DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Nikola Jokic $12.5k EXP. DEN SA
62.6
5.01
--
239.5 117
C Victor Wembanyama  Q $11.0k EXP. SA DEN
55.7
5.06
--
239.5 122.5
PG Cade Cunningham $10.9k EXP. DET PHI
51.3
4.71
--
222.5 119
PF Jalen Johnson $10.8k EXP. ATL BKN
50.3
4.66
--
226.5 121
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $11.2k EXP. OKC BOS
50.3
4.49
--
216.5 111.5
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo $10.5k EXP. MIL MIA
48.4
4.61
--
234.5 114
PF Paolo Banchero $9.5k EXP. ORL WAS
45.3
4.77
--
234.5 124.5
C Bam Adebayo $9.9k EXP. MIA MIL
44.7
4.52
--
234.5 120.5
SG/SF Jaylen Brown $9.3k EXP. BOS OKC
43.1
4.63
--
216.5 105
PG/SG Devin Booker $8.8k EXP. PHO IND
42.6
4.84
--
223.5 116
PG Jamal Murray $9.0k EXP. DEN SA
40.4
4.49
--
239.5 117
PG/SF Cooper Flagg $8.5k EXP. DAL MEM
40.3
4.74
--
239.5 122
C Jalen Duren $7.9k EXP. DET PHI
38.2
4.83
--
222.5 119
PG/SG Tyler Herro  Q $7.9k EXP. MIA MIL
38.1
4.82
--
234.5 120.5
SG/SF Desmond Bane $7.7k EXP. ORL WAS
37.7
4.90
--
234.5 124.5
SG Stephon Castle $7.2k EXP. SA DEN
36.1
5.01
--
239.5 122.5
PF Jayson Tatum  Q $8.3k EXP. BOS OKC
35.6
4.29
--
216.5 105
PG Derrick White  Q $8.0k EXP. BOS OKC
35.0
4.38
--
216.5 105
PG De'Aaron Fox $6.9k EXP. SA DEN
34.7
5.02
--
239.5 122.5
PF Chet Holmgren $8.7k EXP. OKC BOS
34.5
3.97
--
216.5 111.5
PG Jalen Suggs $7.1k EXP. ORL WAS
34.4
4.85
--
234.5 124.5
PG Javon Small $5.5k EXP. MEM DAL
34.3
6.24
--
239.5 117.5
SG/SF Jalen Green $6.8k EXP. PHO IND
34.2
5.03
--
223.5 116
C Onyeka Okongwu $7.6k EXP. ATL BKN
34.0
4.48
--
226.5 121
PG Ryan Rollins $8.1k EXP. MIL MIA
34.0
4.20
--
234.5 114
SG VJ Edgecombe $8.1k EXP. PHI DET
33.7
4.16
--
222.5 103.5
PG/SG Kevin Porter Jr.  Q $7.8k EXP. MIL MIA
32.9
4.21
--
234.5 114
SG/SF Dyson Daniels  Q $6.8k EXP. ATL BKN
32.6
4.79
--
226.5 121
PG/SG Quentin Grimes $7.4k EXP. PHI DET
32.6
4.41
--
222.5 103.5
PG/SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker $7.3k EXP. ATL BKN
31.7
4.35
--
226.5 121
PG Andrew Nembhard  Q $6.2k EXP. IND PHO
31.6
5.09
--
223.5 107.5
PF Gregory Jackson $5.8k MEM DAL
31.5
5.43
--
239.5 117.5
SF Jarace Walker $6.7k EXP. IND PHO
30.9
4.61
--
223.5 107.5
PG Collin Gillespie $6.5k EXP. PHO IND
30.8
4.74
--
223.5 116
PG/SG CJ McCollum $6.5k EXP. ATL BKN
30.7
4.72
--
226.5 121
PF/C Danny Wolf $4.8k EXP. BKN ATL
29.7
6.19
--
226.5 105.5
SF Jaime Jaquez Jr. $6.4k MIA MIL
29.7
4.63
--
234.5 120.5
SG/SF Grayson Allen  Q $7.3k PHO IND
29.5
4.04
--
223.5 116
PF PJ Washington $5.9k EXP. DAL MEM
29.2
