
PG Keyonte George $8.2k EXP. UTA DAL
39.4
4.80
--
238.5 118
C Jusuf Nurkic $7.4k EXP. UTA DAL
38.5
5.20
--
238.5 118
PG Kevin Porter Jr. $8.1k EXP. MIL SA
38.4
4.74
--
224.5 108.5
PG Amen Thompson $8.4k EXP. HOU OKC
37.0
4.40
--
221.5 108
PG/SG Tyler Herro  Q $6.8k EXP. MIA BOS
36.2
5.32
--
234.5 116
C Bam Adebayo $7.0k EXP. MIA BOS
36.1
5.15
--
234.5 116
SF/PF PJ Washington $6.2k EXP. DAL UTA
35.9
5.79
--
238.5 120.5
SG Stephon Castle $7.0k EXP. SA MIL
35.5
5.07
--
224.5 116
SF Jalen Williams $7.7k EXP. OKC HOU
35.3
4.59
--
221.5 113.5
PG De'Aaron Fox $7.2k EXP. SA MIL
35.2
4.90
--
224.5 116
PG Payton Pritchard $7.3k EXP. BOS MIA
34.8
4.76
--
234.5 118.5
SG/SF Naji Marshall $6.3k EXP. DAL UTA
34.0
5.40
--
238.5 120.5
C Jalen Duren  Q $7.2k EXP. DET PHO
33.8
4.69
--
223.5 115.5
PF Chet Holmgren $7.6k EXP. OKC HOU
33.5
4.41
--
221.5 113.5
PG/SG Ryan Rollins $6.6k EXP. MIL SA
32.2
4.87
--
224.5 108.5
SF/PF Dillon Brooks $6.3k EXP. PHO DET
31.8
5.05
--
223.5 108
PG/SG Collin Gillespie $6.1k EXP. PHO DET
31.5
5.16
--
223.5 108
SG/SF Norman Powell $6.4k EXP. MIA BOS
31.5
4.92
--
234.5 116
PG/SG Brandon Williams $4.8k DAL UTA
31.3
6.51
--
238.5 120.5
C Mark Williams $5.7k EXP. PHO DET
29.3
5.14
--
223.5 108
C Neemias Queta $5.4k EXP. BOS MIA
28.1
5.21
--
234.5 118.5
C Daniel Gafford  Q $5.0k EXP. DAL UTA
27.9
5.57
--
238.5 120.5
PF Jabari Smith Jr. $6.1k EXP. HOU OKC
27.9
4.58
--
221.5 108
SG/SF Grayson Allen $5.2k EXP. PHO DET
27.5
5.29
--
223.5 108
PF Andrew Wiggins $5.5k EXP. MIA BOS
27.4
4.98
--
234.5 116
SG/SF Julian Champagnie $5.8k EXP. SA MIL
27.4
4.73
--
224.5 116
PF/C Kyle Filipowski $5.9k UTA DAL
27.1
4.60
--
238.5 118
SF Ausar Thompson $5.9k EXP. DET PHO
25.9
4.38
--
223.5 115.5
SG/SF Brice Sensabaugh $5.7k UTA DAL
24.5
4.31
--
238.5 118
SF/PF Royce O'Neale  Q $5.3k EXP. PHO DET
23.9
4.50
--
223.5 108
SF/PF Keldon Johnson $5.2k SA MIL
23.8
4.57
--
224.5 116
PG Ajay Mitchell $5.4k OKC HOU
23.7
4.38
--
221.5 113.5
PG/SG Jordan Goodwin $4.4k PHO DET
23.3
5.30
--
223.5 108
SF/PF Klay Thompson $4.6k DAL UTA
22.6
4.92
--
238.5 120.5
PG Isaiah Collier $5.5k EXP. UTA DAL
22.6
4.11
--
238.5 118
PF/C Nikola Jovic  Q $4.5k MIA BOS
22.2
4.93
--
234.5 116
C Myles Turner $5.0k EXP. MIL SA
22.1
4.42
--
224.5 108.5
PF Tobias Harris  Q $5.2k EXP. DET PHO
22.0
4.23
--
223.5 115.5
PG/SG Anfernee Simons $5.0k BOS MIA
22.0
4.41
--
234.5 118.5
SG Jaden Hardy $3.8k EXP. DAL UTA
21.8
5.74
--
238.5 120.5
PF/C Bobby Portis $5.4k MIL SA
21.7
4.02
--
224.5 108.5
PF/C Isaiah Stewart  Q $5.7k DET PHO
21.3
3.73
--
223.5 115.5
SF Ace Bailey $4.9k EXP. UTA DAL
21.2
4.33
--
238.5 118
SF/PF Sam Hauser $4.0k EXP. BOS MIA
21.1
5.27
--
234.5 118.5
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $4.9k HOU OKC
20.9
4.26
--
221.5 108
C Kel'el Ware $5.4k MIA BOS
20.7
3.83
--
234.5 116
SG/SF Pelle Larsson $4.0k EXP. MIA BOS
20.4
5.10
--
234.5 116
PG Ryan Nembhard $4.7k EXP. DAL UTA
20.3
4.32
--
