DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Victor Wembanyama $10.3k EXP. SA NO
55.7
5.41
--
239.5 125.5
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10.9k EXP. OKC TOR
52.6
4.83
--
225.5 118.5
PG James Harden $10.2k EXP. LAC BKN
48.3
4.73
--
211.5 110
PF Zion Williamson $7.9k EXP. NO SA
43.4
5.49
--
239.5 114
PF Scottie Barnes $9.7k EXP. TOR OKC
43.0
4.43
--
225.5 107
PF Chet Holmgren $8.5k EXP. OKC TOR
39.8
4.68
--
225.5 118.5
C Ivica Zubac $7.3k EXP. LAC BKN
39.4
5.40
--
211.5 110
PG De'Aaron Fox $7.4k EXP. SA NO
38.5
5.20
--
239.5 125.5
C Bam Adebayo $8.1k EXP. MIA PHO
38.3
4.73
--
229.5 113
SG Brandon Ingram $8.6k EXP. TOR OKC
38.1
4.43
--
225.5 107
SF Michael Porter Jr. $8.4k EXP. BKN LAC
37.2
4.43
--
211.5 101.5
SG Trey Murphy III $8.2k EXP. NO SA
36.9
4.50
--
239.5 114
SF Kawhi Leonard  Q $9.6k EXP. LAC BKN
36.3
3.78
--
211.5 110
PG Ryan Rollins $7.0k EXP. MIL DAL
36.2
5.17
--
219.5 110.5
PG/SF Cooper Flagg $8.0k EXP. DAL MIL
36.1
4.52
--
219.5 109
SG Stephon Castle $7.1k EXP. SA NO
35.5
5.00
--
239.5 125.5
PF/C Bobby Portis $6.2k MIL DAL
35.4
5.71
--
219.5 110.5
C Myles Turner $5.1k EXP. MIL DAL
33.5
6.56
--
219.5 110.5
PG Immanuel Quickley  Q $7.2k EXP. TOR OKC
32.8
4.56
--
225.5 107
PG Collin Gillespie $6.3k EXP. PHO MIA
32.1
5.10
--
229.5 116.5
C Nic Claxton $6.7k EXP. BKN LAC
30.8
4.60
--
211.5 101.5
C Mark Williams $5.7k EXP. PHO MIA
30.8
5.40
--
229.5 116.5
PF Andrew Wiggins $6.3k EXP. MIA PHO
30.6
4.86
--
229.5 113
SG/SF Naji Marshall $6.9k EXP. DAL MIL
30.1
4.36
--
219.5 109
SF/PF PJ Washington $6.4k EXP. DAL MIL
29.5
4.61
--
219.5 109
SG/SF Norman Powell $7.2k EXP. MIA PHO
29.3
4.07
--
229.5 113
SF/PF Jaime Jaquez Jr. $6.1k MIA PHO
28.5
4.67
--
229.5 113
SG/SF Grayson Allen $5.9k EXP. PHO MIA
28.3
4.80
--
229.5 116.5
C Derik Queen $6.5k EXP. NO SA
28.1
4.32
--
239.5 114
SF Dillon Brooks $6.0k EXP. PHO MIA
28.0
4.67
--
229.5 116.5
PF/C John Collins $5.8k EXP. LAC BKN
27.5
4.74
--
211.5 110
SF/PF Kyle Kuzma $5.2k EXP. MIL DAL
27.1
5.21
--
219.5 110.5
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins  Q $4.7k EXP. OKC TOR
26.4
5.61
--
225.5 118.5
SF RJ Barrett $6.6k EXP. TOR OKC
26.3
3.98
--
225.5 107
SF/PF Royce O'Neale $4.8k EXP. PHO MIA
26.1
5.44
--
229.5 116.5
PG/SG Brandon Williams $4.6k DAL MIL
24.8
5.39
--
219.5 109
SG Max Christie $5.4k EXP. DAL MIL
24.5
4.54
--
219.5 109
PF/C Danny Wolf $4.0k EXP. BKN LAC
24.2
6.04
--
211.5 101.5
PG/SG Kris Dunn $5.1k EXP. LAC BKN
24.1
4.72
--
211.5 110
PG/SG Cason Wallace $4.2k OKC TOR
23.8
5.67
--
225.5 118.5
PF/C Collin Murray-Boyles  Q $6.1k TOR OKC
23.8
3.91
--
225.5 107
PG Egor Demin $5.0k EXP. BKN LAC
23.5
4.70
--
211.5 101.5
C Day'Ron Sharpe $4.9k BKN LAC
23.3
4.74
--
211.5 101.5
SG Luguentz Dort $4.4k EXP. OKC TOR
23.3
5.31
--
225.5 118.5
SG Jalen Green  Q $6.8k PHO MIA
23.3
3.43
--
229.5 116.5
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $5.5k NO SA
22.9
4.17
--
239.5 114
C Sandro Mamukelashvili $5.8k EXP. TOR OKC
22.7
3.92
--
225.5 107
C Daniel Gafford $4.9k EXP. DAL MIL
22.5
4.59
--
219.5 109
SG/SF Julian Champagnie $6.0k EXP. SA NO
22.3
3.72
--
239.5 125.5
SF Devin Vassell $5.7k SA NO
22.2
3.89
--
239.5 125.5
PF/C Kenrich Williams $4.3k OKC TOR
21.5
5.01
--
225.5 118.5
