DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Victor Wembanyama $10.8k EXP. SA HOU
55.1
5.10
--
221.5 113.5
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo $10.5k EXP. MIL ORL
48.7
4.64
--
220.5 108.5
PF Paolo Banchero $9.8k EXP. ORL MIL
47.1
4.81
--
220.5 112
PG Josh Giddey  Q $7.8k EXP. CHI SAC
44.4
5.69
--
234.5 118.5
PG Amen Thompson $8.3k EXP. HOU SA
43.3
5.21
--
221.5 108
C Alperen Sengun $9.3k EXP. HOU SA
43.2
4.65
--
221.5 108
SF Kevin Durant $9.0k EXP. HOU SA
43.0
4.78
--
221.5 108
PF Zion Williamson $7.9k EXP. NO WAS
41.5
5.25
--
242.5 126
PG/SG Trey Murphy III $7.7k EXP. NO WAS
39.3
5.10
--
242.5 126
SG/SF Desmond Bane $8.0k EXP. ORL MIL
38.0
4.75
--
220.5 112
SF/PF Deni Avdija  Q $8.6k EXP. POR IND
37.4
4.35
--
236.5 122.5
PG Dejounte Murray $6.9k EXP. NO WAS
36.8
5.33
--
242.5 126
PG Jrue Holiday $7.6k EXP. POR IND
36.2
4.76
--
236.5 122.5
PG De'Aaron Fox $7.1k EXP. SA HOU
35.9
5.06
--
221.5 113.5
PF/C Pascal Siakam  Q $8.2k EXP. IND POR
35.5
4.33
--
236.5 114
PG Russell Westbrook $7.0k EXP. SAC CHI
33.9
4.84
--
234.5 116
PF/C Precious Achiuwa $6.1k EXP. SAC CHI
33.4
5.48
--
234.5 116
SG Stephon Castle $7.2k EXP. SA HOU
33.3
4.63
--
221.5 113.5
C Donovan Clingan $7.4k EXP. POR IND
33.1
4.47
--
236.5 122.5
PF Matas Buzelis  Q $6.9k EXP. CHI SAC
32.5
4.71
--
234.5 118.5
C Maxime Raynaud $6.3k EXP. SAC CHI
32.1
5.10
--
234.5 116
PG/SG Kevin Porter Jr.  Q $8.1k EXP. MIL ORL
31.7
3.91
--
220.5 108.5
PG Andrew Nembhard  Q $6.5k EXP. IND POR
30.5
4.69
--
236.5 114
SG/SF Toumani Camara $6.0k EXP. POR IND
30.1
5.01
--
236.5 122.5
PF Jerami Grant $6.5k EXP. POR IND
30.0
4.62
--
236.5 122.5
C Alexandre Sarr $7.3k EXP. WAS NO
29.8
4.09
--
242.5 116.5
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $7.0k HOU SA
29.7
4.24
--
221.5 108
PG Jalen Suggs $6.8k EXP. ORL MIL
29.6
4.35
--
220.5 112
PF Jabari Smith Jr. $6.7k EXP. HOU SA
29.5
4.41
--
221.5 108
PG Trae Young $8.4k EXP. WAS NO
29.3
3.49
--
242.5 116.5
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $6.8k EXP. NO WAS
29.1
4.27
--
242.5 126
SG Tari Eason $6.2k EXP. HOU SA
28.6
4.61
--
221.5 108
SG DeMar DeRozan $6.3k EXP. SAC CHI
28.6
4.54
--
234.5 116
SF Jarace Walker $6.6k EXP. IND POR
28.0
4.24
--
236.5 114
C Jalen Smith  Q $5.6k EXP. CHI SAC
27.8
4.96
--
234.5 118.5
SG/SF Nique Clifford $6.2k EXP. SAC CHI
27.3
4.40
--
234.5 116
PG Ryan Rollins $7.5k MIL ORL
27.1
3.61
--
220.5 108.5
PG/SG Tre Jones $5.1k EXP. CHI SAC
26.6
5.22
--
234.5 118.5
SF Devin Vassell $5.6k EXP. SA HOU
26.5
4.73
--
221.5 113.5
SF/PF Will Riley $5.8k EXP. WAS NO
26.2
4.52
--
242.5 116.5
C Wendell Carter Jr. $5.5k EXP. ORL MIL
25.9
4.71
--
220.5 112
SF/PF Bilal Coulibaly $5.3k EXP. WAS NO
25.3
4.77
--
242.5 116.5
PG/SG Anthony Black  Q $6.6k EXP. ORL MIL
25.1
3.81
--
220.5 112
C Jay Huff $5.2k EXP. IND POR
24.6
4.73
--
236.5 114
PF/C Guerschon Yabusele $5.0k CHI SAC
24.0
4.79
--
234.5 118.5
C Herbert Jones $5.0k EXP. NO WAS
23.5
4.70
--
242.5 126
PF/C Micah Potter $4.7k IND POR
23.2
4.93
--
236.5 114
SF/PF Julian Champagnie $4.8k EXP. SA HOU
23.1
4.81
--
221.5 113.5
C Myles Turner $5.5k EXP. MIL ORL
22.8
4.15
--
220.5 108.5
SG/SF Collin Sexton $5.2k CHI SAC
22.3
4.29
--
234.5 118.5
PG/SG Malik Monk $4.5k SAC CHI
22.2
4.93
--
234.5 116
PF/C Bobby Portis $5.3k MIL ORL
21.7
4.09
--
220.5 108.5
PG Scoot Henderson $5.7k POR IND
21.7
3.81
