TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING @
/ TORONTO LEAFS

Saturday, March 7 7:00 PM ET · Scotiabank Arena

Scotiabank Arena

GAME STARTS IN

DAY

HOUR

MIN

SEC

LATEST ODDS

The Lightning are favorites to win against Toronto, in what is projected to be a 3.6 TBL to 2.9 TOR game result.

MONEYLINE

SPREAD

O/U

TAMPA BAY TBL 37 - 22

-170

-1.5

6.5

TORONTO TOR 27 - 36

+140

+1.5

6.5

ODDS OF WINNING

TBL

TOR

40%

60%

IMPLIED TEAM TOTALS

Tampa Bay

3.62 GOALS

2.88 GOALS

Toronto

LAST 6 HEAD TO HEAD

Toronto has won 5 of the last 6 games against Tampa Bay.

FEB 25, 2026

TBL 4 - TOR 2

SPREAD

TBL won against the spread

-1.5 TBL

MONEYLINE

TBL won straight up

-225 TBL

TOTAL

The match went under 6.5 points

UNDER 6.5

DEC 8, 2025

TBL 0 - TOR 2

SPREAD

TOR won against the spread

+1.5 TOR

MONEYLINE

TOR won straight up

+110 TOR

TOTAL

The match went under 6.5 points

UNDER 6.5

APR 9, 2025

TBL 4 - TOR 5

SPREAD

TOR won against the spread

+1.5 TOR

MONEYLINE

TOR won straight up

+160 TOR

TOTAL

The match went over 5.5 points

OVER 5.5

JAN 20, 2025

TBL 3 - TOR 5

SPREAD

TOR won against the spread

-1.5 TOR

MONEYLINE

TOR won straight up

-125 TOR

TOTAL

The match went over 6.5 points

OVER 6.5

NOV 30, 2024

TBL 5 - TOR 6

SPREAD

TOR won against the spread

-1.5 TOR

MONEYLINE

TOR won straight up

-130 TOR

TOTAL

The match went over 6.5 points

OVER 6.5

OCT 21, 2024

TBL 2 - TOR 5

SPREAD

TOR won against the spread

-1.5 TOR

MONEYLINE

TOR won straight up

-140 TOR

TOTAL

The match went over 6.5 points

OVER 6.5

DATE

SCORE

MONEY

SPREAD

OVER/UNDER

WINNER

Feb 25, 2026

TBL 4 - TOR 2

-225 TBL

-1.5 TBL

6.5 Under

WIN BY 2

Dec 8, 2025

TBL 0 - TOR 2

+110 TOR

+1.5 TOR

6.5 Under

WIN BY 2

Apr 9, 2025

TBL 4 - TOR 5

+160 TOR

+1.5 TOR

5.5 Over

WIN BY 1

Jan 20, 2025

TBL 3 - TOR 5

-125 TOR

-1.5 TOR

6.5 Over

WIN BY 2

Nov 30, 2024

TBL 5 - TOR 6

-130 TOR

-1.5 TOR

6.5 Over

WIN BY 1

Oct 21, 2024

TBL 2 - TOR 5

-140 TOR

-1.5 TOR

6.5 Over

WIN BY 3

LAST 10 RESULTS

LIGHTNING

LEAFS

DATE

OPP

SCORE

MONEY

SPREAD

OVER/UNDERO/U

Mar 5, 2026

@

WPG

L 1 - 4

L -180

L -1.5

5.5 Under

Mar 3, 2026

@

MIN

L 1 - 5

L -145

L -1.5

6.5 Under

Feb 28, 2026

vs

BUF

L 6 - 7

L -240

L -1.5

6.5 Over

Feb 26, 2026

@

CAR

L 4 - 5

L +125

L +1.5

6.5 Over

Feb 25, 2026

vs

TOR

W 4 - 2

W -225

W -1.5

6.5 Under

Feb 3, 2026

vs

BUF

W 4 - 3

W -190

L -1.5

6.5 Over

Feb 1, 2026

vs

BOS

W 6 - 5

W -210

L -1.5

5.5 Over

Jan 29, 2026

vs

WPG

W 4 - 1

W -180

W -1.5

5.5 Under

Jan 26, 2026

vs

UTA

W 2 - 0

W -160

W -1.5

6.5 Under

Jan 24, 2026

@

CBJ

L 5 - 8

L -125

L -1.5

6.5 Over

Mar 5, 2026

@

NYR

L 2 - 6

L +110

L +1.5

5.5 Over

Mar 4, 2026

@

NJD

L 3 - 4

L +105

L +1.5

5.5 Over

Mar 2, 2026

vs

PHI

L 3 - 4

L -130

L -1.5

6.5 Over

Feb 28, 2026

vs

OTT

L 5 - 6

L +115

L +1.5

6.5 Over

Feb 26, 2026

@

FLA

L 1 - 5

L +130

L +1.5

6.5 Under

Feb 25, 2026

@

TBL

L 2 - 4

L +185

L +1.5

6.5 Under

Feb 3, 2026

@

EDM

W 6 - 5

W +150

W +1.5

6.5 Over

Feb 2, 2026

@

CGY

W 5 - 4

W -120

L -1.5

6.5 Over

Jan 31, 2026

@

VAN

W 4 - 3

W -145

L -1.5

6.5 Over

Jan 29, 2026

@

SEA

L 2 - 5

L -110

L -1.5

6.5 Over

OFFENSIVE MATCHUP EDGE

AVERAGE SCORE

TBL

TOR

Last 5 Games

3.2

2.8

Last 10 Games

3.7

3.3

This Season

4.2

3.9

DEFENSIVE MATCHUP EDGE

AVG SCORE ALLOWED

TBL

TOR

Last 5 Games

4.6

5.0

Last 10 Games

4.0

4.6

This Season

3.8

4.2