DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Bam Adebayo $8.7k EXP. MIA CHA
47.2
5.43
--
229.5 112
PG LaMelo Ball $8.5k EXP. CHA MIA
46.3
5.45
--
229.5 117.5
PG/SG Devin Booker $8.9k EXP. PHO POR
46.2
5.19
--
216.5 110
PG/SF Deni Avdija $9.0k EXP. POR PHO
45.0
5.00
--
216.5 106.5
PG/SG Tyler Herro $7.4k EXP. MIA CHA
39.6
5.35
--
229.5 112
SF Brandon Miller $7.5k EXP. CHA MIA
36.6
4.88
--
229.5 117.5
PG Jrue Holiday $6.9k EXP. POR PHO
35.2
5.10
--
216.5 106.5
C Donovan Clingan $7.2k EXP. POR PHO
33.7
4.68
--
216.5 106.5
SG Jalen Green $7.1k EXP. PHO POR
32.9
4.63
--
216.5 110
PF Miles Bridges $5.5k EXP. CHA MIA
31.9
5.80
--
229.5 117.5
SG Kon Knueppel $6.3k EXP. CHA MIA
31.7
5.03
--
229.5 117.5
PF Andrew Wiggins $4.5k EXP. MIA CHA
30.7
6.82
--
229.5 112
PF Dillon Brooks $6.6k EXP. PHO POR
28.9
4.38
--
216.5 110
C Mark Williams $4.7k EXP. PHO POR
28.8
6.13
--
216.5 110
SG Toumani Camara $5.7k EXP. POR PHO
28.0
4.91
--
216.5 106.5
C Moussa Diabate $4.9k EXP. CHA MIA
26.4
5.39
--
229.5 117.5
SG/SF Norman Powell $5.1k EXP. MIA CHA
25.6
5.03
--
229.5 112
PG Scoot Henderson $5.3k EXP. POR PHO
25.5
4.81
--
216.5 106.5
SG/SF Jaime Jaquez Jr. $4.7k MIA CHA
25.2
5.36
--
229.5 112
SG/SF Grayson Allen  Q $5.6k PHO POR
23.6
4.22
--
216.5 110
PG Collin Gillespie $6.0k PHO POR
22.7
3.78
--
216.5 110
PG Davion Mitchell $4.2k EXP. MIA CHA
22.3
5.30
--
229.5 112
SG/SF Pelle Larsson  Q $4.3k MIA CHA
20.9
4.86
--
229.5 112
SG/SF Jordan Goodwin $3.8k EXP. PHO POR
19.1
5.03
--
216.5 110
C Robert Williams $3.9k POR PHO
18.8
4.81
--
216.5 106.5
PG/SG Coby White $4.2k CHA MIA
18.5
4.40
--
229.5 117.5
PF Royce O'Neale $4.4k PHO POR
17.3
3.94
--
216.5 110
SG Shaedon Sharpe $5.8k POR PHO
16.9
2.91
--
216.5 106.5
PF Jerami Grant  Q $5.3k POR PHO
16.5
3.11
--
216.5 106.5
C Ryan Kalkbrenner $3.5k CHA MIA
16.2
4.62
--
229.5 117.5
C Kel'el Ware $4.4k MIA CHA
16.0
3.64
--
229.5 112
C Oso Ighodaro $4.4k PHO POR
15.5
3.52
--
216.5 110
PF Grant Williams $3.6k CHA MIA
15.2
4.22
--
229.5 117.5
SF/PF Sion James $3.3k CHA MIA
12.0
3.65
--
229.5 117.5
PG Kasparas Jakucionis $3.5k MIA CHA
9.4
2.69
--
229.5 112
SG/SF Kris Murray $3.2k POR PHO
8.7
2.71
--
216.5 106.5
SG/SF Josh Green $3.1k CHA MIA
4.9
1.59
--
229.5 117.5
SF/PF Rasheer Fleming $3.1k PHO POR
4.8
1.54
--
216.5 110
SF/PF Matisse Thybulle $3.8k POR PHO
4.0
1.05
--
216.5 106.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!