DRAFTKINGS NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PG Luka Doncic $12.1k EXP. LAL MIA
60.2
4.98
--
242.5 119.5
C Victor Wembanyama $11.2k EXP. SA PHO
53.4
4.76
--
227.5 118.5
SF Kawhi Leonard $9.7k EXP. LAC NO
47.6
4.90
--
231.5 115
PG Josh Giddey $10.0k EXP. CHI CLE
46.2
4.62
--
239.5 114
SG Donovan Mitchell $9.5k EXP. CLE CHI
46.1
4.85
--
239.5 125.5
C Jalen Duren $8.8k EXP. DET WAS
45.2
5.14
--
231.5 122.5
PF/C Evan Mobley $8.7k EXP. CLE CHI
44.6
5.13
--
239.5 125.5
PG/SG Devin Booker $8.9k EXP. PHO SA
43.6
4.90
--
227.5 109
PF Paolo Banchero $9.4k EXP. ORL CHA
43.0
4.58
--
224.5 109.5
PG LaMelo Ball $8.8k EXP. CHA ORL
42.7
4.85
--
224.5 115
PG James Harden $9.1k EXP. CLE CHI
42.6
4.68
--
239.5 125.5
PF LeBron James $7.7k EXP. LAL MIA
41.8
5.43
--
242.5 119.5
PF/C Bam Adebayo  Q $8.9k EXP. MIA LAL
41.5
4.66
--
242.5 123
PG/SG Austin Reaves $8.0k EXP. LAL MIA
39.7
4.97
--
242.5 119.5
PG/SG Trey Murphy III $8.1k EXP. NO LAC
37.9
4.68
--
231.5 116.5
PF Zion Williamson $7.9k EXP. NO LAC
37.1
4.70
--
231.5 116.5
SG Stephon Castle $7.7k EXP. SA PHO
36.4
4.73
--
227.5 118.5
SG/SF Jalen Green $7.3k EXP. PHO SA
36.0
4.93
--
227.5 109
SF/PF Matas Buzelis $7.5k EXP. CHI CLE
35.9
4.79
--
239.5 114
PG/SG Tyler Herro $8.2k EXP. MIA LAL
35.5
4.33
--
242.5 123
SF Brandon Miller $8.1k EXP. CHA ORL
35.4
4.37
--
224.5 115
PG De'Aaron Fox $7.4k EXP. SA PHO
35.3
4.77
--
227.5 118.5
SG/SF Norman Powell $6.7k EXP. MIA LAL
33.7
5.03
--
242.5 123
SG/SF Desmond Bane $7.6k EXP. ORL CHA
33.6
4.42
--
224.5 109.5
PG Jalen Suggs $7.0k EXP. ORL CHA
33.5
4.79
--
224.5 109.5
SG Kon Knueppel $7.2k EXP. CHA ORL
32.3
4.49
--
224.5 115
SF/PF Saddiq Bey $6.6k EXP. NO LAC
31.8
4.82
--
231.5 116.5
C Kel'el Ware $6.3k MIA LAL
31.4
4.98
--
242.5 123
PG Daniss Jenkins $5.0k EXP. DET WAS
29.8
5.95
--
231.5 122.5
SF Ausar Thompson $6.2k EXP. DET WAS
29.2
4.71
--
231.5 122.5
PF Miles Bridges $6.2k EXP. CHA ORL
28.5
4.59
--
224.5 115
PF/C John Collins $5.7k EXP. LAC NO
28.1
4.93
--
231.5 115
SG/SF Grayson Allen  Q $6.7k PHO SA
27.9
4.17
--
227.5 109
PG Collin Gillespie $6.0k EXP. PHO SA
27.6
4.60
--
227.5 109
PF Justin Champagnie $4.8k EXP. WAS DET
27.6
5.75
--
231.5 109
C Alexandre Sarr  Q $6.7k EXP. WAS DET
27.2
4.05
--
231.5 109
C Moussa Diabate $5.6k EXP. CHA ORL
27.1
4.84
--
224.5 115
C Jalen Smith $5.5k EXP. CHI CLE
26.8
4.87
--
239.5 114
PF Tobias Harris $6.0k EXP. DET WAS
26.5
4.42
--
231.5 122.5
SF/PF Will Riley $5.3k EXP. WAS DET
