DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo $11.0k EXP. MIL DEN
53.8
4.89
--
221.5 112
PF Jalen Johnson $10.8k EXP. ATL GSW
51.9
4.80
--
235.5 115
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10.4k EXP. OKC MIA
50.9
4.90
--
232.5 123.5
PG Jamal Murray  Q $9.9k EXP. DEN MIL
48.9
4.94
--
221.5 109.5
SG Anthony Edwards $9.6k EXP. MIN SA
46.4
4.84
--
234.5 118.5
PG Stephen Curry $9.0k EXP. GSW ATL
46.1
5.12
--
235.5 120.5
PG/SG Devin Booker $8.5k EXP. PHO WAS
44.7
5.26
--
229.5 122
PF/C Alperen Sengun  Q $9.2k EXP. HOU SAC
44.5
4.84
--
221.5 117
C Victor Wembanyama $9.4k EXP. SA MIN
43.5
4.63
--
234.5 116
SG/SF Kevin Durant $8.9k EXP. HOU SAC
43.4
4.88
--
221.5 117
PF Julius Randle $8.3k EXP. MIN SA
40.9
4.92
--
234.5 118.5
PG Kevin Porter Jr.  Q $8.2k EXP. MIL DEN
40.3
4.91
--
221.5 112
SF Jalen Williams $8.0k EXP. OKC MIA
39.6
4.96
--
232.5 123.5
SF/PF Jimmy Butler $7.8k EXP. GSW ATL
39.0
5.00
--
235.5 120.5
PG Amen Thompson $8.1k EXP. HOU SAC
38.6
4.76
--
221.5 117
PF Chet Holmgren $7.6k EXP. OKC MIA
38.4
5.05
--
232.5 123.5
PG De'Aaron Fox $7.9k EXP. SA MIN
35.7
4.52
--
234.5 116
C Bam Adebayo $7.5k EXP. MIA OKC
35.5
4.73
--
232.5 109
C Alexandre Sarr $7.6k EXP. WAS PHO
34.9
4.59
--
229.5 107.5
PG Russell Westbrook $7.4k EXP. SAC HOU
34.8
4.70
--
221.5 104.5
C Onyeka Okongwu $7.3k EXP. ATL GSW
34.2
4.68
--
235.5 115
SG Stephon Castle $7.7k EXP. SA MIN
34.0
4.41
--
234.5 116
SF/PF Peyton Watson $7.5k EXP. DEN MIL
33.7
4.49
--
221.5 109.5
SG/SF Norman Powell $7.2k EXP. MIA OKC
33.7
4.68
--
232.5 109
PG/SG Ryan Rollins $7.2k EXP. MIL DEN
33.1
4.60
--
221.5 112
C Rudy Gobert $6.7k EXP. MIN SA
32.2
4.81
--
234.5 118.5
PG/SG Dyson Daniels $7.0k EXP. ATL GSW
32.1
4.58
--
235.5 115
SF DeMar DeRozan $7.0k EXP. SAC HOU
32.0
4.57
--
221.5 104.5
SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $7.3k EXP. ATL GSW
31.9
4.36
--
235.5 115
SF/PF Dillon Brooks $5.9k EXP. PHO WAS
31.1
5.26
--
229.5 122
PF Jabari Smith Jr. $6.3k EXP. HOU SAC
30.9
4.91
--
221.5 117
C Mark Williams $5.0k EXP. PHO WAS
30.8
6.15
--
229.5 122
PF Aaron Gordon  Q $6.4k DEN MIL
30.0
4.69
--
221.5 109.5
PG Donte DiVincenzo $5.9k EXP. MIN SA
30.0
5.08
--
234.5 118.5
SG Zach LaVine $6.8k EXP. SAC HOU
29.9
4.40
--
221.5 104.5
PG/SG Collin Gillespie $6.2k EXP. PHO WAS
29.8
4.80
--
229.5 122
PF/C Naz Reid $6.1k MIN SA
29.0
4.75
--
234.5 118.5
PF/C Draymond Green $5.8k EXP. GSW ATL
28.8
4.96
--
235.5 120.5
PF Andrew Wiggins $6.2k EXP. MIA OKC
28.8
4.64
--
232.5 109
SF Jaden McDaniels $5.7k EXP. MIN SA
27.8
4.87
--
234.5 118.5
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $5.0k HOU SAC
26.7
5.34
--
221.5 117
SG Kyshawn George $6.2k EXP. WAS PHO
26.4