SG/SF AJ Green  Q $4.7k EXP. MIL DAL
21.3
4.53
--
219.5 110.5
SG Isaiah Joe $4.1k OKC TOR
21.3
5.20
--
225.5 118.5
SG/SF Jordan Goodwin $4.2k PHO MIA
21.3
5.07
--
229.5 116.5
SG/SF Pelle Larsson $4.9k EXP. MIA PHO
21.3
4.35
--
229.5 113
PG Davion Mitchell  Q $4.8k EXP. MIA PHO
21.2
4.42
--
229.5 113
PG Cole Anthony $4.6k MIL DAL
21.0
4.56
--
219.5 110.5
SF/PF Keldon Johnson $5.1k SA NO
20.6
4.03
--
239.5 125.5
C Luke Kornet  Q $4.1k SA NO
20.3
4.94
--
239.5 125.5
SF Herbert Jones $4.2k EXP. NO SA
20.3
4.83
--
239.5 114
C Yves Missi $4.2k NO SA
20.0
4.76
--
239.5 114
PG Jeremiah Fears $4.8k EXP. NO SA
20.0
4.16
--
239.5 114
SF/PF Klay Thompson $4.9k DAL MIL
19.4
3.97
--
219.5 109
PF/C Nikola Jovic $4.2k MIA PHO
19.0
4.52
--
229.5 113
SG/SF Jordan Miller $5.6k LAC BKN
18.9
3.37
--
211.5 110
PF Harrison Barnes $3.9k EXP. SA NO
18.9
4.85
--
239.5 125.5
SG/SF Ziaire Williams $3.9k BKN LAC
18.5
4.74
--
211.5 101.5
C Jaylin Williams $4.0k EXP. OKC TOR
18.5
4.63
--
225.5 118.5
PG/SG Jordan Poole $4.5k NO SA
17.9
3.98
--
239.5 114
C Oso Ighodaro $3.8k PHO MIA
17.8
4.67
--
229.5 116.5
PG Jamal Shead $5.5k TOR OKC
17.6
3.21
--
225.5 107
SG Drake Powell $3.8k EXP. BKN LAC
17.0
4.47
--
211.5 101.5
SG/SF Terance Mann $3.4k BKN LAC
16.5
4.85
--
211.5 101.5
PG Kasparas Jakucionis $4.2k MIA PHO
16.4
3.91
--
229.5 113
SF/PF Simone Fontecchio $3.9k MIA PHO
16.3
4.19
--
229.5 113
PG/SG Dylan Harper $4.4k SA NO
16.3
3.70
--
239.5 125.5
SF Kobe Sanders $4.2k LAC BKN
15.3
3.64
--
211.5 110
PF Ryan Dunn $3.1k PHO MIA
14.8
4.78
--
229.5 116.5
SG/SF Gradey Dick $4.4k TOR OKC
13.7
3.11
--
225.5 107
PG Tyrese Martin $3.1k BKN LAC
13.6
4.37
--
211.5 101.5
C Brook Lopez $3.7k LAC BKN
13.1
3.54
--
211.5 110
PG Ryan Nembhard $4.5k DAL MIL
13.0
2.88
--
219.5 109
SG/SF Gary Harris $3.6k EXP. MIL DAL
12.3
3.42
--
219.5 110.5
PF Nicolas Batum $3.5k LAC BKN
12.1
3.46
--
211.5 110
PG Dru Smith $3.5k MIA PHO
11.1
3.18
--
229.5 113
SF/PF Jalen Wilson $3.0k BKN LAC
11.0
3.66
--
211.5 101.5
SG/SF Gary Trent Jr.  Q $3.4k MIL DAL
10.5
3.09
--
219.5 110.5
PF Caleb Martin $3.9k DAL MIL
10.4
2.68
--
219.5 109
PG/SG Ja'Kobe Walter  Q $4.0k TOR OKC
10.3
2.56
--
225.5 107
PG Jamaree Bouyea $3.0k PHO MIA
10.3
3.42
--
229.5 116.5
C Dwight Powell $4.2k DAL MIL
9.8
2.34
--
219.5 109
C Pete Nance $3.8k MIL DAL
9.8
2.58
--
219.5 110.5
SF/PF Ochai Agbaji $3.7k TOR OKC
9.4
2.53
--
225.5 107
SF/PF Micah Peavy $3.9k NO SA
9.4
2.40
--
239.5 114
PG Ben Saraf $3.0k BKN LAC
9.3
3.08
--
211.5 101.5
PG Jose Alvarado  Q $3.4k NO SA
9.0
2.65
--
239.5 114
SG/SF Myron Gardner $3.1k MIA PHO
8.0
2.58
--
229.5 113
PF/C Karlo Matkovic $3.3k NO SA
6.6
2.00
--
239.5 114
SF/PF Amir Coffey $3.0k MIL DAL
5.0
1.67
--
219.5 110.5
SF/PF Brooks Barnhizer $3.1k OKC TOR
5.0
1.61
--
225.5 118.5
SG Jaden Hardy $3.5k DAL MIL
3.3
0.94
--
219.5 109
SF Carter Bryant $3.2k SA NO
1.7
0.54
--
239.5 125.5
PG D'Angelo Russell $3.0k DAL MIL
1.1
0.36
--
219.5 109
PF/C Jeremiah Robinson-Earl $3.2k DAL MIL
0.9
0.28
--
219.5 109
C Vladislav Goldin $3.0k MIA PHO
0.7
0.23
--
229.5 113
SF/PF Keshad Johnson $3.0k MIA PHO
0.5
0.15
--
229.5 113
SG Miles Kelly $3.0k DAL MIL
0.4
0.13
--
219.5 109
PG Jahmir Young $3.0k MIA PHO
0.4
0.14
--
229.5 113
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!