4.95
--
239.5 122
SG/SF Cam Spencer  Q $5.1k EXP. MEM DAL
28.7
5.63
--
239.5 117.5
PG/SG Payton Pritchard  Q $6.6k BOS OKC
28.6
4.33
--
216.5 105
PG/SG Cameron Payne $6.0k PHI DET
28.5
4.75
--
222.5 103.5
C Nic Claxton $5.8k EXP. BKN ATL
27.9
4.80
--
226.5 105.5
SG Naji Marshall $6.0k EXP. DAL MEM
27.9
4.65
--
239.5 122
PF/C Olivier-Maxence Prosper $4.9k EXP. MEM DAL
27.4
5.59
--
239.5 117.5
C Wendell Carter Jr. $5.3k EXP. ORL WAS
27.4
5.17
--
234.5 124.5
C Neemias Queta $6.1k EXP. BOS OKC
26.5
4.34
--
216.5 105
C Daniel Gafford $5.0k EXP. DAL MEM
26.4
5.28
--
239.5 122
SF Jaylen Wells $4.8k EXP. MEM DAL
25.8
5.38
--
239.5 117.5
PF/C Taylor Hendricks $5.0k EXP. MEM DAL
25.7
5.15
--
239.5 117.5
SG/SF Pelle Larsson $5.5k EXP. MIA MIL
25.5
4.63
--
234.5 120.5
C Kel'el Ware  Q $6.0k MIA MIL
25.5
4.25
--
234.5 120.5
SF Devin Vassell $5.2k EXP. SA DEN
25.4
4.89
--
239.5 122.5
PF Aaron Gordon $6.5k EXP. DEN SA
25.2
3.88
--
239.5 117
SF Rayan Rupert $4.3k MEM DAL
25.0
5.81
--
239.5 117.5
C Andre Drummond $4.4k EXP. PHI DET
24.6
5.59
--
222.5 103.5
C Oso Ighodaro $5.5k EXP. PHO IND
24.6
4.47
--
223.5 116
C Alexandre Sarr $6.9k EXP. WAS ORL
24.5
3.55
--
234.5 110
PG Ajay Mitchell $4.7k OKC BOS
24.4
5.19
--
216.5 111.5
PG Trae Young $7.9k EXP. WAS ORL
24.4
3.09
--
234.5 110
PF Tobias Harris $5.6k EXP. DET PHI
24.3
4.34
--
222.5 119
PG Davion Mitchell $5.0k EXP. MIA MIL
24.2
4.84
--
234.5 120.5
PF Noah Clowney $5.1k EXP. BKN ATL
24.0
4.70
--
226.5 105.5
SG Aaron Nesmith  Q $5.4k EXP. IND PHO
23.8
4.41
--
223.5 107.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $4.9k EXP. ORL WAS
23.8
4.86
--
234.5 124.5
PF Royce O'Neale $5.5k EXP. PHO IND
23.7
4.30
--
223.5 116
SF Ousmane Dieng $4.7k EXP. MIL MIA
23.7
5.04
--
234.5 114
C Jay Huff $5.7k IND PHO
23.6
4.15
--
223.5 107.5
SG/SF Jahmai Mashack $4.4k MEM DAL
23.6
5.36
--
239.5 117.5
C Marvin Bagley III $4.2k DAL MEM
23.2
5.53
--
239.5 122
SF/PF Julian Champagnie $4.7k EXP. SA DEN
22.9
4.87
--
239.5 122.5
C Myles Turner $5.4k EXP. MIL MIA
22.8
4.23
--
234.5 114
SG Max Christie $4.6k EXP. DAL MEM
22.7
4.93
--
239.5 122
PG/SG Dylan Harper $4.4k SA DEN
22.7
5.17
--
239.5 122.5
PG/SG Brandon Williams $5.3k DAL MEM
22.6
4.27
--
239.5 122
SF/PF Will Riley $5.4k EXP. WAS ORL
22.3
4.13
--
234.5 110
SG Christian Braun $5.5k EXP. DEN SA
22.1
4.03
--
239.5 117
SF/PF Bilal Coulibaly $4.9k EXP. WAS ORL
21.8
4.44
--
234.5 110
PF/C Dominick Barlow $4.3k EXP. PHI DET
21.6
5.02
--
222.5 103.5
C Ivica Zubac  Q $6.4k EXP. IND PHO
21.6
3.38
--
223.5 107.5
