DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Nikola Jokic $12.5k EXP. DEN UTA
62.2
4.98
--
243.5 127
SG/SF Jaylen Brown $9.7k EXP. BOS MIL
46.0
4.74
--
215.5 111.5
SG/SF Kawhi Leonard $9.5k EXP. LAC GSW
45.4
4.78
--
219.5 110.5
PF/C Alperen Sengun $9.4k EXP. HOU WAS
43.6
4.64
--
224.5 120
SF Kevin Durant $8.9k EXP. HOU WAS
42.5
4.78
--
224.5 120
PG Jamal Murray $8.8k EXP. DEN UTA
41.8
4.75
--
243.5 127
PG Amen Thompson $7.9k EXP. HOU WAS
41.2
5.21
--
224.5 120
PG Derrick White $8.2k EXP. BOS MIL
38.4
4.68
--
215.5 111.5
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo  Q $11.0k EXP. MIL BOS
38.2
3.47
--
215.5 104
SG Tari Eason $6.4k EXP. HOU WAS
34.3
5.36
--
224.5 120
PG/SG Payton Pritchard $7.2k BOS MIL
34.1
4.74
--
215.5 111.5
PF/C Kyle Filipowski $7.4k EXP. UTA DEN
34.1
4.61
--
243.5 116.5
PG/SG Brandin Podziemski $7.1k EXP. GSW LAC
32.8
4.62
--
219.5 109
PG/SG Kevin Porter Jr. $8.7k EXP. MIL BOS
32.6
3.75
--
215.5 104
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin $6.9k LAC GSW
32.5
4.72
--
219.5 110.5
PG Ryan Rollins $7.7k EXP. MIL BOS
31.5
4.09
--
215.5 104
PG Darius Garland  Q $7.0k LAC GSW
29.8
4.25
--
219.5 110.5
SG Christian Braun $5.4k EXP. DEN UTA
29.8
5.51
--
243.5 127
PG Isaiah Collier $8.1k UTA DEN
29.6
3.65
--
243.5 116.5
SF Ace Bailey $6.2k EXP. UTA DEN
29.3
4.73
--
243.5 116.5
C Nikola Vucevic $6.2k BOS MIL
28.9
4.65
--
215.5 111.5
PF/C John Collins $6.1k EXP. LAC GSW
28.7
4.70
--
219.5 110.5
PG Keyonte George $7.8k EXP. UTA DEN
28.0
3.59
--
243.5 116.5
PF/C Draymond Green $5.5k EXP. GSW LAC
27.7
5.03
--
219.5 109
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $5.7k EXP. HOU WAS
27.5
4.82
--
224.5 120
SG/SF Brice Sensabaugh $5.8k UTA DEN
26.9
4.63
--
243.5 116.5
PG/SG De'Anthony Melton $6.0k EXP. GSW LAC
26.7
4.46
--
219.5 109
C Neemias Queta $5.2k EXP. BOS MIL
26.6
5.12
--
215.5 111.5
SF Moses Moody $6.3k EXP. GSW LAC
26.3
4.18
--
219.5 109
PF/C Al Horford $5.6k GSW LAC
26.2
4.68
--
219.5 109
PF Gui Santos $6.3k EXP. GSW LAC
25.6
4.06
--
219.5 109
PG Pat Spencer $5.4k GSW LAC
25.2
4.66
--
219.5 109
PG/SG Bruce Brown $4.3k DEN UTA
24.4
5.67
--
243.5 127
C Myles Turner $5.9k EXP. MIL BOS
24.3
4.12
--
215.5 104
SF/PF Will Riley $5.1k WAS HOU
24.2
4.74
--
224.5 104.5
C Brook Lopez $5.0k EXP. LAC GSW
23.4
4.68
--
219.5 110.5
SF/PF Derrick Jones Jr. $5.3k EXP. LAC GSW
23.0
4.34
--
219.5 110.5
PG Kris Dunn $5.6k LAC GSW
22.7
4.06
--
219.5 110.5
SF/PF Sam Hauser $4.8k EXP. BOS MIL
21.8
4.54
--
215.5 111.5
C Tristan Vukcevic  Q $4.6k EXP. WAS HOU
21.6
4.70
--
224.5 104.5
SF/PF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.6k DEN UTA
