DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PG Luka Doncic $11.8k EXP. LAL DAL
56.5
4.79
--
233.5 118.5
PF Paolo Banchero $9.1k EXP. ORL CLE
46.5
5.11
--
227.5 115
PF/C Evan Mobley $8.6k EXP. CLE ORL
44.5
5.17
--
227.5 112.5
SF Jaylen Brown $9.9k EXP. BOS CHI
44.0
4.44
--
230.5 114.5
SG Donovan Mitchell $9.7k EXP. CLE ORL
43.5
4.48
--
227.5 112.5
PF LeBron James $9.0k EXP. LAL DAL
42.8
4.75
--
233.5 118.5
PG Josh Giddey  Q $8.2k EXP. CHI BOS
39.3
4.79
--
230.5 116
PG/SG Derrick White  Q $7.9k EXP. BOS CHI
39.0
4.94
--
230.5 114.5
PG Keyonte George $8.4k EXP. UTA MIA
37.8
4.49
--
245.5 119.5
PF Lauri Markkanen  Q $8.7k EXP. UTA MIA
37.5
4.31
--
245.5 119.5
C Bam Adebayo $7.8k EXP. MIA UTA
37.3
4.78
--
245.5 126
PG/SF Cooper Flagg $7.9k EXP. DAL LAL
36.8
4.65
--
233.5 115
C Nikola Vucevic $7.4k EXP. CHI BOS
36.5
4.93
--
230.5 116
SG Desmond Bane $7.2k EXP. ORL CLE
36.0
5.00
--
227.5 115
PG Payton Pritchard $7.0k EXP. BOS CHI
35.5
5.07
--
230.5 114.5
SG Coby White $6.4k EXP. CHI BOS
34.3
5.35
--
230.5 116
C Jarrett Allen $6.4k EXP. CLE ORL
33.5
5.23
--
227.5 112.5
PF/C Kyle Filipowski $6.1k EXP. UTA MIA
33.3
5.45
--
245.5 119.5
SG/SF Norman Powell  Q $7.1k EXP. MIA UTA
33.0
4.65
--
245.5 126
PF Andrew Wiggins $6.2k EXP. MIA UTA
32.8
5.28
--
245.5 126
SG/SF Naji Marshall $6.8k EXP. DAL LAL
32.5
4.78
--
233.5 115
PF Matas Buzelis $6.0k EXP. CHI BOS
32.0
5.33
--
230.5 116
PG/SG Anthony Black $7.1k ORL CLE
29.8
4.19
--
227.5 115
PF/C Jalen Smith $6.1k CHI BOS
29.3
4.80
--
230.5 116
SF Ace Bailey $5.4k EXP. UTA MIA
29.3
5.42
--
245.5 119.5
C Neemias Queta $5.8k EXP. BOS CHI
28.8
4.96
--
230.5 114.5
C Wendell Carter Jr. $5.7k EXP. ORL CLE
28.8
5.04
--
227.5 115
C Deandre Ayton $6.1k EXP. LAL DAL
28.5
4.67
--
233.5 118.5
SF/PF Jaime Jaquez Jr. $5.9k MIA UTA
27.8
4.70
--
245.5 126
PG/SG Ayo Dosunmu $5.3k CHI BOS
26.0
4.91
--
230.5 116
SG Max Christie $5.3k EXP. DAL LAL
26.0
4.91
--
233.5 115
SF/PF PJ Washington $6.3k EXP. DAL LAL
25.5
4.05
--
233.5 115
SG/SF Marcus Smart $4.8k EXP. LAL DAL
25.0
5.21
--
233.5 118.5
PG/SG Brandon Williams $4.6k DAL LAL
24.0
5.22
--
233.5 115
SG/SF Jaylon Tyson $6.7k EXP. CLE ORL
23.8
3.54
--
227.5 112.5
PG/SG Anfernee Simons $4.9k BOS CHI
23.5
4.80
--
230.5 114.5
SF/PF De'Andre Hunter $5.2k CLE ORL
22.8
4.38
--
227.5 112.5
C Daniel Gafford  Q $4.9k EXP. DAL LAL
22.5
4.59
--
233.5 115
SG/SF Pelle Larsson  Q $4.9k EXP. MIA UTA
22.5
4.59
--
245.5 126
SG/SF Brice Sensabaugh $5.7k UTA MIA
21.8
3.82
--
245.5 119.5
SF/PF Sam Hauser $5.2k EXP. BOS CHI
21.5
4.13
--
230.5 114.5
SG/SF Sam Merrill  Q $4.8k CLE ORL
21.3
4.43
--
227.5 112.5
PG Jalen Suggs  Q $6.9k EXP. ORL CLE
21.0
3.04
--
227.5 115
PG Davion Mitchell  Q $4.8k EXP. MIA UTA
21.0
4.38
--
245.5 126
PG Isaiah Collier $5.6k UTA MIA
20.8
3.71
--
245.5 119.5
SF Rui Hachimura $4.3k LAL DAL
20.5
4.77
--
233.5 118.5
SF/PF Klay Thompson $4.9k DAL LAL
