DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PF Jalen Johnson $10.6k EXP. ATL HOU
49.7
4.69
--
226.5 111.5
PF Jayson Tatum $8.5k EXP. BOS MEM
42.9
5.05
--
228.5 121.5
C Jalen Duren $8.7k EXP. DET GSW
42.6
4.90
--
216.5 110.5
SG/SF Jaylen Brown $9.0k EXP. BOS MEM
42.6
4.73
--
228.5 121.5
PG Jalen Brunson $9.5k EXP. NY BKN
41.5
4.37
--
214.5 116
PF Julius Randle $8.2k EXP. MIN POR
41.5
5.07
--
231.5 117
PF/C Karl-Anthony Towns $9.2k EXP. NY BKN
41.4
4.51
--
214.5 116
SF Kevin Durant $8.8k EXP. HOU ATL
41.3
4.69
--
226.5 115
C Alperen Sengun $8.6k EXP. HOU ATL
41.1
4.78
--
226.5 115
SF/PF Deni Avdija $8.4k EXP. POR MIN
41.1
4.90
--
231.5 114.5
PG Amen Thompson $8.1k EXP. HOU ATL
40.2
4.97
--
226.5 115
PG Derrick White $7.3k EXP. BOS MEM
35.9
4.92
--
228.5 121.5
C Rudy Gobert $7.2k EXP. MIN POR
35.6
4.94
--
231.5 117
C Donovan Clingan $7.7k EXP. POR MIN
33.6
4.36
--
231.5 114.5
C Onyeka Okongwu $7.0k EXP. ATL HOU
33.5
4.79
--
226.5 111.5
PG Ty Jerome $6.9k EXP. MEM BOS
33.3
4.82
--
228.5 107
PF OG Anunoby $6.8k EXP. NY BKN
32.4
4.76
--
214.5 116
PG Jrue Holiday $6.5k EXP. POR MIN
32.3
4.97
--
231.5 114.5
PG/SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $7.1k EXP. ATL HOU
32.0
4.50
--
226.5 111.5
SG/SF Dyson Daniels $6.8k EXP. ATL HOU
31.8
4.68
--
226.5 111.5
PG Daniss Jenkins $5.5k EXP. DET GSW
31.4
5.70
--
216.5 110.5
PG/SG Payton Pritchard $6.1k BOS MEM
30.7
5.03
--
228.5 121.5
PF Jabari Smith Jr. $6.5k EXP. HOU ATL
30.4
4.68
--
226.5 115
PF/C Kristaps Porzingis $6.2k EXP. GSW DET
30.2
4.87
--
216.5 106
SG/SF Ayo Dosunmu $6.2k EXP. MIN POR
30.1
4.85
--
231.5 117
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.2k EXP. ATL HOU
29.6
4.78
--
226.5 111.5
SF Ausar Thompson $6.4k EXP. DET GSW
29.5
4.61
--
216.5 110.5
PG/SG Brandin Podziemski $7.6k EXP. GSW DET
29.1
3.82
--
216.5 106
SF Jaden McDaniels $6.1k EXP. MIN POR
28.9
4.73
--
231.5 117
PF Gui Santos $6.7k EXP. GSW DET
28.4
4.24
--
216.5 106
C Neemias Queta $5.9k EXP. BOS MEM
28.2
4.78
--
228.5 121.5
PF/C Naz Reid  Q $5.5k MIN POR
27.9
5.07
--
231.5 117
PF Jerami Grant $5.5k EXP. POR MIN
27.7
5.03
--
231.5 114.5
SG/SF De'Anthony Melton $6.0k EXP. GSW DET
27.4
4.57
--
216.5 106
PG Donte DiVincenzo $6.0k EXP. MIN POR
27.4
4.57
--
231.5 117
SF Mikal Bridges $5.7k EXP. NY BKN
26.8
4.71
--
214.5 116
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $6.4k HOU ATL
26.8
4.19
--
226.5 115
PF Tobias Harris $6.3k EXP. DET GSW
26.5
4.20
--
216.5 110.5
PF/C Draymond Green $5.5k EXP. GSW DET
25.7
4.67
--
216.5 106
PF/C Danny Wolf $5.9k EXP. BKN NY
25.5
4.32
--
214.5 98.5
C Mitchell Robinson $4.3k NY BKN
25.1
5.85
--
214.5 116
SG Tari Eason $5.6k EXP. HOU ATL
25.1
4.48
--
226.5 115
SG/SF Toumani Camara $5.2k EXP. POR MIN
24.6
4.72
--
231.5 114.5
SG Cedric Coward $5.1k EXP. MEM BOS
24.1
4.73
--
228.5 107
PG/SG Bones Hyland $4.7k MIN POR
23.4
4.98
--
231.5 117
PG Scoot Henderson $4.8k POR MIN
23.4
4.87
--
231.5 114.5
PG Javon Small $5.2k MEM BOS
23.0
4.43
--
228.5 107
C Nic Claxton $5.7k EXP. BKN NY
22.9
4.02
--
214.5 98.5
SG/SF Caris LeVert $4.3k DET GSW
22.7
5.28
--
216.5 110.5