SF/PF Khris Middleton $4.8k DAL MEM
21.4
4.45
--
239.5 122
PF Trendon Watford $4.0k EXP. PHI DET
21.1
5.28
--
222.5 103.5
SG/SF Cason Wallace $5.2k EXP. OKC BOS
21.1
4.06
--
216.5 111.5
SG Isaiah Joe $5.0k EXP. OKC BOS
20.8
4.17
--
216.5 111.5
SF/PF Jonathan Kuminga  Q $6.0k ATL BKN
20.3
3.38
--
226.5 121
PF/C Jaylin Williams $6.2k OKC BOS
20.0
3.22
--
216.5 111.5
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $3.9k DET PHI
19.7
5.05
--
222.5 119
PF Ronald Holland II $4.2k DET PHI
19.6
4.67
--
222.5 119
PG T.J. McConnell  Q $4.2k IND PHO
19.6
4.66
--
223.5 107.5
SF/PF Kyle Kuzma $5.0k MIL MIA
19.6
3.92
--
234.5 114
PF/C Isaiah Stewart $4.4k DET PHI
19.5
4.43
--
222.5 119
PG/SG Jevon Carter $4.0k ORL WAS
19.5
4.88
--
234.5 124.5
PG/SG Bub Carrington  Q $4.8k WAS ORL
19.5
4.06
--
234.5 110
SG Luguentz Dort $4.2k EXP. OKC BOS
19.3
4.59
--
216.5 111.5
PG Ben Saraf $3.7k EXP. BKN ATL
19.2
5.19
--
226.5 105.5
PG/SG Marcus Sasser $4.1k EXP. DET PHI
19.1
4.66
--
222.5 119
SF/PF Sam Hauser $4.8k EXP. BOS OKC
19.0
3.97
--
216.5 105
SG/SF Keldon Johnson $4.1k SA DEN
18.9
4.61
--
239.5 122.5
SG Duncan Robinson $4.3k EXP. DET PHI
18.7
4.34
--
222.5 119
PG/SG Tre Johnson $4.5k EXP. WAS ORL
18.7
4.15
--
234.5 110
PG/SG Terance Mann $3.6k BKN ATL
18.5
5.14
--
226.5 105.5
C Moritz Wagner $4.1k ORL WAS
18.2
4.43
--
234.5 124.5
PF/C Bobby Portis  Q $5.7k MIL MIA
18.1
3.17
--
234.5 114
SG Drake Powell $3.5k EXP. BKN ATL
18.0
5.13
--
226.5 105.5
SG Jaden Hardy $4.2k WAS ORL
17.7
4.20
--
234.5 110
SF/PF Jabari Walker $3.8k PHI DET
17.4
4.58
--
222.5 103.5
PG Kasparas Jakucionis $4.0k MIA MIL
17.4
4.35
--
234.5 120.5
SF Tim Hardaway Jr. $4.8k DEN SA
17.4
3.63
--
239.5 117
SG/SF Jett Howard $3.8k ORL WAS
17.1
4.50
--
234.5 124.5
SF/PF Cameron Johnson $5.8k EXP. DEN SA
17.1
2.95
--
239.5 117
SF Zaccharie Risacher $3.8k ATL BKN
16.6
4.37
--
226.5 121
PF/C Obi Toppin $3.7k EXP. IND PHO
16.3
4.40
--
223.5 107.5
SF/PF Josh Minott $3.2k BKN ATL
16.1
5.03
--
226.5 105.5
C Jock Landale $3.7k ATL BKN
16.0
4.33
--
226.5 121
SG/SF Ochai Agbaji $3.4k BKN ATL
15.4
4.52
--
226.5 105.5
PG Daniss Jenkins $3.8k DET PHI
15.4
4.04
--
222.5 119
SG Baylor Scheierman $4.3k BOS OKC
15.4
3.58
--
216.5 105
C Tristan Vukcevic $4.7k WAS ORL
15.4
3.27
--
234.5 110
PF Myron Gardner $4.1k EXP. MIA MIL
15.3
3.72
--
234.5 120.5
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $4.4k OKC BOS
15.3
3.48
--
216.5 111.5
PG/SG Kam Jones $4.1k IND PHO
15.2
3.71
--
223.5 107.5
PF Simone Fontecchio $3.8k MIA MIL
15.2
4.00
--
234.5 120.5