4.25
--
229.5 107.5
SF Bilal Coulibaly $5.4k EXP. WAS PHO
26.3
4.86
--
229.5 107.5
SG/SF Grayson Allen $5.5k PHO WAS
26.2
4.77
--
229.5 122
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.6k ATL GSW
26.1
3.95
--
235.5 115
C Kel'el Ware $6.5k MIA OKC
26.0
4.00
--
232.5 109
C Kristaps Porzingis  Q $6.0k ATL GSW
25.7
4.28
--
235.5 115
SF/PF Royce O'Neale $4.9k EXP. PHO WAS
25.4
5.17
--
229.5 122
SG/SF Julian Champagnie $5.8k EXP. SA MIN
25.0
4.31
--
234.5 116
C Maxime Raynaud $6.1k EXP. SAC HOU
25.0
4.09
--
221.5 104.5
SF/PF Keldon Johnson $5.6k SA MIN
24.8
4.44
--
234.5 116
PG Ajay Mitchell $5.7k OKC MIA
24.6
4.31
--
232.5 123.5
PG Bub Carrington $5.0k WAS PHO
23.8
4.75
--
229.5 107.5
PF/C Bobby Portis $5.3k MIL DEN
23.5
4.44
--
221.5 112
C Myles Turner $5.2k EXP. MIL DEN
23.5
4.51
--
221.5 112
PG Brandin Podziemski $5.0k GSW ATL
23.5
4.70
--
235.5 120.5
PG Davion Mitchell $5.0k EXP. MIA OKC
23.2
4.65
--
232.5 109
PG/SG Tre Johnson $5.2k EXP. WAS PHO
23.0
4.42
--
229.5 107.5
SG/SF Jaime Jaquez Jr. $6.3k MIA OKC
22.8
3.61
--
232.5 109
SG Christian Braun  Q $5.2k EXP. DEN MIL
22.2
4.28
--
221.5 109.5
PG/SG Jordan Goodwin $4.6k PHO WAS
22.1
4.80
--
229.5 122
PG/SF De'Anthony Melton $4.7k GSW ATL
21.8
4.63
--
235.5 120.5
C Steven Adams $5.3k HOU SAC
21.8
4.10
--
221.5 117
SG/SF Moses Moody $4.6k EXP. GSW ATL
21.0
4.57
--
235.5 120.5
PG/SG Dylan Harper $5.1k SA MIN
21.0
4.11
--
234.5 116
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $4.8k EXP. OKC MIA
20.7
4.31
--
232.5 123.5
SF/PF Justin Champagnie $4.7k WAS PHO
20.6
4.38
--
229.5 107.5
PG/SG Malik Monk $3.5k SAC HOU
20.3
5.79
--
221.5 104.5
PF/C Nikola Jovic $4.9k MIA OKC
20.1
4.09
--
232.5 109
PF Khris Middleton $4.0k EXP. WAS PHO
20.1
5.01
--
229.5 107.5
C Luke Kornet $5.0k SA MIN
19.6
3.91
--
234.5 116
SF/PF Kyle Kuzma $4.5k MIL DEN
18.9
4.21
--
221.5 112
SF/PF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.5k DEN MIL
18.7
4.16
--
221.5 109.5
SG/SF AJ Green $4.4k EXP. MIL DEN
18.7
4.25
--
221.5 112
C Oso Ighodaro $3.7k PHO WAS
18.7
5.04
--
229.5 122
PF Harrison Barnes $4.4k EXP. SA MIN
18.5
4.20
--
234.5 116
SG Luguentz Dort $4.1k EXP. OKC MIA
18.4
4.48
--
232.5 123.5
PF/C Tristan Vukcevic $3.1k WAS PHO
17.3
5.56
--
229.5 107.5
SF Vit Krejci $4.1k EXP. ATL GSW
17.2
4.19
--
235.5 115
SG/SF Keon Ellis $4.3k EXP. SAC HOU
17.0
3.96
--
221.5 104.5
SF/PF Spencer Jones  Q $5.1k EXP. DEN MIL
16.9
3.31
--
221.5 109.5
PG/SG Cason Wallace $3.9k OKC MIA
16.9
4.34
--
232.5 123.5
C Quinten Post $4.3k EXP. GSW ATL
16.5
3.83
--
235.5 120.5
PF/C Al Horford $4.5k GSW ATL
16.3
3.63
--
235.5 120.5
C Dylan Cardwell $3.3k SAC HOU
16.0
4.85
--
221.5 104.5
SG Gary Payton II $3.7k GSW ATL