21.5
4.68
--
243.5 127
PG Bub Carrington $5.3k EXP. WAS HOU
21.3
4.02
--
224.5 104.5
SG/SF Julian Strawther $4.4k EXP. DEN UTA
21.1
4.80
--
243.5 127
PF/C Bobby Portis $5.7k MIL BOS
21.0
3.68
--
215.5 104
SF/PF Bilal Coulibaly $4.8k EXP. WAS HOU
21.0
4.38
--
224.5 104.5
SG/SF AJ Green $4.5k EXP. MIL BOS
20.7
4.60
--
215.5 104
PF Justin Champagnie $4.9k WAS HOU
19.9
4.05
--
224.5 104.5
C Anthony Gill  Q $4.5k WAS HOU
19.7
4.38
--
224.5 104.5
SG/SF Kyshawn George  Q $6.5k EXP. WAS HOU
19.5
3.00
--
224.5 104.5
SG Baylor Scheierman $4.3k EXP. BOS MIL
19.0
4.42
--
215.5 111.5
SG Cody Williams $4.2k EXP. UTA DEN
18.9
4.50
--
243.5 116.5
C Jonas Valanciunas $3.5k DEN UTA
18.5
5.28
--
243.5 127
PF Kyle Kuzma $5.4k MIL BOS
18.4
3.41
--
215.5 104
PG/SG Tre Johnson $4.7k EXP. WAS HOU
18.0
3.83
--
224.5 104.5
PG Sharife Cooper $3.6k WAS HOU
17.4
4.84
--
224.5 104.5
PG/SG Cam Thomas $4.2k MIL BOS
17.2
4.08
--
215.5 104
SF/PF John Konchar $4.2k UTA DEN
17.2
4.10
--
243.5 116.5
PG/SG Jaden Hardy $3.8k WAS HOU
17.2
4.54
--
224.5 104.5
SG/SF Gary Payton II  Q $4.3k GSW LAC
16.3
3.79
--
219.5 109
SG/SF Jamir Watkins $4.1k WAS HOU
16.0
3.91
--
224.5 104.5
C Clint Capela $3.6k HOU WAS
15.7
4.37
--
224.5 120
C Quinten Post $4.1k GSW LAC
15.0
3.66
--
219.5 109
PF Spencer Jones  Q $3.8k EXP. DEN UTA
14.1
3.71
--
243.5 127
PF Blake Hinson $3.5k EXP. UTA DEN
13.5
3.85
--
243.5 116.5
SF/PF Dorian Finney-Smith $3.9k HOU WAS
12.8
3.27
--
224.5 120
PG Aaron Holiday $3.2k HOU WAS
12.5
3.90
--
224.5 120
SG/SF Josh Okogie $3.7k HOU WAS
12.2
3.29
--
224.5 120
PG/SG Jordan Miller $4.7k LAC GSW
11.8
2.51
--
219.5 110.5
C Jericho Sims $4.4k MIL BOS
11.8
2.68
--
215.5 104
C Yanic Konan Niederhauser $3.5k LAC GSW
11.2
3.20
--
219.5 110.5
C Oscar Tshiebwe $3.1k UTA DEN
10.3
3.32
--
243.5 116.5
SF Ousmane Dieng $3.4k MIL BOS
10.2
3.01
--
215.5 104
SG/SF Hugo Gonzalez $3.5k BOS MIL
10.1
2.88
--
215.5 111.5
PF Nicolas Batum $3.7k LAC GSW
10.0
2.70
--
219.5 110.5
PF Jordan Walsh $3.4k BOS MIL
9.2
2.70
--
215.5 111.5
C Mo Bamba $3.4k UTA DEN
9.2
2.71
--
243.5 116.5
C Jeff Green $3.2k HOU WAS
8.1
2.52
--
224.5 120
PG/SG Jalen Pickett $3.0k DEN UTA
7.6
2.55
--
243.5 127
SG/SF Kobe Sanders $4.0k LAC GSW
7.5
1.88
--
219.5 110.5
PF/C Zeke Nnaji $3.0k DEN UTA
7.2
2.40
--
243.5 127
SF Nate Williams $3.2k GSW LAC
5.6
1.75
--
219.5 109
SF/PF Leaky Black  Q $3.1k WAS HOU
5.2
1.68
--
224.5 104.5
C Luka Garza $3.3k BOS MIL
4.6
1.39
--
215.5 111.5
PG KJ Simpson $3.0k DEN UTA
3.9
1.29
--
243.5 127
SF/PF Ron Harper Jr. $3.2k BOS MIL
3.5
1.09
--
215.5 111.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!