SF/PF Kobe Brown $4.0k IND PHO
14.7
3.67
--
223.5 107.5
SF/PF Leaky Black  Q $3.9k WAS ORL
14.6
3.74
--
234.5 110
PG/SG Bruce Brown $4.6k DEN SA
14.6
3.17
--
239.5 117
SF/PF Javonte Green $4.0k DET PHI
14.3
3.56
--
222.5 119
SF Justin Edwards $3.6k PHI DET
14.2
3.95
--
222.5 103.5
C Khaman Maluach $3.6k PHO IND
14.2
3.94
--
223.5 116
PG/SG Jordan Goodwin  Q $4.9k PHO IND
13.7
2.80
--
223.5 116
SG/SF Ben Sheppard $3.7k IND PHO
13.7
3.71
--
223.5 107.5
C Anthony Gill $3.9k WAS ORL
13.5
3.47
--
234.5 110
PF Jalen Wilson $3.3k BKN ATL
13.3
4.03
--
226.5 105.5
PF/C Micah Potter $4.7k IND PHO
13.3
2.83
--
223.5 107.5
SF Dalen Terry $3.5k PHI DET
13.2
3.77
--
222.5 103.5
C Luka Garza $3.8k BOS OKC
13.1
3.46
--
216.5 105
C Julian Reese $3.7k WAS ORL
13.1
3.54
--
234.5 110
PF Harrison Barnes  Q $3.4k SA DEN
12.9
3.79
--
239.5 122.5
PG Ryan Nembhard $3.2k DAL MEM
12.4
3.86
--
239.5 122
SF Alex Caruso $3.8k OKC BOS
12.2
3.21
--
216.5 111.5
C Luke Kornet $3.3k SA DEN
12.2
3.70
--
239.5 122.5
PF Rasheer Fleming $3.4k PHO IND
11.9
3.50
--
223.5 116
SF/PF Noah Penda $3.9k ORL WAS
11.9
3.04
--
234.5 124.5
PF Justin Champagnie $4.6k WAS ORL
11.8
2.57
--
234.5 110
SG/SF Corey Kispert $3.3k ATL BKN
11.6
3.52
--
226.5 121
C Jonas Valanciunas $3.5k DEN SA
11.4
3.25
--
239.5 117
C Jericho Sims  Q $4.0k MIL MIA
11.2
2.79
--
234.5 114
SF/PF Caleb Martin $3.3k DAL MEM
10.9
3.30
--
239.5 122
PG/SG Cam Thomas $4.2k MIL MIA
10.8
2.57
--
234.5 114
PG/SG AJ Green $4.0k MIL MIA
10.1
2.53
--
234.5 114
C E.J. Liddell $3.2k BKN ATL
9.8
3.06
--
226.5 105.5
PG Sharife Cooper $3.5k WAS ORL
9.6
2.76
--
234.5 110
PF Spencer Jones $3.6k DEN SA
9.4
2.61
--
239.5 117
SG/SF Jamir Watkins $4.3k WAS ORL
9.2
2.14
--
234.5 110
PG Dru Smith $3.9k MIA MIL
9.1
2.34
--
234.5 120.5
SF/PF Haywood Highsmith  Q $3.2k PHO IND
8.4
2.63
--
223.5 116
PG/SG Jared McCain $4.0k OKC BOS
7.9
1.98
--
216.5 111.5
SG/SF Hugo Gonzalez $3.2k BOS OKC
6.7
2.10
--
216.5 105
SG/SF Julian Strawther $3.9k DEN SA
6.6
1.69
--
239.5 117
SF Carter Bryant $3.2k SA DEN
6.0
1.88
--
239.5 122.5
PF Chaney Johnson $3.1k BKN ATL
5.9
1.89
--
226.5 105.5
SF/PF Ryan Dunn $3.5k PHO IND
5.7
1.63
--
223.5 116
PG/SG Tyrese Martin $3.0k PHI DET
4.2
1.40
--
222.5 103.5
SF Taurean Prince $3.2k MIL MIA
3.3
1.02
--
234.5 114
PG Tyus Jones $3.7k DEN SA
1.9
0.51
--
239.5 117
C Goga Bitadze $4.3k ORL WAS
1.5
0.34
--
234.5 124.5
SF/PF Ron Harper Jr. $3.5k BOS OKC
0.4
0.11
--
216.5 105
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

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