DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Bam Adebayo $8.8k EXP. MIA TOR
44.7
5.08
--
PF Jayson Tatum $10.0k EXP. BOS CHA
43.4
4.34
--
PF Scottie Barnes $9.2k EXP. TOR MIA
43.0
4.67
--
SG/SF Jaylen Brown $9.8k EXP. BOS CHA
42.0
4.28
--
PF Zion Williamson $7.6k EXP. NO UTA
41.4
5.44
--
PF/C Kyle Filipowski  Q $7.3k EXP. UTA NO
41.2
5.65
--
PG/SG Tyler Herro  Q $7.8k EXP. MIA TOR
41.2
5.29
--
PG LaMelo Ball $8.7k EXP. CHA BOS
41.1
4.72
--
PF Julius Randle $8.6k EXP. MIN IND
39.9
4.64
--
SG Brandon Ingram $8.2k EXP. TOR MIA
36.8
4.49
--
PG Derrick White $7.3k EXP. BOS CHA
36.7
5.03
--
SG/SF Collin Sexton  Q $6.3k EXP. CHI WAS
36.2
5.74
--
SF/PF Ousmane Dieng $7.2k EXP. MIL BKN
35.9
4.99
--
SF RJ Barrett $7.8k EXP. TOR MIA
35.8
4.59
--
SF Brandon Miller $7.5k EXP. CHA BOS
35.3
4.71
--
PG Dejounte Murray  Q $7.4k EXP. NO UTA
35.2
4.76
--
SF/PF Ace Bailey  Q $6.7k EXP. UTA NO
34.5
5.15
--
C Rudy Gobert $7.2k EXP. MIN IND
34.0
4.72
--
SG/SF Brice Sensabaugh $7.0k EXP. UTA NO
34.0
4.86
--
SF/PF Will Riley $6.8k EXP. WAS CHI
32.6
4.79
--
PG/SG Tre Jones $6.9k EXP. CHI WAS
32.5
4.71
--
PG/SG Payton Pritchard $6.8k BOS CHA
32.0
4.71
--
C Neemias Queta $5.7k EXP. BOS CHA
31.8
5.58
--
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $7.1k EXP. NO UTA
31.8
4.48
--
PF Miles Bridges $6.0k EXP. CHA BOS
31.7
5.28
--
SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu $6.9k EXP. MIN IND
31.6
4.58
--
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $6.1k EXP. NO UTA
31.6
5.18
--
PF Andrew Wiggins $5.5k EXP. MIA TOR
31.6
5.74
--
SF/PF Leonard Miller $5.1k EXP. CHI WAS
31.4
6.16
--
PF/C Naz Reid $5.9k MIN IND
31.3
5.31
--
PG Donte DiVincenzo $5.7k EXP. MIN IND
29.7
5.21
--
PF Derik Queen $5.1k NO UTA
29.7
5.82
--
PG Immanuel Quickley  Q $7.2k EXP. TOR MIA
29.7
4.12
--
SG Cormac Ryan $4.9k MIL BKN
28.9
5.90
--
C Jakob Poeltl $5.3k EXP. TOR MIA
28.9
5.45
--
PF/C Guerschon Yabusele $5.0k EXP. CHI WAS
28.5
5.69
--
SF/PF Pete Nance $5.4k EXP. MIL BKN
28.3
5.24
--
SG/SF Norman Powell  Q $6.4k EXP. MIA TOR
28.3
4.43
--
C Jericho Sims $5.1k EXP. MIL BKN
28.2
5.53
--
PG/SG Bones Hyland $5.3k MIN IND
28.0
5.29
--
SF Jarace Walker  Q $5.9k EXP. IND MIN
27.8
4.71
--
SG/SF Cody Williams $5.8k EXP. UTA NO
27.7
4.78
--
SG Kon Knueppel $6.5k EXP. CHA BOS
27.1
4.16
--
SG/SF Jaime Jaquez Jr. $5.5k MIA TOR
26.6
4.83
--
PG/SG Rob Dillingham $4.1k CHI WAS
26.1
6.36
--
PF/C Chaney Johnson $4.0k EXP. BKN MIL
26.0
6.50
--
C Tristan Vukcevic  Q $5.8k EXP. WAS CHI
25.9
4.46
--
SG/SF Isaac Okoro $4.5k EXP. CHI WAS
25.6
5.68
--
PG Nolan Traore $5.4k EXP. BKN MIL
25.4
4.70
--
SF Bilal Coulibaly  Q $6.5k EXP. WAS CHI
25.4
3.91
--
C E.J. Liddell $3.5k BKN MIL
25.2
7.21
--
C Moussa Diabate $5.4k EXP. CHA BOS
25.2
4.66
--
PF/C Josh Minott $5.2k EXP. BKN MIL
24.8
4.77
--
PG/SG Tre Johnson  Q $4.5k EXP. WAS CHI
24.5
5.44
--
C Oscar Tshiebwe $4.2k EXP. UTA NO
24.1
5.73
--
C Yves Missi $6.0k NO UTA
24.0
4.01
--
PG Kennedy Chandler $5.5k UTA NO
23.8
4.33
--
PG/SG Bub Carrington $6.4k EXP. WAS CHI
