DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Joel Embiid $9.6k EXP. PHI NO
52.8
5.49
--
232.5 121
SG Anthony Edwards $9.3k EXP. MIN MEM
48.0
5.16
--
229.5 118.5
PF Jalen Johnson  Q $10.0k EXP. ATL IND
47.0
4.70
--
232.5 117
PF/C Alperen Sengun $9.1k EXP. HOU DAL
46.8
5.14
--
223.5 117
PF Zion Williamson $7.9k EXP. NO PHI
45.5
5.76
--
232.5 111.5
PG Amen Thompson $8.3k EXP. HOU DAL
44.5
5.36
--
223.5 117
PG Tyrese Maxey $9.9k EXP. PHI NO
44.0
4.44
--
232.5 121
SG/SF Kevin Durant $9.0k EXP. HOU DAL
43.0
4.78
--
223.5 117
C Bam Adebayo $8.3k EXP. MIA CHI
42.3
5.09
--
235.5 120
PF/C Pascal Siakam $8.9k EXP. IND ATL
42.0
4.72
--
232.5 115.5
C Jaren Jackson Jr. $7.5k EXP. MEM MIN
40.8
5.43
--
229.5 111
PF Julius Randle $8.5k EXP. MIN MEM
39.8
4.68
--
229.5 118.5
PG Josh Giddey  Q $7.7k EXP. CHI MIA
39.5
5.13
--
235.5 115.5
PG Trey Murphy III $8.1k EXP. NO PHI
39.0
4.81
--
232.5 111.5
PG/SF Cooper Flagg $8.5k EXP. DAL HOU
38.0
4.47
--
223.5 106.5
PF/C Jalen Smith  Q $6.1k EXP. CHI MIA
34.8
5.70
--
235.5 115.5
SF/PF Paul George $6.7k EXP. PHI NO
34.5
5.15
--
232.5 121
PG Andrew Nembhard $7.0k EXP. IND ATL
34.3
4.89
--
232.5 115.5
PG Dyson Daniels $7.3k EXP. ATL IND
34.0
4.66
--
232.5 117
C Rudy Gobert $6.5k EXP. MIN MEM
34.0
5.23
--
229.5 118.5
SG Coby White  Q $7.1k EXP. CHI MIA
33.8
4.75
--
235.5 115.5
PF Matas Buzelis $6.0k EXP. CHI MIA
33.5
5.58
--
235.5 115.5
PF Andrew Wiggins $6.0k EXP. MIA CHI
32.8
5.46
--
235.5 120
PF Jabari Smith Jr. $6.0k EXP. HOU DAL
32.3
5.38
--
223.5 117
SG VJ Edgecombe $6.6k EXP. PHI NO
31.3
4.73
--
232.5 121
SF/PF Jaime Jaquez Jr. $6.1k EXP. MIA CHI
31.0
5.08
--
235.5 120
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.5k ATL IND
30.5
4.69
--
232.5 117
PG Donte DiVincenzo $6.6k EXP. MIN MEM
30.5
4.62
--
229.5 118.5
SF/PF PJ Washington $6.6k EXP. DAL HOU
30.0
4.55
--
223.5 106.5
SG/SF Naji Marshall $7.1k EXP. DAL HOU
29.8
4.19
--
223.5 106.5
PF/C Naz Reid $6.2k MIN MEM
29.8
4.80
--
229.5 118.5
SF Aaron Nesmith $5.7k EXP. IND ATL
28.8
5.04
--
232.5 115.5
SG Tari Eason $6.0k EXP. HOU DAL
28.5
4.75
--
223.5 117
SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $7.3k EXP. ATL IND
28.5
3.90
--
232.5 117
C Jock Landale $6.4k MEM MIN
27.8
4.34
--
229.5 111
SF Jaden McDaniels $6.2k EXP. MIN MEM
27.0
4.35
--
229.5 118.5
C Derik Queen $6.1k EXP. NO PHI
27.0
4.43
--
232.5 111.5
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin $5.6k IND ATL
26.8
4.78
--
232.5 115.5
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $6.3k EXP. NO PHI
26.8
4.25
--
232.5 111.5
SF/PF Jarace Walker $5.4k EXP. IND ATL
25.8
4.77
--
232.5 115.5
PG/SG Ayo Dosunmu $5.4k CHI MIA
25.8
4.77
--
235.5 115.5
PG Cam Spencer $6.2k EXP. MEM MIN
25.3
4.07
--
229.5 111
SG/SF Pelle Larsson $5.2k EXP. MIA CHI
25.3
4.86
--
235.5 120
C Kel'el Ware $4.9k MIA CHI
25.3
5.15
--
235.5 120
SG/SF Kelly Oubre Jr. $5.2k EXP. PHI NO
25.3
4.86
--
232.5 121
SG Cedric Coward $5.9k EXP. MEM MIN
24.8
4.19
--
229.5 111
C Daniel Gafford $4.5k EXP. DAL HOU
24.3
5.39
--
223.5 106.5
PF/C Nikola Jovic $4.1k MIA CHI
23.5
5.73
--
235.5 120
SG Max Christie $5.4k EXP. DAL HOU
23.0
4.26
--
223.5 106.5
PG/SG Brandon Williams $5.2k DAL HOU
