DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PG Luka Doncic $12.2k EXP. LAL OKC
57.4
4.71
--
231.5 111.5
C Victor Wembanyama $11.7k EXP. SA LAC
54.2
4.63
--
230.5 117
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10.4k EXP. OKC LAL
49.0
4.71
--
231.5 120
SF/PF Deni Avdija $8.9k EXP. POR NO
48.6
5.46
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Kawhi Leonard $9.5k EXP. LAC SA
45.9
4.84
--
230.5 113.5
C Jalen Duren $9.0k EXP. DET MIN
44.2
4.91
--
224.5 114
PG LaMelo Ball $8.5k EXP. CHA PHO
42.6
5.01
--
223.5 114.5
SG Donovan Mitchell $8.9k EXP. CLE GSW
41.3
4.64
--
228.5 119.5
PG James Harden $8.7k EXP. CLE GSW
40.2
4.62
--
228.5 119.5
PG/SG Devin Booker $9.0k EXP. PHO CHA
40.1
4.45
--
223.5 109
C Donovan Clingan $8.0k EXP. POR NO
39.8
4.98
--
232.5 119.5
SG Anthony Edwards  Q $9.3k EXP. MIN DET
38.3
4.12
--
224.5 110.5
PF LeBron James $8.4k EXP. LAL OKC
37.3
4.44
--
231.5 111.5
C Kristaps Porzingis  Q $7.0k EXP. GSW CLE
36.7
5.24
--
228.5 109
PF/C Evan Mobley $8.4k EXP. CLE GSW
36.6
4.36
--
228.5 119.5
PG Darius Garland $8.4k EXP. LAC SA
36.4
4.33
--
230.5 113.5
PG/SG Trey Murphy III  Q $7.7k EXP. NO POR
36.0
4.67
--
232.5 113
PG Dejounte Murray $7.5k EXP. NO POR
35.2
4.69
--
232.5 113
PF Julius Randle $8.4k EXP. MIN DET
35.1
4.17
--
224.5 110.5
PG/SG Austin Reaves $8.2k EXP. LAL OKC
35.0
4.27
--
231.5 111.5
SF Brandon Miller $7.5k EXP. CHA PHO
34.9
4.65
--
223.5 114.5
SG Stephon Castle $7.3k EXP. SA LAC
34.8
4.76
--
230.5 117
PG Daniss Jenkins $7.0k EXP. DET MIN
34.0
4.86
--
224.5 114
PG Jrue Holiday $7.5k EXP. POR NO
34.0
4.53
--
232.5 119.5
PF Zion Williamson $7.3k EXP. NO POR
33.7
4.62
--
232.5 113
C Rudy Gobert $7.2k EXP. MIN DET
33.2
4.61
--
224.5 110.5
PG Brandin Podziemski $7.5k EXP. GSW CLE
32.9
4.38
--
228.5 109
SF Jalen Williams $7.5k EXP. OKC LAL
32.4
4.32
--
231.5 120
SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu $6.7k EXP. MIN DET
32.0
4.78
--
224.5 110.5
PF Chet Holmgren $7.8k EXP. OKC LAL
31.9
4.09
--
231.5 120
SG Kon Knueppel $6.6k EXP. CHA PHO
31.3
4.74
--
223.5 114.5
PG De'Aaron Fox $6.6k EXP. SA LAC
30.8
4.66
--
230.5 117
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $6.5k EXP. NO POR
30.3
4.67
--
232.5 113
SF/PF Gui Santos  Q $6.8k EXP. GSW CLE
30.2
4.45
--
228.5 109
PF Tobias Harris $5.9k EXP. DET MIN
29.3
4.97
--
224.5 114
PG Scoot Henderson $5.7k EXP. POR NO
29.3
5.14
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Toumani Camara $5.6k EXP. POR NO
29.1
5.20