238.5 120.5
PF Harrison Barnes $4.1k EXP. SA MIL
20.3
4.94
--
224.5 116
PG/SG Dylan Harper $4.3k SA MIL
20.0
4.65
--
224.5 116
C Dwight Powell $3.5k DAL UTA
19.6
5.60
--
238.5 120.5
C Steven Adams $5.0k HOU OKC
19.4
3.89
--
221.5 108
C Luke Kornet $4.6k SA MIL
19.4
4.21
--
224.5 116
C Luka Garza $4.4k BOS MIA
18.8
4.28
--
234.5 118.5
SF/PF Kyle Kuzma $4.2k MIL SA
18.7
4.45
--
224.5 108.5
C Kevin Love  Q $4.5k UTA DAL
18.4
4.09
--
238.5 118
SG/SF AJ Green $4.3k EXP. MIL SA
18.2
4.23
--
224.5 108.5
SG Duncan Robinson $4.2k EXP. DET PHO
17.7
4.22
--
223.5 115.5
PG/SG Jaden Ivey $4.8k DET PHO
17.5
3.64
--
223.5 115.5
PG/SG Walter Clayton Jr. $3.5k UTA DAL
17.3
4.94
--
238.5 118
SG/SF Svi Mykhailiuk $3.9k UTA DAL
16.5
4.23
--
238.5 118
SF/PF Ryan Dunn $3.1k PHO DET
16.3
5.26
--
223.5 108
SG Luguentz Dort  Q $4.1k EXP. OKC HOU
15.8
3.84
--
221.5 113.5
SF Cody Williams $3.6k EXP. UTA DAL
15.7
4.35
--
238.5 118
PG/SG Cason Wallace $3.9k EXP. OKC HOU
15.6
4.00
--
221.5 113.5
PG Dru Smith $3.2k MIA BOS
15.3
4.78
--
234.5 116
SF/PF Ronald Holland II $4.3k DET PHO
15.1
3.51
--
223.5 115.5
SG/SF Alex Caruso $3.8k OKC HOU
14.8
3.88
--
221.5 113.5
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $4.5k OKC HOU
14.6
3.24
--
221.5 113.5
SG/SF Caris LeVert $4.0k DET PHO
14.5
3.63
--
223.5 115.5
C Oso Ighodaro $3.5k PHO DET
14.4
4.11
--
223.5 108
PF Caleb Martin $3.3k DAL UTA
14.0
4.24
--
238.5 120.5
C Jaylin Williams $4.0k OKC HOU
14.0
3.51
--
221.5 113.5
C Moussa Cisse $3.9k DAL UTA
13.8
3.55
--
238.5 120.5
SF/PF Javonte Green $4.4k DET PHO
12.8
2.90
--
223.5 115.5
PF Taylor Hendricks $3.4k UTA DAL
12.5
3.68
--
238.5 118
PG JD Davison $3.4k HOU OKC
12.3
3.62
--
221.5 108
SG/SF Gary Trent Jr. $3.1k MIL SA
10.6
3.42
--
224.5 108.5
SF/PF Rasheer Fleming $3.0k PHO DET
10.5
3.50
--
223.5 108
PF Jordan Walsh $3.3k BOS MIA
10.4
3.15
--
234.5 118.5
SG/SF Josh Okogie $3.3k EXP. HOU OKC
9.8
2.97
--
221.5 108
SG/SF Hugo Gonzalez $3.5k BOS MIA
9.3
2.66
--
234.5 118.5
SG Isaiah Joe $3.2k OKC HOU
9.2
2.87
--
221.5 113.5
PG Daniss Jenkins $4.8k DET PHO
9.0
1.88
--
223.5 115.5
PG/SG Aaron Holiday $3.5k HOU OKC
8.6
2.44
--
221.5 108
PG Kasparas Jakucionis $3.0k MIA BOS
6.2
2.06
--
234.5 116
C Clint Capela $3.2k HOU OKC
6.0
1.88
--
221.5 108
SG/SF Baylor Scheierman $3.2k BOS MIA
5.8
1.80
--
234.5 118.5
SG/SF Gary Harris $3.0k MIL SA
4.9
1.65
--
224.5 108.5
SG Lindy Waters III $3.1k SA MIL
4.1
1.31
--
224.5 116
SG Miles Kelly $3.1k DAL UTA
4.0
1.29
--
238.5 120.5
SF/PF Simone Fontecchio $3.0k MIA BOS
4.0
1.33
--
234.5 116
SF/PF Jae'Sean Tate $3.0k HOU OKC
3.3
1.11
--
221.5 108
SF/PF Keshad Johnson $3.0k MIA BOS
3.0
1.00
--
234.5 116
PF/C Kelly Olynyk $3.0k SA MIL
3.0
1.00
--
224.5 116
PF/C Kenrich Williams $3.4k OKC HOU
2.5
0.74
--
221.5 113.5
PG D'Angelo Russell $3.2k DAL UTA
0.7
0.23
--
238.5 120.5
C Oscar Tshiebwe $3.0k UTA DAL
0.5
0.17
--
238.5 118
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!