22.3
4.28
--
223.5 106.5
SF Zaccharie Risacher  Q $4.6k ATL IND
21.5
4.67
--
232.5 117
PG Kasparas Jakucionis $4.2k EXP. MIA CHI
21.0
5.00
--
235.5 120
C Yves Missi $4.4k NO PHI
21.0
4.77
--
232.5 111.5
PG T.J. McConnell $4.3k IND ATL
20.8
4.83
--
232.5 115.5
SG/SF Herbert Jones $4.3k EXP. NO PHI
20.8
4.83
--
232.5 111.5
SF Jaylen Wells $4.3k EXP. MEM MIN
20.5
4.77
--
229.5 111
PG Dru Smith $4.5k MIA CHI
20.5
4.56
--
235.5 120
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $4.8k HOU DAL
20.3
4.22
--
223.5 117
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $4.2k CHI MIA
19.8
4.70
--
235.5 115.5
PG/SG Quentin Grimes  Q $4.7k PHI NO
19.3
4.10
--
232.5 121
SF/PF Gregory Jackson $4.1k MEM MIN
18.8
4.57
--
229.5 111
PF/C Jay Huff $3.8k IND ATL
18.5
4.87
--
232.5 115.5
C Christian Koloko $3.6k EXP. ATL IND
17.8
4.93
--
232.5 117
SF Isaac Okoro $3.9k EXP. CHI MIA
17.8
4.55
--
235.5 115.5
PG Jose Alvarado $3.3k NO PHI
17.8
5.38
--
232.5 111.5
PF Vince Williams Jr. $4.2k MEM MIN
17.5
4.17
--
229.5 111
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $4.1k NO PHI
17.5
4.27
--
232.5 111.5
PF Simone Fontecchio $4.3k MIA CHI
16.8
3.90
--
235.5 120
SF Johnny Furphy $4.0k EXP. IND ATL
16.5
4.13
--
232.5 115.5
SF/PF Klay Thompson $4.7k DAL HOU
15.8
3.35
--
223.5 106.5
SG/SF Josh Okogie $4.1k HOU DAL
15.8
3.84
--
223.5 117
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $4.1k ATL IND
15.5
3.78
--
232.5 117
PG/SG Bones Hyland $4.2k MIN MEM
15.5
3.69
--
229.5 118.5
C Clint Capela $4.0k HOU DAL
15.3
3.81
--
223.5 117
PF Dominick Barlow $3.6k PHI NO
15.3
4.24
--
232.5 121
PG/SG Luke Kennard $4.2k ATL IND
15.0
3.57
--
232.5 117
PF Caleb Martin $4.3k DAL HOU
14.8
3.43
--
223.5 106.5
PG Mike Conley $3.9k MIN MEM
14.8
3.78
--
229.5 118.5
PF/C Patrick Williams $3.3k CHI MIA
14.5
4.39
--
235.5 115.5
PF/C Micah Potter $3.6k IND ATL
14.0
3.89
--
232.5 115.5
SG/SF Kentavious Caldwell-Pope $3.7k MEM MIN
13.5
3.65
--
229.5 111
C Adem Bona $4.0k PHI NO
13.0
3.25
--
232.5 121
SF/PF Corey Kispert $3.9k EXP. ATL IND
12.8
3.27
--
232.5 117
PF John Konchar $3.8k MEM MIN
12.8
3.36
--
229.5 111
SG/SF Vit Krejci $3.7k ATL IND
12.0
3.24
--
232.5 117
PG/SG Jared McCain $3.3k PHI NO
11.8
3.56
--
232.5 121
C Moussa Cisse $3.9k DAL HOU
11.5
2.95
--
223.5 106.5
PF/C Karlo Matkovic $3.1k NO PHI
11.0
3.55
--
232.5 111.5
SF/PF Dorian Finney-Smith $3.2k HOU DAL
10.0
3.13
--
223.5 117
SF/PF Micah Peavy $3.2k NO PHI
8.0
2.50
--
232.5 111.5
SG Ben Sheppard $3.1k IND ATL
7.5
2.42
--
232.5 115.5
SG/SF Jaylen Clark $3.5k MIN MEM
7.5
2.14
--
229.5 118.5
C Dwight Powell $4.1k DAL HOU
7.0
1.71
--
223.5 106.5
SF/PF Julian Phillips $3.0k CHI MIA
5.3
1.75
--
235.5 115.5
C Isaiah Jackson $3.0k IND ATL
3.8
1.25
--
232.5 115.5
SF Dalen Terry $3.2k CHI MIA
3.5
1.09
--
235.5 115.5
PG Ryan Nembhard $3.6k DAL HOU
2.5
0.69
--
223.5 106.5
PF/C Asa Newell $3.5k ATL IND
1.5
0.43
--
232.5 117
PG/SG Jevon Carter $3.0k CHI MIA
1.3
0.42
--
235.5 115.5
PG Keaton Wallace $3.0k ATL IND
0.5
0.17
--
232.5 117
PG RayJ Dennis $3.0k ATL IND
0.5
0.17
--
232.5 117
SF/PF Caleb Houstan $3.0k ATL IND
0.5
0.17
--
232.5 117
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!