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Jalen Green $7.7k EXP. PHO CHA
27.6
3.59
--
223.5 109
C Jarrett Allen $6.5k EXP. CLE GSW
27.5
4.23
--
228.5 119.5
C Moussa Diabate $5.6k EXP. CHA PHO
27.3
4.88
--
223.5 114.5
PF/C Draymond Green $6.0k EXP. GSW CLE
27.3
4.55
--
228.5 109
C Brook Lopez $5.2k EXP. LAC SA
27.2
5.22
--
230.5 113.5
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin $7.2k LAC SA
26.9
3.74
--
230.5 113.5
C Isaiah Hartenstein $6.0k EXP. OKC LAL
26.9
4.48
--
231.5 120
SF Ausar Thompson $5.8k EXP. DET MIN
26.7
4.61
--
224.5 114
PF/C John Collins $5.5k EXP. LAC SA
26.4
4.80
--
230.5 113.5
SG/SF De'Anthony Melton  Q $5.5k EXP. GSW CLE
25.7
4.68
--
228.5 109
PF Miles Bridges $5.8k EXP. CHA PHO
25.5
4.39
--
223.5 114.5
PF/C Naz Reid $5.6k MIN DET
25.5
4.56
--
224.5 110.5
SG/SF Grayson Allen $6.0k PHO CHA
24.2
4.04
--
223.5 109
PG Donte DiVincenzo $5.5k EXP. MIN DET
24.2
4.41
--
224.5 110.5
PG Collin Gillespie $5.8k EXP. PHO CHA
23.9
4.12
--
223.5 109
SF Devin Vassell $4.8k EXP. SA LAC
23.8
4.95
--
230.5 117
PG/SG Coby White $5.2k CHA PHO
23.7
4.55
--
223.5 114.5
PG/SG Dylan Harper $4.7k SA LAC
23.5
4.99
--
230.5 117
PG Ajay Mitchell $5.2k OKC LAL
23.2
4.45
--
231.5 120
PF Dillon Brooks $6.5k EXP. PHO CHA
23.0
3.54
--
223.5 109
C Deandre Ayton $5.1k EXP. LAL OKC
22.9
4.48
--
231.5 111.5
SG/SF Gary Payton II  Q $5.1k GSW CLE
22.4
4.39
--
228.5 109
C Robert Williams $4.2k POR NO
21.3
5.08
--
232.5 119.5
SG Duncan Robinson $4.5k EXP. DET MIN
21.0
4.67
--
224.5 114
SG Sam Merrill $4.4k EXP. CLE GSW
20.7
4.71
--
228.5 119.5
SF/PF Herbert Jones $4.5k EXP. NO POR
20.7
4.60
--
232.5 113
PF Royce O'Neale $4.7k PHO CHA
20.6
4.38
--
223.5 109
SF/PF Julian Champagnie $4.3k EXP. SA LAC
20.5
4.76
--
230.5 117
SG/SF Max Strus $4.3k CLE GSW
20.0
4.65
--
228.5 119.5
SG/SF Keldon Johnson $4.4k SA LAC
19.8
4.51
--
230.5 117
PF Derik Queen $4.1k NO POR
19.5
4.75
--
232.5 113
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $4.6k NO POR
19.5
4.24
--
232.5 113
C Yves Missi $3.9k NO POR
19.4
4.99
--
232.5 113
PG/SG Pat Spencer $4.0k GSW CLE
19.3
4.83
--
228.5 109
SF/PF Derrick Jones Jr. $4.8k EXP. LAC SA
19.3
4.03
--
230.5 113.5
PG/SG Bones Hyland $4.8k MIN DET
19.1
3.99
--
224.5 110.5
C Mark Williams  Q $5.3k EXP. PHO CHA
18.5
3.50
--
223.5 109
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $4.1k DET MIN
18.1
4.43
--
224.5 114
C Paul Reed $4.3k DET MIN
18.1
4.22
--
224.5 114
SF/PF Matisse Thybulle $3.6k POR NO
17.7
4.92
--