15.8
4.27
--
235.5 120.5
SF/PF Ryan Dunn $3.3k PHO WAS
15.5
4.70
--
229.5 122
SG/SF Malaki Branham $3.5k WAS PHO
15.3
4.36
--
229.5 107.5
SF/PF Nique Clifford $3.6k SAC HOU
15.1
4.20
--
221.5 104.5
SG/SF Pelle Larsson $4.1k MIA OKC
15.0
3.65
--
232.5 109
SG/SF Alex Caruso $3.8k OKC MIA
14.7
3.88
--
232.5 123.5
C Zeke Nnaji $4.6k DEN MIL
13.1
2.85
--
221.5 109.5
C DaRon Holmes II $4.2k EXP. DEN MIL
13.0
3.09
--
221.5 109.5
PG/SG Bruce Brown $4.3k DEN MIL
12.7
2.96
--
221.5 109.5
PG/SG Bones Hyland $3.2k MIN SA
12.2
3.81
--
234.5 118.5
SG Isaiah Joe $3.6k OKC MIA
12.0
3.34
--
232.5 123.5
SF/PF Corey Kispert $4.0k ATL GSW
11.8
2.94
--
235.5 115
PG Mike Conley  O $3.1k MIN SA
11.3
3.64
--
234.5 118.5
PG/SG Jalen Pickett $4.7k DEN MIL
11.2
2.39
--
221.5 109.5
SF/PF Dorian Finney-Smith $3.3k HOU SAC
11.2
3.38
--
221.5 117
SG Will Richard $3.0k GSW ATL
11.0
3.67
--
235.5 120.5
SG/SF Gary Trent Jr. $3.4k MIL DEN
10.7
3.13
--
221.5 112
SG AJ Johnson $3.2k WAS PHO
10.5
3.29
--
229.5 107.5
PF Gui Santos $3.2k GSW ATL
10.2
3.19
--
235.5 120.5
PG/SG Luke Kennard $3.7k ATL GSW
10.0
2.71
--
235.5 115
SG/SF Jaylen Clark $3.3k MIN SA
9.8
2.95
--
234.5 118.5
PF/C Precious Achiuwa $3.9k SAC HOU
9.8
2.50
--
221.5 104.5
C Clint Capela $3.7k HOU SAC
9.5
2.57
--
221.5 117
PG/SG Tyler Herro $7.1k EXP. MIA OKC
8.0
1.13
--
232.5 109
SG/SF Josh Okogie $3.1k EXP. HOU SAC
8.0
2.57
--
221.5 117
C Jaylin Williams $3.5k OKC MIA
7.0
2.00
--
232.5 123.5
SG/SF Gary Harris $3.1k MIL DEN
5.5
1.79
--
221.5 112
PG/SG Aaron Holiday $3.0k HOU SAC
5.0
1.67
--
221.5 117
PG Dru Smith $3.4k MIA OKC
4.0
1.18
--
232.5 109
PG/SG Devin Carter $3.0k SAC HOU
2.5
0.83
--
221.5 104.5
PF/C Kenrich Williams $3.8k OKC MIA
2.3
0.59
--
232.5 123.5
SF/PF Carter Bryant $3.0k SA MIN
1.8
0.58
--
234.5 116
PF/C Kelly Olynyk $3.4k SA MIN
1.5
0.44
--
234.5 116
SG/SF Lindy Waters III $3.2k SA MIN
1.5
0.47
--
234.5 116
SF/PF Rasheer Fleming $3.0k PHO WAS
1.4
0.47
--
229.5 122
C Nick Richards $3.0k PHO WAS
1.3
0.42
--
229.5 122
C Vladislav Goldin $3.0k MIA OKC
0.8
0.25
--
232.5 109
PF Isaiah Livers $3.0k PHO WAS
0.8
0.26
--
229.5 122
SG/SF Johnny Juzang $3.0k MIN SA
0.5
0.17
--
234.5 118.5
PF/C Enrique Freeman $3.0k MIN SA
0.5
0.17
--
234.5 118.5
PF/C Jeremy Sochan $3.0k SA MIN
0.5
0.16
--
234.5 116
SF/PF Leonard Miller $3.0k MIN SA
0.5
0.17
--
234.5 118.5
C Joan Beringer $3.0k MIN SA
0.5
0.17
--
234.5 118.5
PG Jahmir Young $3.0k MIA OKC
0.5
0.17
--
232.5 109
SF/PF Keshad Johnson $3.0k MIA OKC
0.5
0.17
--
232.5 109
SG/SF Myron Gardner $3.2k MIA OKC
0.5
0.16
--
232.5 109
C Khaman Maluach $3.0k PHO WAS
0.5
0.17
--
229.5 122
Load All Players

Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!