SG/SF Gary Payton II $4.7k GSW DET
22.3
4.75
--
216.5 106
SG Duncan Robinson $5.1k EXP. DET GSW
21.9
4.29
--
216.5 110.5
C Robert Williams $4.6k POR MIN
21.9
4.77
--
231.5 114.5
C Olivier-Maxence Prosper $4.9k EXP. MEM BOS
20.7
4.22
--
228.5 107
PF/C Taylor Hendricks $5.0k EXP. MEM BOS
20.7
4.14
--
228.5 107
PG/SG Walter Clayton Jr. $4.6k MEM BOS
20.5
4.45
--
228.5 107
PF Chaney Johnson $4.3k BKN NY
20.4
4.74
--
214.5 98.5
SF Jaylen Wells $4.8k EXP. MEM BOS
19.8
4.12
--
228.5 107
SG Baylor Scheierman $3.8k BOS MEM
19.4
5.12
--
228.5 121.5
PG/SF Cam Spencer $4.6k MEM BOS
19.3
4.20
--
228.5 107
PG Nolan Traore $4.1k EXP. BKN NY
19.0
4.63
--
214.5 98.5
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $4.1k DET GSW
18.9
4.60
--
216.5 110.5
PG Ben Saraf  Q $4.5k BKN NY
18.7
4.15
--
214.5 98.5
SF/PF Sam Hauser $4.3k EXP. BOS MEM
18.2
4.24
--
228.5 121.5
SF Ziaire Williams  Q $4.0k EXP. BKN NY
18.1
4.53
--
214.5 98.5
SG/SF Will Richard $4.3k GSW DET
18.1
4.22
--
216.5 106
PG Pat Spencer $4.5k GSW DET
17.9
3.99
--
216.5 106
SG Landry Shamet $3.6k EXP. NY BKN
17.8
4.94
--
214.5 116
C Paul Reed $4.2k DET GSW
17.6
4.19
--
216.5 110.5
PF Ronald Holland II $3.8k DET GSW
17.4
4.57
--
216.5 110.5
SG/SF Jordan Clarkson $3.8k NY BKN
16.6
4.36
--
214.5 116
PF/C Kyle Anderson $4.5k MIN POR
16.4
3.64
--
231.5 117
PG Jose Alvarado $4.5k NY BKN
16.1
3.57
--
214.5 116
PF/C Josh Minott $3.5k BKN NY
15.9
4.53
--
214.5 98.5
SF/PF Rayan Rupert $4.3k MEM BOS
15.4
3.57
--
228.5 107
C Jock Landale $3.2k ATL HOU
15.0
4.68
--
226.5 111.5
C Luka Garza $3.2k BOS MEM
14.9
4.66
--
228.5 121.5
SF Zaccharie Risacher $3.8k ATL HOU
14.7
3.86
--
226.5 111.5
PF Mohamed Diawara $3.1k NY BKN
13.5
4.35
--
214.5 116
SG Drake Powell $3.3k EXP. BKN NY
13.5
4.10
--
214.5 98.5
SG/SF Ochai Agbaji $3.2k BKN NY
13.2
4.12
--
214.5 98.5
SF/PF Matisse Thybulle $3.1k POR MIN
13.1
4.22
--
231.5 114.5
C Clint Capela $4.2k HOU ATL
12.7
3.02
--
226.5 115
PF Tyler Burton $3.6k MEM BOS
12.6
3.49
--
228.5 107
PG DeJon Jarreau $4.2k MEM BOS
12.2
2.90
--
228.5 107
PG/SG Tyson Etienne $3.8k BKN NY
11.8
3.11
--
214.5 98.5
SG/SF Corey Kispert $3.1k ATL HOU
11.5
3.71
--
226.5 111.5
SG Vit Krejci  Q $3.2k POR MIN
10.7
3.36
--
231.5 114.5
PG Malachi Smith $3.0k BKN NY
10.5
3.50
--
214.5 98.5
SG/SF Kris Murray $3.5k POR MIN
10.2
2.92
--
231.5 114.5
SF/PF Dorian Finney-Smith $3.6k HOU ATL
10.0
2.77
--
226.5 115
SF/PF Javonte Green $3.4k DET GSW
9.9
2.92
--
216.5 110.5
SG/SF Hugo Gonzalez $3.0k BOS MEM
9.5
3.15
--
228.5 121.5
PG L.J. Cryer  Q $3.4k GSW DET
9.0
2.65
--
216.5 106
SG/SF Josh Okogie $3.1k HOU ATL
8.1
2.61
--
226.5 115
C Omer Yurtseven $3.1k GSW DET
8.0
2.58
--
216.5 106
PF/C Mouhamed Gueye $3.0k ATL HOU
7.9
2.62
--
226.5 111.5
SF Jalen Wilson $3.1k BKN NY
7.6
2.46
--
214.5 98.5
PG Gabe Vincent $3.2k ATL HOU
6.4
1.99
--
226.5 111.5
C E.J. Liddell $3.9k BKN NY
5.2
1.33
--
214.5 98.5
PF Malevy Leons $3.3k GSW DET
3.8
1.15
--
216.5 106
SF/PF Kevin McCullar Jr. $3.0k NY BKN
3.0
1.00
--
214.5 116
SG/SF Terrence Shannon Jr. $3.7k MIN POR
2.4
0.65
--
231.5 117
Load All Players

Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!