DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo $11.0k EXP. MIL DEN
56.2
5.11
--
214.5 111
PF Scottie Barnes $9.5k EXP. TOR POR
42.9
4.52
--
224.5 114
SG Brandon Ingram $8.5k EXP. TOR POR
38.8
4.56
--
224.5 114
SG Shaedon Sharpe $7.7k EXP. POR TOR
38.2
4.96
--
224.5 110.5
PF/C Aaron Gordon $7.2k EXP. DEN MIL
38.0
5.28
--
214.5 103.5
C Donovan Clingan $6.7k EXP. POR TOR
36.0
5.38
--
224.5 110.5
PG Immanuel Quickley $7.0k EXP. TOR POR
34.6
4.94
--
224.5 114
PG Ryan Rollins $6.8k EXP. MIL DEN
33.8
4.97
--
214.5 111
C Sandro Mamukelashvili $5.5k EXP. TOR POR
30.7
5.58
--
224.5 114
PG/SG Jalen Pickett $5.3k EXP. DEN MIL
29.5
5.56
--
214.5 103.5
SF RJ Barrett  Q $6.5k EXP. TOR POR
28.6
4.40
--
224.5 114
SG/SF Toumani Camara $6.4k EXP. POR TOR
27.5
4.30
--
224.5 110.5
PF/C Bobby Portis $5.8k MIL DEN
27.0
4.65
--
214.5 111
SF/PF Kyle Kuzma $4.8k EXP. MIL DEN
26.2
5.46
--
214.5 111
PG Caleb Love $5.7k POR TOR
25.9
4.54
--
224.5 110.5
SF/PF Tim Hardaway Jr. $5.1k DEN MIL
25.7
5.04
--
214.5 103.5
PG Jrue Holiday $6.2k EXP. POR TOR
24.9
4.02
--
224.5 110.5
PF Jerami Grant $6.3k POR TOR
24.1
3.82
--
224.5 110.5
PG Cole Anthony $3.7k MIL DEN
23.5
6.36
--
214.5 111
C Myles Turner  Q $5.0k EXP. MIL DEN
23.3
4.66
--
214.5 111
C Zeke Nnaji $4.2k DEN MIL
22.3
5.31
--
214.5 103.5
PG/SG Bruce Brown $4.6k EXP. DEN MIL
21.9
4.76
--
214.5 103.5
PG Jamal Shead $5.4k TOR POR
20.7
3.84
--
224.5 114
SF/PF Spencer Jones $4.9k EXP. DEN MIL
19.5
3.98
--
214.5 103.5
SF Hunter Tyson $3.3k DEN MIL
17.7
5.37
--
214.5 103.5
PF Sidy Cissoko $4.3k EXP. POR TOR
17.4
4.04
--
224.5 110.5
C DaRon Holmes II $3.2k EXP. DEN MIL
16.3
5.11
--
214.5 103.5
C Pete Nance $3.8k MIL DEN
16.1
4.24
--
214.5 111
SG/SF Julian Strawther $3.0k DEN MIL
14.0
4.67
--
214.5 103.5
SG/SF Gradey Dick $4.4k TOR POR
12.8
2.91
--
224.5 114
PF/C Jonathan Mogbo $3.5k TOR POR
12.3
3.51
--
224.5 114
SG/SF Rayan Rupert $3.4k POR TOR
12.1
3.54
--
224.5 110.5
C Hansen Yang $3.2k POR TOR
12.0
3.75
--
224.5 110.5
SG/SF Gary Harris $3.5k EXP. MIL DEN
11.4
3.26
--
214.5 111
SF/PF Ochai Agbaji $3.6k TOR POR
11.3
3.14
--
224.5 114
SF/PF Andre Jackson Jr. $3.1k MIL DEN
10.8
3.47
--
214.5 111
PG Javonte Cooke $3.1k POR TOR
3.0
0.97
--
224.5 110.5
PF Jamison Battle $3.1k TOR POR
3.0
0.97
--
224.5 114
SF/PF Amir Coffey $3.0k MIL DEN
2.0
0.67
--
214.5 111
PG/SF AJ Lawson $3.0k TOR POR
0.5
0.17
--
224.5 114
PG Curtis Jones $3.0k DEN MIL
0.3
0.08
--
214.5 103.5
Load All Players

Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!