--
236.5 122.5
SG Aaron Nesmith  Q $5.4k EXP. IND POR
21.3
3.95
--
236.5 114
SF/PF Justin Champagnie $4.9k WAS NO
21.2
4.32
--
242.5 116.5
C Nick Richards $4.2k CHI SAC
20.2
4.80
--
234.5 118.5
SG/SF Keldon Johnson $4.5k SA HOU
19.9
4.42
--
221.5 113.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $4.6k ORL MIL
19.4
4.23
--
220.5 112
SG/SF Isaac Okoro $4.3k EXP. CHI SAC
19.3
4.49
--
234.5 118.5
PG/SG Bub Carrington $5.2k WAS NO
19.2
3.70
--
242.5 116.5
PG/SG Tre Johnson $4.9k EXP. WAS NO
19.1
3.89
--
242.5 116.5
PG T.J. McConnell $4.1k IND POR
19.1
4.66
--
236.5 114
PG/SG Dylan Harper $4.7k SA HOU
19.0
4.05
--
221.5 113.5
PF Derik Queen $5.8k NO WAS
18.9
3.25
--
242.5 126
SF/PF Daeqwon Plowden $4.2k SAC CHI
18.9
4.49
--
234.5 116
C Robert Williams $4.8k POR IND
18.8
3.92
--
236.5 122.5
SF/PF Kyle Kuzma $4.8k MIL ORL
18.5
3.85
--
220.5 108.5
C Anthony Gill $4.5k WAS NO
18.3
4.06
--
242.5 116.5
PG Rob Dillingham $3.9k CHI SAC
18.0
4.62
--
234.5 118.5
PG/SG Jevon Carter $3.7k ORL MIL
17.7
4.77
--
220.5 112
SG/SF Quenton Jackson $3.9k IND POR
17.6
4.51
--
236.5 114
C Julian Reese $4.4k WAS NO
17.5
3.97
--
242.5 116.5
SG/SF AJ Green $4.4k EXP. MIL ORL
17.4
3.95
--
220.5 108.5
C Moritz Wagner $3.6k ORL MIL
16.9
4.69
--
220.5 112
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $5.2k NO WAS
16.8
3.23
--
242.5 126
SF/PF Leonard Miller $4.1k CHI SAC
16.6
4.05
--
234.5 118.5
SG/SF Ben Sheppard $3.7k IND POR
16.0
4.31
--
236.5 114
PF Patrick Williams  Q $3.6k CHI SAC
15.7
4.36
--
234.5 118.5
C Yves Missi $3.5k NO WAS
15.1
4.32
--
242.5 126
C Jericho Sims $4.0k MIL ORL
14.8
3.71
--
220.5 108.5
C Drew Eubanks $3.3k SAC CHI
14.8
4.47
--
234.5 116
SF Ousmane Dieng $3.9k EXP. MIL ORL
14.6
3.74
--
220.5 108.5
C Clint Capela $3.6k HOU SA
14.1
3.91
--
221.5 108
SF Carter Bryant $3.5k SA HOU
13.9
3.96
--
221.5 113.5
C Luke Kornet $4.1k SA HOU
13.4
3.26
--
221.5 113.5
SF/PF Kobe Brown $4.0k IND POR
13.2
3.29
--
236.5 114
PF/C Obi Toppin $3.4k IND POR
13.1
3.85
--
236.5 114
SG Vit Krejci $3.8k POR IND
12.8
3.36
--
236.5 122.5
SF/PF Leaky Black $4.2k WAS NO
12.7
3.01
--
242.5 116.5
PF/C Karlo Matkovic $4.0k NO WAS
12.4
3.09
--
242.5 126
PG/SG Cam Thomas $4.1k MIL ORL
12.0
2.93
--
220.5 108.5
SF/PF Dorian Finney-Smith $4.0k HOU SA
11.5
2.87
--
221.5 108
SG/SF Bryce McGowens $3.9k NO WAS
11.4
2.93
--
242.5 126
SG Jaden Hardy $4.1k WAS NO
11.4
2.77
--
242.5 116.5
PG/SG Killian Hayes $3.2k SAC CHI
11.0
3.45
--
234.5 116
SG/SF Kris Murray  Q $3.7k POR IND
9.8
2.65
--
236.5 122.5
SG/SF Josh Okogie $3.8k HOU SA
7.3
1.91
--
221.5 108
PG Sharife Cooper $3.8k WAS NO
7.0
1.84
--
242.5 116.5
PF/C Jonathan Isaac  Q $3.1k ORL MIL
6.6
2.12
--
220.5 112
PF/C Sidy Cissoko $3.4k POR IND
6.4
1.89
--
236.5 122.5
SF/PF Patrick Baldwin Jr. $3.0k SAC CHI
6.2
2.07
--
234.5 116
SF/PF Noah Penda $3.4k ORL MIL
5.7
1.68
--
220.5 112
SG/SF Gary Harris $3.1k MIL ORL
5.6
1.80
--
220.5 108.5
SG/SF Jett Howard $3.3k ORL MIL
4.5
1.36
--
220.5 112
PF/C Pete Nance $3.2k MIL ORL
4.2
1.33
--
220.5 108.5
SF/PF Matisse Thybulle $3.1k POR IND
3.8
1.22
--
236.5 122.5
PG Blake Wesley $3.0k POR IND
2.0
0.65
--
236.5 122.5
SG/SF Gary Trent Jr. $3.0k MIL ORL
1.3
0.42
--
220.5 108.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

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All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!