DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PG Cade Cunningham $9.8k EXP. DET ORL
53.4
5.45
--
219.5 114
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $9.7k EXP. OKC PHO
46.9
4.84
--
216.5 117
PF Paolo Banchero $8.5k EXP. ORL DET
40.8
4.79
--
219.5 105.5
PG/SG Devin Booker $8.4k EXP. PHO OKC
37.2
4.43
--
216.5 99.5
SF Jalen Williams $7.6k EXP. OKC PHO
36.9
4.85
--
216.5 117
C Jalen Duren $8.0k EXP. DET ORL
36.1
4.51
--
219.5 114
PF Chet Holmgren $7.5k EXP. OKC PHO
35.1
4.68
--
216.5 117
SG Desmond Bane $7.2k EXP. ORL DET
34.6
4.81
--
219.5 105.5
SG Jalen Green $7.7k EXP. PHO OKC
34.5
4.48
--
216.5 99.5
PG Jalen Suggs $6.8k EXP. ORL DET
32.1
4.72
--
219.5 105.5
SF Franz Wagner $6.3k EXP. ORL DET
31.1
4.93
--
219.5 105.5
PF Tobias Harris $5.6k EXP. DET ORL
29.7
5.30
--
219.5 114
PF Dillon Brooks $5.9k EXP. PHO OKC
27.9
4.73
--
216.5 99.5
SF Ausar Thompson $5.3k EXP. DET ORL
27.1
5.12
--
219.5 114
C Wendell Carter Jr. $5.7k EXP. ORL DET
26.7
4.68
--
219.5 105.5
C Isaiah Hartenstein $5.2k EXP. OKC PHO
24.2
4.65
--
216.5 117
C Mark Williams  Q $4.8k EXP. PHO OKC
22.2
4.63
--
216.5 99.5
SG/SF Jordan Goodwin  Q $4.9k EXP. PHO OKC
20.9
4.27
--
216.5 99.5
PG Ajay Mitchell $4.4k OKC PHO
20.8
4.73
--
216.5 117
PG/SG Anthony Black $4.6k ORL DET
20.7
4.49
--
219.5 105.5
C Oso Ighodaro $4.3k PHO OKC
19.0
4.42
--
216.5 99.5
PF Royce O'Neale $4.0k PHO OKC
18.9
4.72
--
216.5 99.5
PF/C Isaiah Stewart $4.1k DET ORL
18.1
4.41
--
219.5 114
SG Duncan Robinson $4.2k EXP. DET ORL
16.7
3.98
--
219.5 114
PG Collin Gillespie $3.8k PHO OKC
16.4
4.32
--
216.5 99.5
PG Daniss Jenkins $3.9k DET ORL
16.2
4.16
--
219.5 114
SG Luguentz Dort $3.7k EXP. OKC PHO
16.2
4.39
--
216.5 117
SG/SF Cason Wallace $3.8k OKC PHO
15.7
4.13
--
216.5 117
SF/PF Alex Caruso $3.6k OKC PHO
14.5
4.03
--
216.5 117
C Goga Bitadze $3.6k ORL DET
14.2
3.94
--
219.5 105.5
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $3.7k DET ORL
13.7
3.70
--
219.5 114
SG/SF Grayson Allen  Q $5.0k PHO OKC
13.6
2.72
--
216.5 99.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $3.5k ORL DET
13.1
3.75
--
219.5 105.5
SG Isaiah Joe $3.6k OKC PHO
11.8
3.28
--
216.5 117
PF Ronald Holland II $3.2k DET ORL
10.7
3.35
--
219.5 114
C Jaylin Williams $3.4k OKC PHO
9.7
2.85
--
216.5 117
SG/SF Caris LeVert $3.4k DET ORL
6.3
1.85
--
219.5 114
PF Ryan Dunn $3.4k PHO OKC
6.3
1.85
--
216.5 99.5
SG/SF Jamal Cain $3.3k ORL DET
6.2
1.88
--
219.5 105.5
SF/PF Javonte Green $3.1k DET ORL
5.4
1.74
--
219.5 114
PG/SG Jared McCain $3.0k OKC PHO
2.2
0.75
--
216.5 117
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!