232.5 119.5
PG/SG Kris Dunn $4.4k LAC SA
17.1
3.89
--
230.5 113.5
PG/SG Jordan Miller $4.3k LAC SA
17.1
3.98
--
230.5 113.5
SG/SF Jake LaRavia $4.1k EXP. LAL OKC
17.0
4.14
--
231.5 111.5
SG/SF Kris Murray $3.7k POR NO
16.1
4.36
--
232.5 119.5
SG/SF Cason Wallace $4.4k OKC LAL
16.0
3.63
--
231.5 120
PG Dennis Schroder $3.8k CLE GSW
15.8
4.17
--
228.5 119.5
PG/SG Caris LeVert $4.2k DET MIN
15.6
3.71
--
224.5 114
SG/SF Will Richard $4.1k GSW CLE
15.6
3.80
--
228.5 109
C Jaxson Hayes $3.7k LAL OKC
15.4
4.16
--
231.5 111.5
PF/C Kyle Anderson $3.8k MIN DET
15.2
3.99
--
224.5 110.5
C Luke Kornet  Q $3.4k SA LAC
15.2
4.47
--
230.5 117
C Oso Ighodaro $5.2k PHO CHA
14.9
2.87
--
223.5 109
PF Ronald Holland II $3.8k DET MIN
14.8
3.89
--
224.5 114
PF Harrison Barnes $3.5k SA LAC
14.7
4.19
--
230.5 117
PF/C Karlo Matkovic  Q $3.6k NO POR
14.6
4.04
--
232.5 113
C Ryan Kalkbrenner $3.2k CHA PHO
14.5
4.53
--
223.5 114.5
SF/PF Rui Hachimura $3.9k LAL OKC
14.5
3.71
--
231.5 111.5
PF Grant Williams $3.2k CHA PHO
14.3
4.46
--
223.5 114.5
C Jaylin Williams $4.6k OKC LAL
14.3
3.10
--
231.5 120
C Thomas Bryant $3.6k CLE GSW
13.9
3.86
--
228.5 119.5
SF/PF Keon Ellis $4.2k CLE GSW
13.9
3.31
--
228.5 119.5
SF/PF Alex Caruso  Q $3.6k OKC LAL
13.8
3.83
--
231.5 120
PG/SG Jordan Goodwin $4.7k PHO CHA
13.7
2.91
--
223.5 109
PG/SG Luke Kennard $3.5k LAL OKC
13.5
3.85
--
231.5 111.5
SG Luguentz Dort $3.5k EXP. OKC LAL
13.5
3.86
--
231.5 120
SF/PF Sion James $3.4k CHA PHO
11.1
3.26
--
223.5 114.5
SF/PF Javonte Green $3.7k DET MIN
10.0
2.70
--
224.5 114
PG L.J. Cryer $3.1k GSW CLE
9.6
3.11
--
228.5 109
PG Craig Porter Jr. $3.2k CLE GSW
9.0
2.82
--
228.5 119.5
PF/C Sidy Cissoko $3.2k POR NO
9.0
2.80
--
232.5 119.5
SG Isaiah Joe $4.0k OKC LAL
7.9
1.98
--
231.5 120
SF Carter Bryant $3.1k SA LAC
7.8
2.51
--
230.5 117
PF Nicolas Batum $3.2k LAC SA
7.7
2.42
--
230.5 113.5
PG/SG Jared McCain $3.3k OKC LAL
7.4
2.24
--
231.5 120
PF Jarred Vanderbilt $3.2k LAL OKC
7.2
2.25
--
231.5 111.5
SG/SF Josh Green $3.1k CHA PHO
7.1
2.30
--
223.5 114.5
PF/C Rasheer Fleming $3.3k PHO CHA
6.4
1.94
--
223.5 109
PG Mike Conley $3.6k MIN DET
6.2
1.72
--
224.5 110.5
PG/SG Marcus Sasser  Q $4.7k DET MIN
5.6
1.19
--
224.5 114
C Omer Yurtseven $3.1k GSW CLE
5.0
1.61
--
228.5 109
PF Nae'Qwan Tomlin $3.3k CLE GSW
0.9
0.27
--
228.5 119.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

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All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!