26.5
5.01
--
231.5 109
PG/SG Tre Jones $6.1k EXP. CHI CLE
26.4
4.33
--
239.5 114
SF/PF Derrick Jones Jr. $5.3k EXP. LAC NO
25.6
4.83
--
231.5 115
C Deandre Ayton $5.1k EXP. LAL MIA
25.2
4.94
--
242.5 119.5
PG/SG Kris Dunn $5.0k EXP. LAC NO
24.9
4.98
--
231.5 115
PG/SG Marcus Sasser $5.1k DET WAS
24.8
4.86
--
231.5 122.5
SF/PF Tristan da Silva $5.0k EXP. ORL CHA
24.7
4.94
--
224.5 109.5
PG/SG Jeremiah Fears $4.7k NO LAC
24.6
5.23
--
231.5 116.5
PG/SG Jordan Miller $4.8k LAC NO
24.3
5.07
--
231.5 115
SF Devin Vassell $5.1k EXP. SA PHO
24.3
4.76
--
227.5 118.5
SG/SF Pelle Larsson $5.2k EXP. MIA LAL
24.0
4.61
--
242.5 123
C Goga Bitadze $3.6k EXP. ORL CHA
23.7
6.58
--
224.5 109.5
SF/PF Herbert Jones $4.9k EXP. NO LAC
23.7
4.84
--
231.5 116.5
C Isaiah Jackson $4.2k LAC NO
23.5
5.60
--
231.5 115
SF/PF Leonard Miller $4.9k EXP. CHI CLE
23.1
4.71
--
239.5 114
PG/SG Coby White $4.7k CHA ORL
22.8
4.84
--
224.5 115
PF Royce O'Neale  Q $4.9k EXP. PHO SA
22.4
4.57
--
227.5 109
PG/SG Bub Carrington $4.9k EXP. WAS DET
22.4
4.57
--
231.5 109
C Oso Ighodaro $5.0k EXP. PHO SA
22.2
4.44
--
227.5 109
SG Sam Merrill $4.4k EXP. CLE CHI
22.1
5.02
--
239.5 125.5
PG Davion Mitchell $4.7k EXP. MIA LAL
22.1
4.70
--
242.5 123
C Brook Lopez $4.7k EXP. LAC NO
22.0
4.68
--
231.5 115
SG/SF Marcus Smart $4.7k EXP. LAL MIA
21.9
4.66
--
242.5 119.5
PG/SG Dylan Harper $4.6k SA PHO
21.9
4.76
--
227.5 118.5
C Tristan Vukcevic $4.9k WAS DET
21.8
4.45
--
231.5 109
PG/SG Tre Johnson $4.6k EXP. WAS DET
21.7
4.71
--
231.5 109
PF Derik Queen $4.4k NO LAC
21.5
4.89
--
231.5 116.5
SF/PF Julian Champagnie $4.9k EXP. SA PHO
21.2
4.33
--
227.5 118.5
SG Duncan Robinson $4.9k EXP. DET WAS
21.2
4.33
--
231.5 122.5
C Yves Missi $4.2k EXP. NO LAC
20.6
4.91
--
231.5 116.5
SG/SF Collin Sexton $5.4k CHI CLE
20.0
3.70
--
239.5 114
SG/SF Caris LeVert $3.9k DET WAS
19.6
5.04
--
231.5 122.5
PF/C Karlo Matkovic $3.9k NO LAC
19.3
4.94
--
231.5 116.5
SG/SF Max Strus $5.3k CLE CHI
19.0
3.58
--
239.5 125.5
PG Sharife Cooper $3.9k WAS DET
18.8
4.82
--
231.5 109
PG Dennis Schroder $4.0k CLE CHI
18.7
4.69
--
239.5 125.5
SG/SF Keldon Johnson $4.3k SA PHO
18.2
4.23
--
227.5 118.5
SF/PF Keon Ellis $4.5k CLE CHI
18.0
4.00
--
239.5 125.5
PF Simone Fontecchio $3.4k MIA LAL
17.7
5.20
--
242.5 123
SG/SF Kevin Huerter $4.1k DET WAS
17.6
4.28
--
231.5 122.5
SF Dean Wade $3.5k EXP. CLE CHI
17.3
4.94
--
239.5 125.5
SG/SF Jamir Watkins $4.3k WAS DET
17.3
4.03
--
