FANDUEL NBA PROJECTIONS

Updated At:
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Teams
Positions
ALL
PG
C
PF
SG
SF
C Alperen Şengun $9.6k YES HOU GSW 11
46.3
4.82
205.5 104
SF/PF Jimmy Butler $8.9k YES GSW HOU 14
45.5
5.11
205.5 101.5
PG Stephen Curry $8.7k YES GSW HOU 27
44.1
5.06
205.5 101.5
PG/SG Tyrese Haliburton $9.0k YES IND CLE 3
42.0
4.66
229.5 110.5
SG/PG Donovan Mitchell $8.8k YES CLE IND 9
40.6
4.61
229.5 119
PF/C Evan Mobley $8.3k YES CLE IND 13
40.1
4.84
229.5 119
SG/SF Amen Thompson $7.1k YES HOU GSW 10
36.1
5.09
205.5 104
PF Pascal Siakam $7.5k YES IND CLE 27
34.7
4.63
229.5 110.5
PG Fred VanVleet $6.7k YES HOU GSW 10
33.5
5.00
205.5 104
C/PF Jarrett Allen $6.8k YES CLE IND 12
33.4
4.92
229.5 119
C Myles Turner $6.2k YES IND CLE 8
31.2
5.02
229.5 110.5
PF/C Draymond Green $6.0k YES GSW HOU 14
28.9
4.82
205.5 101.5
SG Jalen Green $6.3k YES HOU GSW 5
26.8
4.26
205.5 104
PG Ty Jerome $5.6k CLE IND 9
26.5
4.73
229.5 119
SG/PG Brandin Podziemski $5.9k YES GSW HOU 27
26.4
4.47
205.5 101.5
SG/PG Andrew Nembhard $5.7k YES IND CLE 3
24.8
4.36
229.5 110.5
SF/PF Aaron Nesmith $5.3k YES IND CLE 18
23.7
4.47
229.5 110.5
SF/PF De'Andre Hunter $4.9k CLE IND 8
23.6
4.81
229.5 119
SG/SF Max Strus $4.7k YES CLE IND 21
23.3
4.95
229.5 119
C Steven Adams $4.4k HOU GSW 11
22.0
5.01
205.5 104
PG T.J. McConnell $4.3k IND CLE 3
18.6
4.32
229.5 110.5
SF/SG Moses Moody $3.9k GSW HOU 3
18.5
4.75
205.5 101.5
SG/SF Dillon Brooks $4.5k YES HOU GSW 17
18.4
4.09
205.5 104
SG/SF Buddy Hield $4.0k YES GSW HOU 3
16.7
4.18
205.5 101.5
PF/SF Tari Eason $4.2k HOU GSW 6
16.4
3.91
205.5 104
PF Jabari Smith $4.0k HOU GSW 17
16.3
4.08
205.5 104
SF/SG Sam Merrill $3.8k YES CLE IND 21
16.2
4.27
229.5 119
SF/SG Bennedict Mathurin $4.1k IND CLE 18
15.4
3.75
229.5 110.5
C Quinten Post $3.9k GSW HOU 3
14.7
3.77
205.5 101.5
PF Obi Toppin $3.8k IND CLE 27
14.0
3.68
229.5 110.5
PF Dean Wade $3.6k CLE IND 13
12.0
3.34
229.5 119
PF Jarace Walker $3.7k IND CLE 7
9.9
2.68
229.5 110.5
C Kevon Looney $3.5k GSW HOU 3
8.9
2.53
205.5 101.5
SF Isaac Okoro $3.6k CLE IND 21
8.1
2.25
229.5 119
C Thomas Bryant $3.6k IND CLE 8
6.5
1.81
229.5 110.5
PF/SF Jonathan Kuminga $3.8k GSW HOU 14
6.4
1.69
205.5 101.5
SG Ben Sheppard $3.6k IND CLE 3
4.0
1.10
229.5 110.5
PF Gui Santos $3.5k GSW HOU 1
2.9
0.84
205.5 101.5
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Reliable NBA DFS Projections

Daily Fantasy Fuel factors in a huge amount of variables to come up with our NBA projections. Minutes are key in NBA DFS, so we look at projected game scores, historical points per minute played, and who is likely to pick up minutes whenever injuries are announced. Not to mention a ton of other factors like rivalries and back-to-back night fatigue. We also believe in being fully transparent with our projections, so you can look back at previous weeks and see how accurate we were.

NBA Projection changes throughout the day

Injury news is critical to NBA projections, whether its for NBA DFS or for player props. Projections will change constantly throughout the day, with the biggest news and changes usually happening in the 60 minute leadup to the start of a slate. It's not uncommon for us to do 50+ updates in just the final 30 minutes before slate start alone. You have to stay on top of injury news to be succesful at NBA DFS and player props. Our projections always show the "last updated" timestamp at the top of the screen, so you can tell when we last refreshed our projections. Keep an eye on this timestamp to know how fresh the NBA player projections are. Sometimes during the day it might be there's no meaningful updates to report for hours, while as the day goes on they'll come fast and furious.

What factors go into NBA Player Projections?

While our exact algorithm and weighting is proprietary, there's a few key factors that go into our NBA Player projections. We start with a baseline that looks at player historical performance, usage, minutes, and fantasy points per minute. Layered on top of that, the matchup becomes key. Projected game score, pace, and defensive rankings are variables which nudge a players typical performance up or down. A game with a 238 total and a 1.5 spread is going to be high scoring and fast, while a game with a 216 total and 11.5 spread suggests a blowout and one-sided game. A slow paced game between two top-rated defences will typically result in lower relative projections compared to a fast-pace one.

Perhaps the most impactful to NBA DFS projections are going to be same-day injury announcements and starting lineup news. Having a key player like LeBron, Luka, or Jokic scratch out for the night with a suprise illness means that their usual 50+ FPTS are going to be up for graps among the rest of the team. It also means that someone who usually doesn't get the start is getting promoted to starter and is going to get that bump in minutes. Those $3000 price point guys who get called up for a big injury might end up having an 8x value night, put down 27 FTPS, and be the chalk play of the night. Our projections algorithm combined with statistical analysis techniques factors all of the above into our daily projections.

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All of our DraftKings and Fanduel projections can be downloaded in CSV format for free, including all of the stats you see listed in the table above. Want to get started right away cranking out perfect lineups? Try our free NBA lineup optimizer and start winning at DFS Basketball today!