DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Nikola Jokic $12.4k YES DEN OKC
61.4
4.95
--
232.5 113
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10.7k YES OKC DEN
54.4
5.08
--
232.5 119.5
PG Jamal Murray  Q $8.9k YES DEN OKC
38.6
4.34
--
232.5 113
PF/C Jaylin Williams $5.7k YES OKC DEN
33.7
5.91
--
232.5 119.5
PF Gregory Jackson $6.4k YES MEM BKN
31.5
4.92
--
220.5 111
PG Javon Small $5.4k MEM BKN
31.2
5.78
--
220.5 111
C Nic Claxton $5.5k YES BKN MEM
31.0
5.64
--
220.5 109.5
PF/C Olivier-Maxence Prosper $5.0k YES MEM BKN
29.2
5.84
--
220.5 111
SG Walter Clayton Jr. $4.6k YES MEM BKN
28.8
6.26
--
220.5 111
PF/C Danny Wolf $4.5k YES BKN MEM
28.4
6.31
--
220.5 109.5
SG/SF Cam Spencer $4.8k YES MEM BKN
27.6
5.75
--
220.5 111
C Day'Ron Sharpe $5.0k BKN MEM
26.8
5.35
--
220.5 109.5
PF Noah Clowney $5.2k YES BKN MEM
26.6
5.12
--
220.5 109.5
SF Jaylen Wells $4.8k YES MEM BKN
25.4
5.29
--
220.5 111
PG Nolan Traore $4.4k YES BKN MEM
25.3
5.75
--
220.5 109.5
SG Isaiah Joe $4.7k YES OKC DEN
24.8
5.28
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Cason Wallace $5.5k YES OKC DEN
24.8
4.51
--
232.5 119.5
PF Aaron Gordon $6.3k YES DEN OKC
23.5
3.73
--
232.5 113
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $4.7k OKC DEN
23.3
4.97
--
232.5 119.5
SG Christian Braun $5.3k YES DEN OKC
23.2
4.38
--
232.5 113
SG/SF Ziaire Williams $4.3k BKN MEM
21.7
5.05
--
220.5 109.5
SG Luguentz Dort $4.5k YES OKC DEN
20.8
4.62
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Jahmai Mashack $4.0k MEM BKN
20.4
5.10
--
220.5 111
PG Ajay Mitchell $4.6k OKC DEN
20.2
4.39
--
232.5 119.5
SF Rayan Rupert $4.0k MEM BKN
20.1
5.03
--
220.5 111
SF/PF Cameron Johnson $5.6k YES DEN OKC
19.6
3.50
--
232.5 113
PG/SG Bruce Brown $4.6k DEN OKC
17.7
3.85
--
232.5 113
PF/C Kenrich Williams $4.2k OKC DEN
17.2
4.10
--
232.5 119.5
PG/SG Terance Mann $3.7k BKN MEM
15.9
4.30
--
220.5 109.5
SF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.6k DEN OKC
15.7
3.42
--
232.5 113
SG Drake Powell $3.0k YES BKN MEM
14.6
4.87
--
220.5 109.5
PG Ben Saraf  Q $3.0k BKN MEM
13.4
4.47
--
220.5 109.5
SF/PF Ochai Agbaji $3.3k BKN MEM
12.8
3.88
--
220.5 109.5
C Jonas Valanciunas $3.7k DEN OKC
12.8
3.46
--
232.5 113
PG/SG Jared McCain $4.0k OKC DEN
11.8
2.95
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Julian Strawther $4.2k DEN OKC
10.2
2.44
--
232.5 113
SF/PF Brooks Barnhizer $3.2k OKC DEN
7.2
2.26
--
232.5 119.5
PF Jalen Wilson $3.0k BKN MEM
4.9
1.64
--
220.5 109.5
SF/PF Josh Minott $3.0k BKN MEM
4.0
1.33
--
220.5 109.5
PF Spencer Jones $3.7k DEN OKC
4.0
1.08
--
232.5 113
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!