NBA PROJECTIONS: SHOWDOWN & SINGLE-GAME

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $14.2k OKC IND 13
64.5
4.54
224.5 115
SF/PF Jalen Williams $10.8k OKC IND 12
49.0
4.54
224.5 115
PG Tyrese Haliburton $10.6k IND OKC 5
48.8
4.60
224.5 109.5
PF Pascal Siakam $10.2k IND OKC 9
47.0
4.61
224.5 109.5
PF/C Chet Holmgren $8.8k OKC IND 14
39.5
4.49
224.5 115
PG/SG Alex Caruso $6.6k OKC IND 13
29.3
4.43
224.5 115
C Myles Turner $6.2k IND OKC 3
28.0
4.52
224.5 109.5
PG/SG Andrew Nembhard $6.0k IND OKC 5
27.0
4.50
224.5 109.5
PF/C Obi Toppin $5.6k IND OKC 9
25.0
4.46
224.5 109.5
C Isaiah Hartenstein $5.4k OKC IND 10
24.0
4.44
224.5 115
PG T.J. McConnell $5.0k IND OKC 5
22.8
4.55
224.5 109.5
SG/SF Aaron Nesmith $4.8k IND OKC 7
22.3
4.64
224.5 109.5
SG/SF Luguentz Dort $4.4k OKC IND 21
20.5
4.66
224.5 115
SG/SF Bennedict Mathurin $3.6k IND OKC 7
17.0
4.72
224.5 109.5
PG/SG Cason Wallace $3.2k OKC IND 13
10.8
3.36
224.5 115
PG/SG Quenton Jackson $1.0k IND OKC 5
9.8
9.75
224.5 109.5
SF/PF Aaron Wiggins $2.8k OKC IND 12
8.5
3.04
224.5 115
C Branden Carlson $1.0k OKC IND 10
7.8
7.75
224.5 115
PF Dillon Jones $1.0k OKC IND 14
7.5
7.50
224.5 115
C Tony Bradley $1.6k IND OKC 3
7.0
4.38
224.5 109.5
PG RayJ Dennis $1.0k IND OKC 5
7.0
7.00
224.5 109.5
SG/SF Isaiah Joe $1.0k OKC IND 21
6.8
6.75
224.5 115
PG Adam Flagler $1.0k OKC IND 13
6.8
6.75
224.5 115
PG/SG Ben Sheppard $1.2k IND OKC 5
6.5
5.42
224.5 109.5
C Jaylin Williams $1.0k OKC IND 10
6.3
6.25
224.5 115
PF/C Kenrich Williams $1.4k OKC IND 14
6.0
4.29
224.5 115
PG Ajay Mitchell $1.0k OKC IND 13
6.0
6.00
224.5 115
SF/PF Jarace Walker  Q $1.0k IND OKC 13
6.0
6.00
224.5 109.5
C Thomas Bryant $1.0k IND OKC 3
5.8
5.75
224.5 109.5
PF Enrique Freeman $1.0k IND OKC 9
5.8
5.75
224.5 109.5
SF Alex Ducas $1.0k OKC IND 12
5.5
5.50
224.5 115
SG/SF Johnny Furphy $1.0k IND OKC 7
5.3
5.25
224.5 109.5
PF/C Ousmane Dieng $1.0k OKC IND 14
4.3
4.25
224.5 115
PF/C James Johnson $1.0k IND OKC 9
4.0
4.00
224.5 109.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

Optimize Online or Download Cheat Sheets for Later

All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!