DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
Change Slate
Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Victor Wembanyama  Q $11.5k EXP. SA POR
54.8
4.77
--
219.5 111.5
PF LeBron James $9.8k EXP. LAL HOU
49.4
5.04
--
207.5 99
SF/PF Deni Avdija $9.1k EXP. POR SA
44.2
4.85
--
219.5 108
C Alperen Sengun $8.3k YES HOU LAL
43.5
5.24
--
207.5 108.5
PG Amen Thompson $7.9k YES HOU LAL
41.7
5.28
--
207.5 108.5
SG Stephon Castle $8.0k EXP. SA POR
37.0
4.62
--
219.5 111.5
PG/SG Jrue Holiday $7.3k EXP. POR SA
34.6
4.74
--
219.5 108
PF/C Jabari Smith Jr. $6.0k YES HOU LAL
34.2
5.70
--
207.5 108.5
PG De'Aaron Fox $7.5k EXP. SA POR
34.1
4.55
--
219.5 111.5
PG/SG Reed Sheppard $4.4k YES HOU LAL
33.5
7.61
--
207.5 108.5
C Donovan Clingan $6.6k EXP. POR SA
28.8
4.36
--
219.5 108
SG/SF Tari Eason $4.5k YES HOU LAL
27.6
6.13
--
207.5 108.5
PG/SG Luke Kennard $5.9k LAL HOU
26.6
4.51
--
207.5 99
C Deandre Ayton $5.8k EXP. LAL HOU
26.4
4.55
--
207.5 99
SF/PF Rui Hachimura $5.2k EXP. LAL HOU
25.7
4.94
--
207.5 99
SG/SF Marcus Smart $6.0k EXP. LAL HOU
25.5
4.25
--
207.5 99
PG Scoot Henderson $5.0k EXP. POR SA
25.4
5.08
--
219.5 108
SF Devin Vassell $5.7k EXP. SA POR
25.3
4.44
--
219.5 111.5
SF Toumani Camara $5.3k EXP. POR SA
23.0
4.34
--
219.5 108
C Robert Williams $4.3k POR SA
22.3
5.19
--
219.5 108
SF/PF Julian Champagnie $4.8k EXP. SA POR
21.3
4.43
--
219.5 111.5
PG/SG Dylan Harper $4.7k SA POR
21.2
4.51
--
219.5 111.5
SG/SF Keldon Johnson $4.2k SA POR
17.7
4.20
--
219.5 111.5
PG/SG Shaedon Sharpe $4.1k POR SA
16.9
4.12
--
219.5 108
PF Jerami Grant $4.2k POR SA
16.4
3.89
--
219.5 108
C Luke Kornet $4.5k SA POR
15.6
3.47
--
219.5 111.5
SG/SF Josh Okogie $3.7k HOU LAL
15.1
4.08
--
207.5 108.5
C Jaxson Hayes $3.8k LAL HOU
13.9
3.65
--
207.5 99
SG/SF Jake LaRavia $4.0k LAL HOU
11.1
2.77
--
207.5 99
C Clint Capela $3.1k HOU LAL
10.7
3.47
--
207.5 108.5
PG/SG Aaron Holiday $3.2k HOU LAL
9.5
2.97
--
207.5 108.5
PF Jarred Vanderbilt $3.3k LAL HOU
9.1
2.76
--
207.5 99
PF Harrison Barnes $3.6k SA POR
9.1
2.54
--
219.5 111.5
SF/PF Matisse Thybulle $3.1k POR SA
8.3
2.68
--
219.5 108
SF/PF Jae'Sean Tate $3.3k HOU LAL
7.1
2.15
--
207.5 108.5
SF Carter Bryant $3.1k SA POR
6.3
2.03
--
219.5 111.5
SG/SF Kris Murray $3.1k POR SA
3.3
1.06
--
219.5 108
C Mason Plumlee $3.0k SA POR
1.2
0.40
--
219.5 111.5
PG Bronny James $3.1k LAL HOU
0.2
0.07
--
207.5 99
Load All Players

Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!