23.8
3.72
--
PG Davion Mitchell $5.0k EXP. MIA TOR
23.7
4.74
--
SG/SF Pelle Larsson $5.1k MIA TOR
23.7
4.66
--
SF/PF John Konchar $4.8k UTA NO
23.1
4.82
--
PG/SG AJ Green $4.9k EXP. MIL BKN
22.5
4.59
--
C Sandro Mamukelashvili  Q $4.5k TOR MIA
22.3
4.95
--
PF/C Obi Toppin  Q $4.3k IND MIN
22.1
5.13
--
SG/SF Taurean Prince $4.8k EXP. MIL BKN
22.0
4.58
--
C Julian Reese $5.5k WAS CHI
21.6
3.93
--
SF Jalen Slawson $4.2k EXP. IND MIN
21.2
5.05
--
SF/PF Kobe Brown $4.4k IND MIN
21.2
4.81
--
PF/C Anthony Gill $4.6k WAS CHI
21.1
4.59
--
PG Ben Saraf  Q $4.4k BKN MIL
21.0
4.76
--
PG/SG Quenton Jackson $4.6k EXP. IND MIN
20.9
4.54
--
PG/SG Coby White  Q $5.1k CHA BOS
20.8
4.08
--
SF/PF Sam Hauser $4.3k EXP. BOS CHA
20.7
4.81
--
SF/PF Herbert Jones $4.6k EXP. NO UTA
20.7
4.50
--
C Jay Huff $4.7k IND MIN
20.4
4.34
--
SG Ethan Thompson $3.9k EXP. IND MIN
20.3
5.21
--
C Nikola Vucevic $5.2k BOS CHA
20.0
3.84
--
PG Jamal Shead $4.7k TOR MIA
19.4
4.13
--
PF Patrick Williams $3.6k CHI WAS
19.1
5.30
--
PF/C Micah Potter $4.1k EXP. IND MIN
19.0
4.63
--
SG/SF Ja'Kobe Walter $5.0k TOR MIA
19.0
3.81
--
SG Drake Powell $4.2k EXP. BKN MIL
18.8
4.48
--
PF/C Collin Murray-Boyles  Q $4.2k TOR MIA
18.6
4.42
--
PG Sharife Cooper $3.9k WAS CHI
18.6
4.77
--
C Kel'el Ware $4.8k MIA TOR
18.0
3.74
--
PF Justin Champagnie  Q $5.6k WAS CHI
18.0
3.21
--
PF/C Kyle Anderson $3.5k MIN IND
17.2
4.91
--
PG/SG Kam Jones $3.8k IND MIN
17.2
4.52
--
PF/C Karlo Matkovic  Q $3.7k NO UTA
17.2
4.66
--
SG/SF Jamir Watkins $5.2k WAS CHI
16.9
3.26
--
C Lachlan Olbrich  Q $3.2k CHI WAS
16.6
5.19
--
PG/SG Malachi Smith $3.5k BKN MIL
16.5
4.71
--
PG Mike Conley $3.7k EXP. MIN IND
16.4
4.43
--
SG/SF Ben Sheppard  Q $3.8k IND MIN
16.0
4.22
--
SG/SF Ochai Agbaji $3.5k EXP. BKN MIL
15.9
4.54
--
SF Andre Jackson Jr. $3.6k MIL BKN
15.9
4.40
--
SF Micah Peavy $3.5k NO UTA
15.7
4.48
--
C Ryan Kalkbrenner $3.8k CHA BOS
15.6
4.11
--
C Thanasis Antetokounmpo $3.0k MIL BKN
15.2
5.07
--
PF Grant Williams $3.4k CHA BOS
14.7
4.32
--
SG/SF Baylor Scheierman $4.1k BOS CHA
14.3
3.48
--
PG/SG Bez Mbeng $4.3k UTA NO
14.3
3.33
--
SF/PF Leaky Black $5.7k WAS CHI
14.3
2.50
--
SG/SF Taelon Peter $3.6k IND MIN
14.2
3.94
--
SG/SF Jordan Hawkins $3.3k NO UTA
13.8
4.20
--
SF/PF Jalen Wilson $3.9k BKN MIL
13.7
3.51
--
SG Jaden Hardy $4.6k WAS CHI
13.7
2.99
--
PG/SG Tyson Etienne $3.3k BKN MIL
13.1
3.98
--
SF/PF Sion James $3.7k CHA BOS
13.0
3.50
--
SG/SF Gary Harris $3.0k MIL BKN
10.9
3.63
--
PG Yuki Kawamura $3.0k CHI WAS
10.6
3.52
--
SG/SF Terrence Shannon Jr. $3.0k MIN IND
9.6
3.19
--
SG Svi Mykhailiuk $4.0k UTA NO
9.1
2.28
--
PG/SG Mac McClung $3.1k CHI WAS
8.9
2.87
--
PF Jordan Walsh $3.3k BOS CHA
8.2
2.48
--
SG/SF Josh Green $3.2k CHA BOS
7.7
2.41
--
SG/SF Jaylen Clark $3.2k MIN IND
6.5
2.03
--
PG/SG Trey Alexander $3.2k NO UTA
6.0
1.88
--
PG Dru Smith $3.4k MIA TOR
5.3
1.56
--
PF Simone Fontecchio $3.5k MIA TOR
5.1
1.46
--
PF Alex Antetokounmpo $3.0k MIL BKN
4.0
1.35
--
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!