231.5 109
PF Ronald Holland II $3.8k DET WAS
16.8
4.41
--
231.5 122.5
SG/SF Kobe Sanders $3.2k LAC NO
16.7
5.23
--
231.5 115
PG Kasparas Jakucionis $3.5k MIA LAL
16.6
4.75
--
242.5 123
C Nick Richards $4.1k CHI CLE
16.1
3.92
--
239.5 114
C Paul Reed $4.0k DET WAS
16.1
4.03
--
231.5 122.5
PG/SG Rob Dillingham $4.3k CHI CLE
15.7
3.65
--
239.5 114
PG/SG Jordan Poole $3.2k NO LAC
15.2
4.74
--
231.5 116.5
PG/SG Jevon Carter $3.9k ORL CHA
15.1
3.88
--
224.5 109.5
PF Grant Williams $3.6k CHA ORL
14.9
4.15
--
224.5 115
C Ryan Kalkbrenner $4.0k CHA ORL
14.9
3.73
--
224.5 115
SG Jaden Hardy $4.2k WAS DET
14.8
3.53
--
231.5 109
C Moritz Wagner $3.4k ORL CHA
14.7
4.32
--
224.5 109.5
PG/SG Jordan Goodwin $4.5k PHO SA
14.6
3.24
--
227.5 109
SF/PF Rui Hachimura $3.8k LAL MIA
14.5
3.82
--
242.5 119.5
PF Harrison Barnes $3.8k SA PHO
14.5
3.82
--
227.5 118.5
PF/C Guerschon Yabusele $4.6k CHI CLE
14.3
3.11
--
239.5 114
SF/PF Jaylon Tyson $4.6k CLE CHI
14.0
3.03
--
239.5 125.5
PF Patrick Williams $3.7k CHI CLE
13.8
3.73
--
239.5 114
C Anthony Gill $3.6k WAS DET
13.8
3.83
--
231.5 109
SG Jett Howard $3.7k ORL CHA
13.0
3.51
--
224.5 109.5
SF/PF Javonte Green $3.4k DET WAS
12.7
3.72
--
231.5 122.5
C Thomas Bryant $3.3k CLE CHI
12.4
3.76
--
239.5 125.5
PF/C Rasheer Fleming $3.4k PHO SA
12.4
3.65
--
227.5 109
C Luke Kornet $3.4k SA PHO
12.2
3.60
--
227.5 118.5
SF/PF Noah Penda $3.5k ORL CHA
11.2
3.20
--
224.5 109.5
PG/SG Luke Kennard $3.6k LAL MIA
11.1
3.08
--
242.5 119.5
SF/PF Sion James $3.3k CHA ORL
11.0
3.33
--
224.5 115
C Jaxson Hayes $3.5k LAL MIA
10.8
3.09
--
242.5 119.5
SG/SF Jake LaRavia $3.4k LAL MIA
10.7
3.16
--
242.5 119.5
PF Nicolas Batum  Q $3.1k LAC NO
10.2
3.28
--
231.5 115
C Khaman Maluach $3.3k PHO SA
10.0
3.02
--
227.5 109
SG/SF Josh Green $3.1k CHA ORL
9.0
2.90
--
224.5 115
SF Carter Bryant $3.3k SA PHO
8.5
2.57
--
227.5 118.5
SF Jamal Cain $3.2k ORL CHA
8.4
2.62
--
224.5 109.5
PG Dru Smith $3.2k MIA LAL
8.3
2.61
--
242.5 123
SF Haywood Highsmith $3.1k PHO SA
7.5
2.42
--
227.5 109
C Keshad Johnson $3.8k MIA LAL
7.2
1.90
--
242.5 123
SG Cam Christie $3.0k LAC NO
7.0
2.33
--
231.5 115
SG/SF Myron Gardner $3.1k MIA LAL
6.0
1.94
--
242.5 123
C Julian Reese $3.0k WAS DET
5.5
1.85
--
231.5 109
PG/SG Bogdan Bogdanovic $3.0k LAC NO
4.0
1.33
--
231.5 115
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

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All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!