19.0
3.88
--
233.5 115
PG Craig Porter Jr. $4.9k CLE ORL
19.0
3.88
--
227.5 112.5
PF/C Nikola Jovic $4.2k MIA UTA
19.0
4.52
--
245.5 126
SF/PF Jake LaRavia $4.9k EXP. LAL DAL
18.5
3.78
--
233.5 118.5
C Luka Garza $3.9k BOS CHI
18.3
4.68
--
230.5 114.5
SF Isaac Okoro $4.0k EXP. CHI BOS
18.3
4.56
--
230.5 116
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $4.2k CHI BOS
17.8
4.23
--
230.5 116
PF/C Kyle Anderson $3.6k UTA MIA
17.5
4.86
--
245.5 119.5
SF/PF Simone Fontecchio $3.8k MIA UTA
17.5
4.61
--
245.5 126
C Dwight Powell $4.1k DAL LAL
16.8
4.09
--
233.5 115
PF Jarred Vanderbilt $3.4k LAL DAL
15.8
4.63
--
233.5 118.5
PF/C Patrick Williams  Q $3.4k CHI BOS
15.5
4.56
--
230.5 116
SF/PF Dean Wade $3.5k EXP. CLE ORL
15.0
4.29
--
227.5 112.5
SG/SF Cody Williams $3.8k EXP. UTA MIA
14.5
3.82
--
245.5 119.5
C Jaxson Hayes $4.1k LAL DAL
14.3
3.48
--
233.5 118.5
PG/SG Jase Richardson $3.7k ORL CLE
14.3
3.85
--
227.5 115
PF Caleb Martin $3.8k DAL LAL
14.0
3.68
--
233.5 115
SF Tristan da Silva $4.2k EXP. ORL CLE
14.0
3.33
--
227.5 115
PF Nae'Qwan Tomlin $4.0k CLE ORL
13.8
3.44
--
227.5 112.5
PG/SG Walter Clayton Jr. $3.9k UTA MIA
13.5
3.46
--
245.5 119.5
C Goga Bitadze $4.0k ORL CLE
13.0
3.25
--
227.5 115
PF Jordan Walsh $3.1k BOS CHI
12.8
4.11
--
230.5 114.5
PG Kasparas Jakucionis $4.0k MIA UTA
12.0
3.00
--
245.5 126
PF/C Moritz Wagner $3.6k ORL CLE
11.8
3.26
--
227.5 115
PG/SG Gabe Vincent $3.3k LAL DAL
11.5
3.48
--
233.5 118.5
SF/PF Noah Penda $4.0k ORL CLE
11.0
2.75
--
227.5 115
SG/SF Hugo Gonzalez $3.2k BOS CHI
10.3
3.20
--
230.5 114.5
SG/SF Svi Mykhailiuk $3.5k UTA MIA
10.3
2.93
--
245.5 119.5
PG Ryan Nembhard $4.3k DAL LAL
9.5
2.21
--
233.5 115
PG Tyus Jones $3.0k ORL CLE
9.5
3.17
--
227.5 115
PF Taylor Hendricks $3.0k UTA MIA
9.5
3.17
--
245.5 119.5
PG/SG Lonzo Ball $3.3k CLE ORL
9.3
2.80
--
227.5 112.5
SG/SF Baylor Scheierman $3.3k BOS CHI
9.0
2.73
--
230.5 114.5
PF/C Josh Minott  Q $3.0k BOS CHI
8.3
2.75
--
230.5 114.5
SG/SF Myron Gardner $3.1k MIA UTA
8.0
2.58
--
245.5 126
PF/C Drew Timme $3.8k LAL DAL
7.8
2.04
--
233.5 118.5
C Moussa Cisse  Q $4.2k DAL LAL
7.8
1.85
--
233.5 115
PG/SG Tyrese Proctor $3.1k CLE ORL
5.8
1.85
--
227.5 112.5
PF Jonathan Isaac $3.0k ORL CLE
1.0
0.33
--
227.5 115
SG/SF Jett Howard $3.0k ORL CLE
1.0
0.33
--
227.5 115
PG/SG Max Shulga $3.0k BOS CHI
0.8
0.25
--
230.5 114.5
SF Luke Travers $3.0k CLE ORL
0.8
0.25
--
227.5 112.5
PF/C Chris Boucher $3.0k BOS CHI
0.5
0.17
--
230.5 114.5
C Xavier Tillman $3.0k BOS CHI
0.5
0.17
--
230.5 114.5
SF Ron Harper Jr. $3.0k BOS CHI
0.5
0.17
--
230.5 114.5
C Amari Williams $3.0k BOS CHI
0.5
0.17
--
230.5 114.5
C Larry Nance Jr. $3.0k CLE ORL
0.5
0.17
--
227.5 112.5
C Thomas Bryant $3.0k CLE ORL
0.5
0.17
--
227.5 112.5
SF Chris Livingston  Q $3.0k CLE ORL
0.5
0.17
--
227.5 112.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!